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Cagliari vs Bologna prediction

Cagliari vs Bologna prediction for the Serie A on 24 Oct 2026: Bologna or draw (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 8
CagliariBologna
0 - 2Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 0-0
Unipol Domus, Cagliari

Match events

CagliariBologna
  1. 32'Yellow card: Federico BernardeschiFoul
  2. Yellow card: Zé PedroPersistent Infringement38'
  3. Substitution: Yukinari SugawaraOff: Zé Pedro45'
  4. Substitution: Harry WinksOff: Roberto Gagliardini45'

HT 0-0

  1. Yellow card: Roberto GagliardiniFoul55'
  2. 57'Goal: Nicolo CasaleAssist: Juan Miranda
  3. Substitution: Daniel MaldiniOff: Kevin Carlos67'
  4. Substitution: Alessandro RomanoOff: Alieu Fadera75'
  5. 75'Substitution: Rahim AlhassaneOff: Juan Miranda
  6. 75'Substitution: Jens OdgaardOff: Mikel Jesús Amondarain
  7. 75'Substitution: Nadir ZorteaOff: Marco Libra
  8. Yellow card: Alessandro DeiolaFoul77'
  9. 80'Penalty goal: Federico Bernardeschi (pen)
  10. 85'Substitution: Matteo DarmianOff: Martin Vitik
  11. Substitution: Yanis MassolinOff: Giuseppe Aurelio86'
  12. 88'Substitution: Federico BernardeschiOff: Samuel Mbangula Tshifunda

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Bologna or draw

Bet365 1.36

69%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-2

Expected goals2.4

Win probability

1 · Cagliari31%
Fair odds 3.23
X · Draw30%
Fair odds 3.33
2 · Bologna39%
Fair odds 2.56

Match statistics

  • 57%Possession43%
  • 0.44Expected goals (xG)1.64
  • 4Total shots10
  • 1Shots on target5
  • 3Shots off target2
  • 0Blocked shots3
  • 4Shots inside the box5
  • 1Corners6
  • 2Offsides1
  • 25Fouls13
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves1
  • 511Passes383
  • 435Accurate passes320

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1E. CaprileG
  2. 2Zé PedroD
  3. 14A. DeiolaD
  4. 15J. RodríguezD
  5. 33A. ObertD
  6. 4A. RomanoM
  7. 6H. WinksM
  8. 8M. AdopoM
  9. 79Y. MassolinM
  10. 70D. MaldiniM
  11. 31P. MendyF

Substitutes

  1. 32Ivan Stoyanov SulevM
  2. 39A. FaderaF
  3. 24G. AurelioD
  4. 20R. CiervoF
  5. 10J. FazziniM
  6. 21R. GagliardiniM
  7. 9Kevin CarlosF
  8. 22R. KoflerD
  9. 27J. LitetaM
  10. 26Y. MinaD
  11. 18M'Bala NzolaF
  12. 23B. RadunovićG
  13. 12A. SherriG
  14. 28Y. SugawaraD
  15. 35A. SugameleF

Coach: F. Pisacane

Bologna

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1Ł. SkorupskiG
  2. 36M. DarmianD
  3. 16N. CasaleD
  4. 3A. TheateD
  5. 20N. ZorteaM
  6. 19L. FergusonM
  7. 4T. PobegaM
  8. 33Juan MirandaM
  9. 10F. BernardeschiF
  10. 21J. OdgaardF
  11. 28N. CambiaghiF

Substitutes

  1. 6N. MoroM
  2. 25M. PessinaG
  3. 41M. VitíkD
  4. 11S. MbangulaF
  5. 18M. LibraM
  6. 14T. HeggemD
  7. 72U. HapponenG
  8. 5E. HellandD
  9. 22J. EnemF
  10. 17O. El AzzouziM
  11. 9A. DovbykF
  12. 29L. De SilvestriD
  13. 23R. AlhassaneD
  14. 8M. AmondarainM

Coach: Raffaele Palladino

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.09 – 1.26
0.5 goalsOver90.5%Under9.5%
1.5 goalsOver68.1%Under31.9%
2.5 goalsOver41.7%Under58.3%
3.5 goalsOver21.1%Under78.9%
4.5 goalsOver9.0%Under91.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

CagliariBologna
50%Form50%
0%Attack100%
43%Defence57%
50%Head to head50%
46%Expected goals54%
44%Overall56%

Last matches

Newest first
Cagliari0W 0D 1L · last 1
LMonza vs Cagliari19 Oct 2026 · Serie A4-0
Bologna0W 0D 1L · last 1
LBologna vs Inter17 Oct 2026 · Serie A1-3

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Inter9+1525
2Lazio9+1525
3AS Roma9+1521
4Como9+920
5AC Milan9+718
6Frosinone9+817
7Napoli9+614
8Juventus9+114
9Torino9013
10Cagliari9-513
11Bologna9011
12Atalanta9-111
13Genoa9-510
14Lecce9-99
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza9-67
17Udinese9-95
18Fiorentina9-105
19Parma9-105
20Venezia9-133
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. RaimondoFrosinone98
2Gustavo VarelaMonza88
3D. MalenAS Roma87
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5M. ThuramInter85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatCagliariBologna
Played11
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)43
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.51/11/1
BTTS – yes0/11/1

Match preview

Cagliari host Bologna in the Serie A (Regular Season - 8) at Unipol Domus, Cagliari, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bologna narrow favourites, giving Cagliari a 31% chance of winning, 30% for the draw and 39% for Bologna. Our tip is: Bologna or draw.

Cagliari have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Bologna have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 WAT
Venue
Unipol Domus, Cagliari

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Cagliari vs Bologna?

Cagliari vs Bologna kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Cagliari vs Bologna in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are Cagliari and Bologna in the table?

Cagliari are 10th and Bologna are 11th in the Serie A.

Who will win Cagliari vs Bologna?

Our prediction is Bologna or draw. Win probabilities: Cagliari 31%, draw 30%, Bologna 39%.

Will both teams score in Cagliari vs Bologna?

We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Cagliari vs Bologna?

We estimate a 42% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Sat 24 Oct

FTComo 2-0 Sassuolo1 ✓FTNapoli 3-3 AS RomaX2 ✓FTLazio 2-1 ParmaOver 1.5 ✓

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