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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy prediction

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy prediction for the J1 League on 21 Oct 2026: Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday21October 2026
Japan National Stadium, Tokyo

Match events

Yokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy
  1. Substitution: Kei ChinenOff: Riku Yamane6'
  2. 14'Yellow card: Kanya FujimotoFoul
  3. Goal: Ryo MiyaichiAssist: Kosuke Matsumura23'
  4. 24'Yellow card: Kaito SuzukiFoul
  5. 45'Substitution: Kazunari IchimiOff: Soma Kanda

HT 1-0

  1. Goal: Daiya Tono50'
  2. 61'Substitution: Kaito SuzukiOff: Yosuke Uchida
  3. 61'Substitution: Kosuke SaitoOff: Koki Morita
  4. Substitution: Jordy CrouxOff: Tomoki Kondo65'
  5. Substitution: Daiya TonoOff: Jun Amano65'
  6. Substitution: Takuto KimuraOff: Toichi Suzuki65'
  7. 72'Substitution: Maaya SakoOff: Cho Yu-Min
  8. 73'Goal: Kanya FujimotoAssist: Koki Morita
  9. Substitution: Jun AmanoOff: Takuya Kida79'
  10. 86'Substitution: Issei KumatoriyaOff: Goki Yamada
  11. 90+3'Goal: Goki YamadaAssist: Shuhei Mizoguchi

Our verdict

1X ✓

Yokohama F. Marinos or draw

Bet365 1.22

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.5

Win probability

1 · Yokohama F. Marinos52%
Fair odds 1.92
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Tokyo Verdy22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 60%Possession40%
  • 1.97Expected goals (xG)1.73
  • 14Total shots12
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 5Shots off target7
  • 5Blocked shots2
  • 10Shots inside the box7
  • 6Corners6
  • 2Offsides8
  • 13Fouls18
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 490Passes331
  • 416Accurate passes248

Line-ups

Yokohama F. Marinos

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 21H. IikuraG
  2. 34T. KimuraD
  3. 17J. QuiñónesD
  4. 33K. SuwamaD
  5. 13T. InoueD
  6. 14K. ChinenM
  7. 41K. MatsumuraM
  8. 23R. MiyaichiM
  9. 7D. TonoM
  10. 11J. CrouxM
  11. 9K. TanimuraF

Substitutes

  1. 19Tevis GabrielF
  2. 28R. YamaneM
  3. 40J. AmanoM
  4. 44T. DengD
  5. 8T. KidaM
  6. 24T. KondoF
  7. 43R. NittaF
  8. 1Park Il-GyuG
  9. 25T. SuzukiM

Coach: S. Corica

Tokyo Verdy

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Matheus VidottoG
  2. 15K. SuzukiD
  3. 4N. HayashiD
  4. 96Cho Yu-MinD
  5. 19K. FujimotoM
  6. 8K. SaitoM
  7. 16R. HirakawaM
  8. 18S. MizoguchiM
  9. 40Y. AraiM
  10. 25I. KumatoriyaM
  11. 33K. IchimiF

Substitutes

  1. 17Kim Hyun-WooF
  2. 7Y. MatsuhashiM
  3. 10K. MoritaM
  4. 21Y. NagasawaG
  5. 29M. SakoD
  6. 2K. ShibatoM
  7. 22Y. UchidaD
  8. 13G. YamadaF
  9. 38S. KandaF

Coach: N. Soma

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.54 – 0.91
0.5 goalsOver91.4%Under8.6%
1.5 goalsOver70.2%Under29.8%
2.5 goalsOver44.3%Under55.7%
3.5 goalsOver23.2%Under76.8%
4.5 goalsOver10.2%Under89.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Yokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
70%Overall30%

Last matches

Newest first
Yokohama F. Marinos0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Tokyo Verdy0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

J1 League table

J1 League table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Machida Zelvia12+2027
2FC Tokyo12+1927
3Sanfrecce Hiroshima12+1926
4Kashiwa Reysol12+625
5Vissel Kobe12+723
6Kawasaki Frontale12+722
7Urawa12-221
8Kashima12+420
9Yokohama F. Marinos12+418
10Fagiano Okayama12-216
11Nagoya Grampus12-414
12Cerezo Osaka12-714
13Shimizu S-pulse12-1014
14V-varen Nagasaki12-412
15Gamba Osaka12-711
16Kyoto Sanga12-810
17Mito Hollyhock12-109
18Tokyo Verdy12-128
19Avispa Fukuoka12-87
20JEF United Chiba12-127
See full table ›

Top scorers

J1 League top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Léo CearáKashima1012
2MarcinhoKawasaki Frontale128
3A. SuzukiSanfrecce Hiroshima128
4M. NagakuraFC Tokyo127
5Y. SegawaKashiwa Reysol127

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatYokohama F. MarinosTokyo Verdy
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Yokohama F. Marinos host Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League (Regular Season - 11) at Japan National Stadium, Tokyo, with kick-off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Yokohama F. Marinos favourites, giving Yokohama F. Marinos a 52% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 22% for Tokyo Verdy. Our tip is: Yokohama F. Marinos or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Japan J1 League
Date
Wednesday, 21 October 2026, 11:00 WAT
Venue
Japan National Stadium, Tokyo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy kicks off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 11:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy in?

The match is in the Japan J1 League.

Where are Yokohama F. Marinos and Tokyo Verdy in the table?

Yokohama F. Marinos are 9th and Tokyo Verdy are 18th in the J1 League.

Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?

Our prediction is Yokohama F. Marinos or draw. Win probabilities: Yokohama F. Marinos 52%, draw 26%, Tokyo Verdy 22%.

Will both teams score in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?

We estimate a 47% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?

We estimate a 44% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More J1 League on Wed 21 Oct

FTAvispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba OsakaUnder 3.5 ✓FTFagiano Okayama 2-0 Mito HollyhockUnder 3.5 ✓FTKyoto Sanga 2-2 KashimaX2 ✓FTNagoya Grampus 1-1 Cerezo OsakaOver 1.5 ✓FTShimizu S-pulse 0-5 Machida ZelviaX2 ✓FTV-varen Nagasaki 4-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima2 ✗FTFC Tokyo 0-0 Kashiwa ReysolOver 1.5 ✗FTKawasaki Frontale 2-1 Vissel Kobe12 ✓FTUrawa 3-2 JEF United Chiba1 ✓

All football predictions for today