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AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction

AS Roma vs Cagliari prediction for the Serie A on 27 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday27October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 9
AS RomaCagliari
4 - 2Full time · Tue 27 OctHT 2-1
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Match events

AS RomaCagliari
  1. 7'VARVAR: Michel AdopoPenalty confirmed
  2. 10'Penalty goal: M'Bala Nzola (pen)
  3. Goal: Emanuele LulliAssist: Nahuel Molina15'
  4. Goal: Niccolò PisilliAssist: Emanuele Lulli21'
  5. Substitution: Nahuel MolinaOff: Wesley Vinícius França Lima45'

HT 2-1

  1. Substitution: Marten de RoonOff: Rodrigo Mora56'
  2. Substitution: Santiago Thomas CastroOff: Donyell Malen56'
  3. 63'Substitution: M'Bala NzolaOff: Paul Mendy
  4. 76'Substitution: Alieu FaderaOff: Daniel Maldini
  5. 76'Substitution: Alessandro DeiolaOff: Joseph Liteta
  6. Substitution: Emanuele LulliOff: Devyne Rensch76'
  7. 81'Goal: Daniel MaldiniAssist: Adam Obert
  8. Substitution: Gianluca ManciniOff: Daniele Ghilardi82'
  9. Goal: Rodrigo MoraAssist: Daniele Ghilardi85'
  10. Goal: Donyell Malen87'
  11. 90+1'Substitution: Michel AdopoOff: Yanis Massolin
  12. 90+1'Substitution: Yukinari SugawaraOff: Yael Trepy
  13. 90+4'Yellow card: Juan RodriguezFoul

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · AS Roma69%
Fair odds 1.45
X · Draw20%
Fair odds 5.00
2 · Cagliari11%
Fair odds 9.09

Match statistics

  • 61%Possession39%
  • 2.92Expected goals (xG)2.45
  • 20Total shots19
  • 8Shots on target8
  • 5Shots off target7
  • 7Blocked shots4
  • 13Shots inside the box12
  • 7Corners8
  • 2Offsides3
  • 8Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves4
  • 585Passes373
  • 508Accurate passes296

Line-ups

AS Roma

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 95P. GolliniG
  2. 23G. ManciniD
  3. 5E. NdickaD
  4. 3K. KoulierakisD
  5. 77E. LulliM
  6. 4B. CristanteM
  7. 15M. de RoonM
  8. 61N. PisilliM
  9. 20N. MolinaM
  10. 18M. SouléF
  11. 9S. CastroF

Substitutes

  1. 43WesleyD
  2. 32D. VásquezG
  3. 2D. RenschD
  4. 14D. MalenF
  5. 22HermosoD
  6. 87D. GhilardiD
  7. 63Alessandro Di NunzioM
  8. 70G. De MarziG
  9. 78Mandjou CamaraF
  10. 26L. BalerdiD
  11. 86Rodrigo MoraM

Coach: G. Gasperini

Cagliari

3-5-1-1

Starting XI

  1. 1E. CaprileG
  2. 2Zé PedroD
  3. 26Y. MinaD
  4. 15J. RodríguezD
  5. 28Y. SugawaraM
  6. 8M. AdopoM
  7. 4A. RomanoM
  8. 14A. DeiolaM
  9. 33A. ObertM
  10. 39A. FaderaM
  11. 18M'Bala NzolaF

Substitutes

  1. 10J. FazziniM
  2. 19Y. TrepyF
  3. 21R. GagliardiniM
  4. 9Kevin CarlosF
  5. 22R. KoflerD
  6. 27J. LitetaM
  7. 70D. MaldiniF
  8. 79Y. MassolinM
  9. 31P. MendyF
  10. 23B. RadunovićG
  11. 12A. SherriG
  12. 32Ivan Stoyanov SulevM
  13. 20R. CiervoF
  14. 24G. AurelioD

Coach: F. Pisacane

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.09 – 0.71
0.5 goalsOver93.9%Under6.1%
1.5 goalsOver76.9%Under23.1%
2.5 goalsOver53.1%Under46.9%
3.5 goalsOver30.8%Under69.2%
4.5 goalsOver15.2%Under84.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AS RomaCagliari
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
63%Defence37%
50%Head to head50%
75%Expected goals25%
86%Overall14%

Last matches

Newest first
AS Roma2W 1D 1L · last 4
DNapoli vs AS Roma24 Oct 2026 · Serie A3-3WAS Roma vs Slovan Bratislava20 Oct 2026 · Champions League4-0WAS Roma vs Genoa17 Oct 2026 · Serie A2-0LAS Roma vs Real Madrid14 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-4
Cagliari0W 0D 2L · last 2
LCagliari vs Bologna24 Oct 2026 · Serie A0-2LMonza vs Cagliari19 Oct 2026 · Serie A4-0

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
11Genoa10-413
12Cagliari10-613
13Atalanta9-111
14Lecce10-109
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza10-77
17Fiorentina9-105
18Parma9-105
19Udinese10-125
20Venezia10-143
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Gustavo VarelaMonza99
2D. MalenAS Roma98
3A. RaimondoFrosinone108
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5A. RabiotAC Milan85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAS RomaCagliari
Played42
Wins20
Draws10
Losses12
Goals for (avg)30
Goals against (avg)1.83
Clean sheets20
Failed to score02
Best win streak20

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 4 games went over the line

Over 1.54/42/2
Over 2.53/41/2
Over 3.53/41/2
BTTS – yes2/40/2

Match preview

AS Roma host Cagliari in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) at Stadio Olimpico, Rome, with kick-off on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes AS Roma clear favourites, giving AS Roma a 69% chance of winning, 20% for the draw and 11% for Cagliari. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

AS Roma have taken 7 points from their last 4 games (2W 1D 1L). Cagliari have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 45% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is AS Roma vs Cagliari?

AS Roma vs Cagliari kicks off on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is AS Roma vs Cagliari in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are AS Roma and Cagliari in the table?

AS Roma are 3rd and Cagliari are 12th in the Serie A.

Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: AS Roma 69%, draw 20%, Cagliari 11%.

Will both teams score in AS Roma vs Cagliari?

We estimate a 45% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AS Roma vs Cagliari?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Tue 27 Oct

FTSassuolo 2-6 LazioX2 ✓FTTorino 1-3 Como2 ✓

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