Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
Match events
FSV Mainz 05- 24'Goal: Phillip TietzAssist: Anthony Caci
- 42'Yellow card: Nadiem AmiriFoul
- 45'Yellow card: Kaishu SanoFoul
HT 0-1
- Substitution: Edin DžekoOff: Hwang Hee-Chan60'
- Substitution: Adrian Tobias GantenbeinOff: Junior Dina Ebimbe60'
- Substitution: Nikola KatićOff: Maximilian Wöber71'
- Substitution: Adil AouchicheOff: Junior Chukwubuike Adamu71'
- 76'Substitution: Paul NebelOff: Lee Jae-Sung
- 76'Substitution: Sheraldo BeckerOff: Ransford Konigsdorffer
- Substitution: Robin GosensOff: Vitalie Becker79'
- 86'Substitution: Nadiem AmiriOff: Eric Martel
- 90+1'Substitution: Anthony CaciOff: Silvan Widmer
- 90+1'Substitution: Phillip TietzOff: Lennard Maloney
Our verdict
FSV Mainz 05 or draw
Bet365 1.36
✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 46%Possession54%
- 0.33Expected goals (xG)1.53
- 9Total shots10
- 3Shots on target6
- 2Shots off target2
- 4Blocked shots2
- 7Shots inside the box9
- 4Corners1
- 3Offsides7
- 12Fouls20
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 5Goalkeeper saves3
- 389Passes466
- 257Accurate passes342
Line-ups
FC Schalke 04
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1L. KariusG
- 5T. BeckerD
- 25N. KatićD
- 4H. KuruçayD
- 17A. GantenbeinM
- 23S. El-FaouziM
- 13S. TanakaM
- 8R. GosensM
- 19K. KaramanM
- 24A. AouchicheM
- 10E. DžekoF
Substitutes
- 20J. AdamuF
- 43M. AyhanD
- 33Vitalie BeckerD
- 29J. Dina EbimbeM
- 7Hwang Hee-ChanF
- 22K. MüllerG
- 6R. SchallenbergM
- 38L. VozarM
- 39M. WöberD
Coach: M. Muslić
FSV Mainz 05
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1A. SchwolowG
- 21D. da CostaD
- 4S. PoschD
- 48K. PotulskiD
- 19A. CaciM
- 10N. AmiriM
- 6K. SanoM
- 7Lee Jae-SungM
- 2P. MweneM
- 23S. BeckerF
- 9P. TietzF
Substitutes
- 3F. GruberD
- 17B. HollerbachF
- 40M. KinzigG
- 11R. KönigsdörfferF
- 15L. MaloneyM
- 5E. MartelM
- 47R. NakuzolaD
- 8P. NebelM
- 30S. WidmerD
Coach: U. Fischer
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.40 – 1.57Half time / full time result. 1 = FC Schalke 04, X = draw, 2 = FSV Mainz 05.
Asian handicap applied to FC Schalke 04.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstFC Schalke 040W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
FSV Mainz 050W 0D 0L · last 0No finished matches yet.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +11 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 15 | WWDDW |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | WLWLD |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 | WLWLD |
| 9 | FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | LLWLW |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 | LDLDL |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 | WLLWL |
| 12 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 | LWWLL |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | DDLWL |
| 14 | SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 | DWDLW |
| 15 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -12 | 9 | LLWWW |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -12 | 7 | DDDWL |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 | LDLLD |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 | DWLLL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen | 8 | 9 |
| 2 |  P. SchickBayer Leverkusen | 8 | 7 |
| 3 |  M. OliseBayern München | 8 | 6 |
| 4 |  Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 5 |
| 5 |  E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | FC Schalke 04 | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 0 | 0 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 0 | 0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Match preview
FC Schalke 04 host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) at VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes FSV Mainz 05 slight favourites, giving FC Schalke 04 a 34% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 41% for FSV Mainz 05. Our tip is: FSV Mainz 05 or draw.
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Germany Bundesliga
- Date
- Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:30 WAT
- Venue
- VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 in?
The match is in the Germany Bundesliga.
Where are FC Schalke 04 and FSV Mainz 05 in the table?
FC Schalke 04 are 17th and FSV Mainz 05 are 9th in the Bundesliga.
Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
Our prediction is FSV Mainz 05 or draw. Win probabilities: FC Schalke 04 34%, draw 25%, FSV Mainz 05 41%.
Will both teams score in FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05?
We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.