Serie A · Regular Season - 8
Match events
FiorentinaHT 0-0
- 51'Substitution: Marin PongračićOff: Viery
- Substitution: Pio EspositoOff: Ange-Yoan Bonny64'
- 65'Goal: Álex JiménezAssist: Nicolo Fagioli
- 70'Yellow card: VieryFoul
- 75'Substitution: Wilfried GnontoOff: Franco Mastantuono
- 75'Substitution: Domilson DodoOff: Álex Jiménez
- Substitution: Alessandro BastoniOff: Federico Dimarco77'
- Substitution: Hakan ÇalhanoğluOff: Piotr Zieliński78'
- Substitution: Henrikh MkhitaryanOff: Petar Sučić78'
- 83'Substitution: BetoOff: Mateo Pellegrino
- 83'Substitution: Alieu NjieOff: João Mário
- Substitution: Nicolò BarellaOff: Mattheo Lavelli85'
- Goal: Marcus ThuramAssist: Andy Diouf90+1'
- Penalty goal: Piotr Zieliński (pen)90+7'
Our verdict
Inter to win
Bet365 1.33
✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 63%Possession37%
- 3.44Expected goals (xG)0.25
- 33Total shots7
- 11Shots on target2
- 18Shots off target0
- 4Blocked shots5
- 26Shots inside the box3
- 6Corners1
- 1Offsides3
- 13Fouls14
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Goalkeeper saves8
- 554Passes336
- 503Accurate passes265
Line-ups
Inter
3-5-2Starting XI
- 49I. ProvedelG
- 31Y. BisseckD
- 25M. AkanjiD
- 95A. BastoniD
- 17A. DioufM
- 23N. BarellaM
- 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
- 22H. MkhitaryanM
- 30Carlos AugustoM
- 9M. ThuramF
- 94F. EspositoF
Substitutes
- 8P. SučićM
- 99D. SpenceD
- 5A. StankovićM
- 48M. MosconiF
- 14A. BonnyF
- 46L. BovioD
- 12R. Di GennaroG
- 32F. DimarcoD
- 51L. JakirovićD
- 53M. LavelliF
- 7P. ZielińskiM
- 1Josep MartínezG
Coach: C. Chivu
Fiorentina
4-3-3Starting XI
- 43David de GeaG
- 20Álex JiménezD
- 3R. DrăgușinD
- 5M. PongračićD
- 21ValdeD
- 27C. NdourM
- 44N. FagioliM
- 4M. BrescianiniM
- 30Franco MastantuonoF
- 32Mateo PellegrinoF
- 25A. NjieF
Substitutes
- 23BetoF
- 33VieryD
- 53O. ChristensenG
- 2DodôD
- 29W. GnontoF
- 42C. Inao OulaïM
- 17João MárioD
- 19L. LezzeriniG
- 28PoteM
- 74Arnis AdemiD
- 72B. MazzeoF
- 73Antonio PirròM
Coach: P. Vanoli
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.53 – 0.90Half time / full time result. 1 = Inter, X = draw, 2 = Fiorentina.
Asian handicap applied to Inter.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstSerie A table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | +16 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Inter | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 25 | LWWWW |
| 3 | AS Roma | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +18 | 24 | WWDWD |
| 4 | Como | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 | WWWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +9 | 21 | WLWWD |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 | WWDWL |
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 8 | Napoli | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 | LWDLW |
| 9 | Bologna | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 14 | WWWLW |
| 10 | Torino | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 13 | LLWWW |
| 11 | Genoa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 13 | WWWLW |
| 12 | Cagliari | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 13 | LLLLD |
| 13 | Atalanta | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 14 | Lecce | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | -10 | 9 | LLLWL |
| 15 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 | Monza | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -7 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Fiorentina | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | DLLLD |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Udinese | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -12 | 5 | LDLLL |
| 20 | Venezia | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -14 | 3 | LLLWL |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gustavo VarelaMonza | 9 | 9 |
| 2 |  D. MalenAS Roma | 9 | 8 |
| 3 |  A. RaimondoFrosinone | 9 | 8 |
| 4 |  N. KrstovićAtalanta | 9 | 6 |
| 5 |  A. RabiotAC Milan | 8 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Inter | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 1 |
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.3 | 1 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1.7 | 3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 2 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/3 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/3 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/3 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/3 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Inter host Fiorentina in the Serie A (Regular Season - 8) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 12:30 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Inter clear favourites, giving Inter a 72% chance of winning, 17% for the draw and 11% for Fiorentina. Our tip is: Inter to win.
Inter have taken 6 points from their last 3 games (2W 0D 1L). Fiorentina have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Italy Serie A
- Date
- Sunday, 25 October 2026, 12:30 WAT
- Venue
- San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Inter vs Fiorentina?
Inter vs Fiorentina kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 12:30 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Inter vs Fiorentina in?
The match is in the Italy Serie A.
Where are Inter and Fiorentina in the table?
Inter are 2nd and Fiorentina are 17th in the Serie A.
Who will win Inter vs Fiorentina?
Our prediction is Inter to win. Win probabilities: Inter 72%, draw 17%, Fiorentina 11%.
Will both teams score in Inter vs Fiorentina?
We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Inter vs Fiorentina?
We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.