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Bologna vs Monza prediction

Bologna vs Monza prediction for the Serie A on 31 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 10
BolognaMonza
2 - 1Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-1
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

Match events

BolognaMonza
  1. 6'Penalty goal: Gustavo Varela (pen)
  2. 12'Yellow card: Ricardo MangasFoul
  3. Yellow card: Jens OdgaardFoul17'
  4. Yellow card: Tommaso PobegaFoul23'
  5. Goal: Tommaso PobegaAssist: Juan Miranda33'
  6. 45'Substitution: Exequiel ZeballosOff: Jay Robinson

HT 1-1

  1. VAR: Arthur TheatePenalty confirmedVAR56'
  2. 58'Yellow card: Lorenzo LucchesiFoul
  3. Penalty goal: Federico Bernardeschi (pen)59'
  4. Substitution: Jens OdgaardOff: Samuel Mbangula Tshifunda64'
  5. 66'Substitution: Leonardo ColomboOff: Mathis Mout
  6. 66'Substitution: Eddy KouadioOff: Idrissa Toure
  7. 71'Substitution: Cyril NgongeOff: Dany Mota
  8. 71'Substitution: Patrick CutroneOff: Gustavo Varela
  9. Yellow card: Nadir ZorteaFoul74'
  10. Substitution: Tommaso PobegaOff: Oussama El Azzouzi74'
  11. Substitution: Martin VitikOff: Matteo Darmian75'
  12. 76'Yellow card: Idrissa ToureFoul
  13. 77'VARVAR: Jay RobinsonPenalty confirmed
  14. 81'Missed penalty: Patrick Cutrone
  15. Substitution: Nadir ZorteaOff: Mikel Jesús Amondarain83'
  16. Substitution: Federico BernardeschiOff: Artem Dovbyk83'
  17. Yellow card: Mikel Jesús AmondarainFoul90'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Bologna53%
Fair odds 1.89
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Monza22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 60%Possession40%
  • 2.10Expected goals (xG)1.84
  • 10Total shots6
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 3Shots off target1
  • 2Blocked shots1
  • 8Shots inside the box3
  • 5Corners2
  • 4Offsides1
  • 13Fouls19
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 466Passes323
  • 372Accurate passes226

Line-ups

Bologna

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Ł. SkorupskiG
  2. 41M. VitíkD
  3. 16N. CasaleD
  4. 3A. TheateD
  5. 20N. ZorteaM
  6. 19L. FergusonM
  7. 4T. PobegaM
  8. 33Juan MirandaM
  9. 10F. BernardeschiM
  10. 28N. CambiaghiM
  11. 21J. OdgaardF

Substitutes

  1. 25M. PessinaG
  2. 7R. OrsoliniF
  3. 6N. MoroM
  4. 11S. MbangulaF
  5. 18M. LibraM
  6. 14T. HeggemD
  7. 72U. HapponenG
  8. 5E. HellandD
  9. 17O. El AzzouziM
  10. 9A. DovbykF
  11. 36M. DarmianD
  12. 8M. AmondarainM
  13. 23R. AlhassaneD

Coach: Raffaele Palladino

Monza

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1N. TörnqvistG
  2. 60E. KouadioD
  3. 2S. GoglichidzeD
  4. 3L. LucchesiD
  5. 19S. BirindelliM
  6. 8M. OndoaM
  7. 21L. ColomboM
  8. 7Ricardo MangasM
  9. 47Dany MotaM
  10. 22E. ZeballosM
  11. 9Gustavo VarelaF

Substitutes

  1. 24A. BakouneD
  2. 27I. TouréM
  3. 44A. CarboniD
  4. 26P. CiurriaF
  5. 28A. ColpaniM
  6. 10P. CutroneF
  7. 11O. ForsonF
  8. 80M. MoutM
  9. 16C. NgongeF
  10. 46Jay RobinsonF
  11. 43A. StrajnarG
  12. 20D. ThiamG
  13. 6V. AntovD
  14. 14E. AkinsanmiroM

Coach: I. Juric

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.04
0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BolognaMonza
67%Form33%
50%Attack50%
57%Defence43%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
71%Overall29%

Last matches

Newest first
Bologna2W 0D 1L · last 3
WAC Milan vs Bologna28 Oct 2026 · Serie A2-4WCagliari vs Bologna24 Oct 2026 · Serie A0-2LBologna vs Inter17 Oct 2026 · Serie A1-3
Monza1W 0D 2L · last 3
LMonza vs Napoli28 Oct 2026 · Serie A1-4LTorino vs Monza23 Oct 2026 · Serie A3-2WMonza vs Cagliari19 Oct 2026 · Serie A4-0

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
11Genoa10-413
12Cagliari10-613
13Atalanta9-111
14Lecce10-109
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza10-77
17Fiorentina9-105
18Parma9-105
19Udinese10-125
20Venezia10-143
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Gustavo VarelaMonza99
2D. MalenAS Roma98
3A. RaimondoFrosinone98
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5A. RabiotAC Milan85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBolognaMonza
Played33
Wins21
Draws00
Losses12
Goals for (avg)2.32.3
Goals against (avg)1.72.3
Clean sheets11
Failed to score00
Best win streak21

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.53/33/3
Over 2.52/33/3
Over 3.52/33/3
BTTS – yes2/32/3

Match preview

Bologna host Monza in the Serie A (Regular Season - 10) at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bologna favourites, giving Bologna a 53% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 22% for Monza. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Bologna have taken 6 points from their last 3 games (2W 0D 1L). Monza have taken 3 points from their last 3 games (1W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Bologna vs Monza?

Bologna vs Monza kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Bologna vs Monza in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are Bologna and Monza in the table?

Bologna are 9th and Monza are 16th in the Serie A.

Who will win Bologna vs Monza?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Bologna 53%, draw 25%, Monza 22%.

Will both teams score in Bologna vs Monza?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bologna vs Monza?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Sat 31 Oct

FTUdinese 2-5 AS Roma2 ✓FTAC Milan 3-1 InterOver 1.5 ✓

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