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AC Milan vs Inter prediction

AC Milan vs Inter prediction for the Serie A on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (82%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 10
AC MilanInter
3 - 1Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 3-1
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan

Match events

AC MilanInter
  1. Goal: Christian PulisicAssist: Diego Moreira4'
  2. Goal: Adrien RabiotAssist: Diego Moreira10'
  3. 22'Goal: Alessandro Bastoni
  4. Goal: Diego Moreira43'

HT 3-1

  1. Yellow card: Koni De WinterFoul49'
  2. Yellow card: Diego MoreiraDissent52'
  3. 72'Substitution: Hakan ÇalhanoğluOff: Piotr Zieliński
  4. 72'Substitution: Andy DioufOff: Henrikh Mkhitaryan
  5. 75'VARVAR: Henrikh MkhitaryanPenalty cancelled
  6. 81'Substitution: Alessandro BastoniOff: Federico Dimarco
  7. 82'Substitution: Nicolò BarellaOff: Pio Esposito
  8. 82'Substitution: Yann BisseckOff: Ange-Yoan Bonny
  9. Substitution: Yunus MusahOff: Ardon Jashari82'
  10. Substitution: Christian PulisicOff: Alphadjo Cissè82'
  11. Substitution: Sankhoun DiawaraOff: Davide Bartesaghi83'
  12. Substitution: Filippo TerraccianoOff: Gonçalo Ramos89'
  13. Substitution: Omari HutchinsonOff: Diego Moreira89'
  14. 90'Yellow card: Carlos AugustoFoul

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Fair odds 1.22

82%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · AC Milan30%
Fair odds 3.33
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Inter45%
Fair odds 2.22

Match statistics

  • 43%Possession57%
  • 0.74Expected goals (xG)1.79
  • 7Total shots19
  • 4Shots on target8
  • 2Shots off target8
  • 1Blocked shots3
  • 4Shots inside the box13
  • 3Corners11
  • 1Offsides4
  • 8Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 7Goalkeeper saves1
  • 407Passes525
  • 357Accurate passes460

Line-ups

AC Milan

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 16M. MaignanG
  2. 34Mario GilaD
  3. 5K. De WinterD
  4. 31S. PavlovićD
  5. 22Diego MoreiraM
  6. 14L. ModrićM
  7. 80Y. MusahM
  8. 13S. BocoumM
  9. 12A. RabiotM
  10. 11C. PulišićM
  11. 9Gonçalo RamosF

Substitutes

  1. 30A. JashariM
  2. 49Luka MenonF
  3. 40L. OssolaM
  4. 47N. PereraD
  5. 42F. TerraccianoD
  6. 55Silvano VosM
  7. 96L. TorrianiG
  8. 20O. HutchinsonF
  9. 41L. P. BouyerG
  10. 33D. BartesaghiD
  11. 35V. VladimirovD
  12. 73F. CamardaF
  13. 70A. CissèM
  14. 28C. ComottoM
  15. 2P. EstupiñánD

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Inter

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Josep MartínezG
  2. 31Y. BisseckD
  3. 25M. AkanjiD
  4. 95A. BastoniD
  5. 99D. SpenceM
  6. 23N. BarellaM
  7. 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
  8. 30Carlos AugustoM
  9. 17A. DioufM
  10. 8P. SučićM
  11. 9M. ThuramF

Substitutes

  1. 7P. ZielińskiM
  2. 40A. TahoG
  3. 94F. EspositoF
  4. 5A. StankovićM
  5. 48M. MosconiF
  6. 22H. MkhitaryanM
  7. 53M. LavelliF
  8. 51L. JakirovićD
  9. 32F. DimarcoD
  10. 12R. Di GennaroG
  11. 46L. BovioD
  12. 14A. BonnyF

Coach: C. Chivu

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.71
0.5 goalsOver95.4%Under4.6%
1.5 goalsOver81.1%Under18.9%
2.5 goalsOver59.2%Under40.8%
3.5 goalsOver36.8%Under63.2%
4.5 goalsOver19.7%Under80.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

AC MilanInter
33%Form67%
51%Attack49%
34%Defence66%
50%Head to head50%
44%Expected goals56%
40%Overall60%

Last matches

Newest first
AC Milan2W 0D 2L · last 4
LAC Milan vs Bologna28 Oct 2026 · Serie A2-4LBournemouth vs AC Milan22 Oct 2026 · Europa League3-0WAC Milan vs Atalanta18 Oct 2026 · Serie A3-2WRed Bull Salzburg vs AC Milan15 Oct 2026 · Europa League0-4
Inter4W 0D 1L · last 5
WVenezia vs Inter28 Oct 2026 · Serie A0-2WInter vs Fiorentina25 Oct 2026 · Serie A2-1WInter vs Shakhtar Donetsk21 Oct 2026 · Champions League1-0WBologna vs Inter17 Oct 2026 · Serie A1-3LInter vs Club Brugge KV13 Oct 2026 · Champions League3-4

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
11Genoa10-413
12Cagliari10-613
13Atalanta9-111
14Lecce10-109
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza10-77
17Fiorentina9-105
18Parma9-105
19Udinese10-125
20Venezia10-143
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Gustavo VarelaMonza99
2D. MalenAS Roma98
3A. RaimondoFrosinone98
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5A. RabiotAC Milan85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAC MilanInter
Played45
Wins24
Draws00
Losses21
Goals for (avg)2.32.2
Goals against (avg)2.31.2
Clean sheets12
Failed to score10
Best win streak24

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 5 games went over the line

Over 1.54/44/5
Over 2.54/43/5
Over 3.53/42/5
BTTS – yes2/43/5

Match preview

AC Milan host Inter in the Serie A (Regular Season - 10) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Inter slight favourites, giving AC Milan a 30% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 45% for Inter. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

AC Milan have taken 6 points from their last 4 games (2W 0D 2L). Inter have taken 12 points from their last 5 games (4W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 62% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is AC Milan vs Inter?

AC Milan vs Inter kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is AC Milan vs Inter in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are AC Milan and Inter in the table?

AC Milan are 5th and Inter are 2nd in the Serie A.

Who will win AC Milan vs Inter?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: AC Milan 30%, draw 25%, Inter 45%.

Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Inter?

We estimate a 62% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in AC Milan vs Inter?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Sat 31 Oct

FTBologna 2-1 MonzaOver 1.5 ✓FTUdinese 2-5 AS Roma2 ✓

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