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Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction

Sassuolo vs Lazio prediction for the Serie A on 27 Oct 2026: Lazio or draw (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Tuesday27October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 9
SassuoloLazio
2 - 6Full time · Tue 27 OctHT 2-4
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

Match events

SassuoloLazio
  1. 2'Goal: Kenneth Taylor
  2. Goal: Kristian ThorstvedtAssist: Josh Doig7'
  3. 13'Goal: Gustav IsaksenAssist: Mattia Zaccagni
  4. 16'Goal: Romano Floriani MussoliniAssist: Kenneth Taylor
  5. 16'VARVAR: Romano Floriani MussoliniGoal confirmed
  6. 28'Yellow card: Kenneth TaylorFoul
  7. Red card: Kristian ThorstvedtSerious Foul31'
  8. Goal: Sebastiano EspositoAssist: Simone Cinquegrano43'
  9. 45'Substitution: Kenneth TaylorOff: Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
  10. Substitution: Darryl BakolaOff: Ibrahim Sulemana45'
  11. 45+1'Goal: Mattia ZaccagniAssist: Gustav Isaksen

HT 2-4

  1. 47'VARVAR: Mattia ZaccagniPenalty confirmed
  2. 50'Missed penalty: Mattia Zaccagni
  3. Yellow card: Domenico BerardiDissent54'
  4. 55'Goal: Tijjani NoslinAssist: Mattia Zaccagni
  5. 61'Missed penalty: Davide Frattesi
  6. 62'Substitution: Romano Floriani MussoliniOff: Manuel Lazzari
  7. 63'Substitution: Alfonso PedrazaOff: Nuno Tavares
  8. 63'Substitution: Gustav IsaksenOff: Matteo Cancellieri
  9. Substitution: Sebastiano EspositoOff: Kieron Bowie63'
  10. Substitution: Domenico BerardiOff: Fali Cande63'
  11. 65'Goal: Tijjani NoslinAssist: Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
  12. Substitution: Armand LaurienteOff: Andrea Ghion70'
  13. 71'Substitution: Tijjani NoslinOff: Andrea Pinamonti
  14. Substitution: Duje Ćaleta-CarOff: Sebastian Walukiewicz82'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Lazio or draw

Bet365 1.40

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-6

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Sassuolo32%
Fair odds 3.13
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Lazio41%
Fair odds 2.44

Match statistics

  • 42%Possession58%
  • 0.82Expected goals (xG)3.41
  • 9Total shots16
  • 2Shots on target8
  • 5Shots off target4
  • 2Blocked shots4
  • 2Shots inside the box11
  • 2Corners1
  • 3Offsides1
  • 7Fouls13
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 1Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves0
  • 443Passes624
  • 390Accurate passes571

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 80S. TuratiG
  2. 46S. CinquegranoD
  3. 26C. OdenthalD
  4. 15D. Ćaleta-CarD
  5. 3J. DoigD
  6. 42K. ThorstvedtM
  7. 35L. LipaniM
  8. 50D. BakolaM
  9. 10D. BerardiF
  10. 94S. EspositoF
  11. 45A. LaurientéF

Substitutes

  1. 25B. DomínguezF
  2. 6S. WalukiewiczD
  3. 8A. GhionM
  4. 21J. IdzesD
  5. 18N. MatićM
  6. 49A. MurićG
  7. 33Rafael ObradorD
  8. 77N. PieriniF
  9. 12G. SatalinoG
  10. 55I. SulemanaM
  11. 20I. Van der BremptD
  12. 7C. VolpatoM
  13. 5Fali CandéD
  14. 9K. BowieF
  15. 17Vasilije AdžićM

Coach: A. Aquilani

Lazio

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 35C. MandasG
  2. 15R. Floriani MussoliniD
  3. 37J. ŠutaloD
  4. 2Diogo LeiteD
  5. 17Nuno TavaresD
  6. 16D. FrattesiM
  7. 21R. BelahyaneM
  8. 24K. TaylorM
  9. 11G. IsaksenF
  10. 14T. NoslinF
  11. 10M. ZaccagniF

Substitutes

  1. 63F. SerraF
  2. 33Ricardo BordonD
  3. 22M. CancellieriF
  4. 32D. CataldiM
  5. 7F. Dele-BashiruM
  6. 5D. DoekhiD
  7. 47D. RenzettiG
  8. 28A. PrzyborekM
  9. 25O. ProvstgaardD
  10. 9A. PinamontiF
  11. 3L. PellegriniD
  12. 23PedrazaD
  13. 40E. MottaG
  14. 29M. LazzariM
  15. 71V. FarcomeniM

Coach: G. Gattuso

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.28 – 1.48
0.5 goalsOver93.7%Under6.3%
1.5 goalsOver76.2%Under23.8%
2.5 goalsOver52.1%Under47.9%
3.5 goalsOver29.9%Under70.1%
4.5 goalsOver14.6%Under85.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SassuoloLazio
0%Form100%
29%Attack71%
14%Defence86%
50%Head to head50%
46%Expected goals54%
44%Overall56%

Last matches

Newest first
Sassuolo0W 0D 2L · last 2
LComo vs Sassuolo24 Oct 2026 · Serie A2-0LFrosinone vs Sassuolo16 Oct 2026 · Serie A4-2
Lazio2W 0D 0L · last 2
WLazio vs Parma24 Oct 2026 · Serie A2-1WJuventus vs Lazio18 Oct 2026 · Serie A0-3

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
11Genoa10-413
12Cagliari10-613
13Atalanta9-111
14Lecce10-109
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza10-77
17Fiorentina9-105
18Parma9-105
19Udinese10-125
20Venezia10-143
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Gustavo VarelaMonza99
2D. MalenAS Roma98
3A. RaimondoFrosinone98
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5A. RabiotAC Milan85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSassuoloLazio
Played22
Wins02
Draws00
Losses20
Goals for (avg)12.5
Goals against (avg)30.5
Clean sheets01
Failed to score10
Best win streak02

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.51/22/2
Over 3.51/20/2
BTTS – yes1/21/2

Match preview

Sassuolo host Lazio in the Serie A (Regular Season - 9) at Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia, with kick-off on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 18:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Lazio slight favourites, giving Sassuolo a 32% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 41% for Lazio. Our tip is: Lazio or draw.

Sassuolo have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L). Lazio have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Tuesday, 27 October 2026, 18:30 WAT
Venue
Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sassuolo vs Lazio?

Sassuolo vs Lazio kicks off on Tuesday, 27 October 2026 at 18:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sassuolo vs Lazio in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are Sassuolo and Lazio in the table?

Sassuolo are 15th and Lazio are 1st in the Serie A.

Who will win Sassuolo vs Lazio?

Our prediction is Lazio or draw. Win probabilities: Sassuolo 32%, draw 27%, Lazio 41%.

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Lazio?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sassuolo vs Lazio?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Tue 27 Oct

FTAS Roma 4-2 CagliariOver 1.5 ✓FTTorino 1-3 Como2 ✓

All football predictions for today