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Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus prediction

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus prediction for the J1 League on 17 Oct 2026: Kashiwa Reysol to win (58%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
J1 League · Regular Season - 10
Kashiwa ReysolNagoya GrampusNo recent games
1 - 3Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-2
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa City

Match events

Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
  1. 6'Goal: Takuya UchidaAssist: Yudai Kimura
  2. Substitution: Tomoya WakaharaOff: Kengo Nagai13'
  3. Yellow card: Yoshio KoizumiDissent16'
  4. Goal: Keita EndoAssist: Shota Fujio23'
  5. 36'Goal: Yudai KimuraAssist: Kensuke Nagai
  6. Substitution: Hinata YamauchiOff: Yusuke Segawa45'
  7. Substitution: Sachiro ToshimaOff: Wataru Harada45'

HT 1-2

  1. Yellow card: Daiki SugiokaFoul52'
  2. 57'Substitution: Kensuke NagaiOff: Hidemasa Koda
  3. 63'Substitution: Yudai KimuraOff: Yuya Yamagishi
  4. Substitution: Keita EndoOff: Kenshin Yuba68'
  5. Substitution: Yudai KonishiOff: Riki Harakawa68'
  6. Substitution: Shota FujioOff: Mao Hosoya73'
  7. 77'Substitution: Tsukasa MorishimaOff: Masahito Ono
  8. 77'Substitution: Yuki NogamiOff: Tomoya Koyamatsu
  9. 77'Substitution: Ryuji IzumiOff: Shuhei Tokumoto
  10. 79'Goal: Yuya YamagishiAssist: Hidemasa Koda
  11. 86'Substitution: Tomoki TakamineOff: Yota Sato

Our verdict

1 ✗

Kashiwa Reysol to win

Bet365 1.60

58%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-3

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Kashiwa Reysol58%
Fair odds 1.72
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Nagoya Grampus20%
Fair odds 5.00

Match statistics

  • 59%Possession41%
  • 0.95Expected goals (xG)1.07
  • 14Total shots9
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 6Shots off target5
  • 6Blocked shots0
  • 7Shots inside the box6
  • 7Corners2
  • 1Offsides1
  • 11Fouls10
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 609Passes421
  • 507Accurate passes327

Line-ups

Kashiwa Reysol

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 77T. WakaharaG
  2. 28S. ToshimaD
  3. 4T. KogaD
  4. 26D. SugiokaD
  5. 24T. KuboM
  6. 21Y. KonishiM
  7. 39N. NakagawaM
  8. 5K. EndoM
  9. 8Y. KoizumiM
  10. 87H. YamauchiM
  11. 15S. FujioF

Substitutes

  1. 20Y. SegawaM
  2. 44K. YubaM
  3. 30Shusuke FuruyaM
  4. 42W. HaradaD
  5. 40R. HarakawaM
  6. 9M. HosoyaF
  7. 2H. MitsumaruD
  8. 29K. NagaiG
  9. 19H. NakamaM

Coach: Ricardo Rodríguez

Nagoya Grampus

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1D. SchmidtG
  2. 70T. HaraD
  3. 13H. FujiiD
  4. 31T. TakamineD
  5. 17T. UchidaM
  6. 15S. InagakiM
  7. 14T. MorishimaM
  8. 7R. IzumiM
  9. 2Y. NogamiM
  10. 22Y. KimuraM
  11. 18K. NagaiF

Substitutes

  1. 58T. KoyamatsuM
  2. 10MateusF
  3. 27K. NakayamaM
  4. 41M. OnoM
  5. 35A. PisanoG
  6. 3Y. SatoD
  7. 55S. TokumotoD
  8. 11Y. YamagishiF
  9. 19H. KodaM

Coach: Michael Petrovic

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.03 – 1.10
0.5 goalsOver95.6%Under4.4%
1.5 goalsOver81.9%Under18.1%
2.5 goalsOver60.5%Under39.5%
3.5 goalsOver38.2%Under61.8%
4.5 goalsOver20.7%Under79.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Kashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
17%Defence83%
50%Head to head50%
65%Expected goals35%
74%Overall26%

Last matches

Newest first
Kashiwa Reysol1W 0D 0L · last 1
WKashiwa Reysol vs Port FC14 Oct 2026 · AFC Champions League Elite5-1
Nagoya Grampus0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

J1 League table

J1 League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
11Nagoya Grampus13-614
12Cerezo Osaka13-1014
13Shimizu S-pulse13-1214
14Kyoto Sanga13-613
15V-varen Nagasaki13-512
16Gamba Osaka13-712
17Tokyo Verdy13-1111
18JEF United Chiba13-910
19Mito Hollyhock13-139
20Avispa Fukuoka13-117
See full table ›

Top scorers

J1 League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Léo CearáKashima1112
2A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima139
3MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale138
4M. NagakuraFC Tokyo137
5Rafael EliasKyoto Sanga117

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatKashiwa ReysolNagoya Grampus
Played10
Wins10
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)50
Goals against (avg)10
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.51/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

Kashiwa Reysol host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League (Regular Season - 10) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa City, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Kashiwa Reysol favourites, giving Kashiwa Reysol a 58% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 20% for Nagoya Grampus. Our tip is: Kashiwa Reysol to win.

Kashiwa Reysol have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 60% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Japan J1 League
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
Venue
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa City

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus in?

The match is in the Japan J1 League.

Where are Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus in the table?

Kashiwa Reysol are 4th and Nagoya Grampus are 11th in the J1 League.

Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our prediction is Kashiwa Reysol to win. Win probabilities: Kashiwa Reysol 58%, draw 22%, Nagoya Grampus 20%.

Will both teams score in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?

We estimate a 60% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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