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ST Mirren vs Hibernian prediction

ST Mirren vs Hibernian prediction for the Scottish Premiership on 28 Oct 2026: Hibernian or draw (71%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday28October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 11
ST MirrenHibernian
1 - 1Full time · Wed 28 OctHT 0-0
The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley

Match events

ST MirrenHibernian
  1. Yellow card: Chris MochrieFoul37'
  2. 39'Yellow card: Josh MulliganFoul

HT 0-0

  1. Substitution: Luke ThomasOff: Paul Nsio59'
  2. Yellow card: Alexander GogićFoul66'
  3. 68'Substitution: Miguel Changa ChaiwaOff: Azeem Abdulai
  4. Substitution: Jake YoungOff: Eseosa Sule70'
  5. Substitution: Chris MochrieOff: Samuel Antonio Ramos Linares71'
  6. 78'Goal: Marko IvezicAssist: Owen Elding
  7. 79'Substitution: Jamie McGrathOff: Thibault Klidjé
  8. 79'Substitution: Nicky CaddenOff: Rabbi Matondo
  9. Substitution: Ryan CarrOff: Fraser Taylor80'
  10. Own goal: Jason Kerr (og)83'
  11. Yellow card: Fraser TaylorFoul89'
  12. Yellow card: Paul NsioArgument90+2'
  13. 90+2'Yellow card: Azeem AbdulaiArgument

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Hibernian or draw

Bet365 1.30

71%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · ST Mirren29%
Fair odds 3.45
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Hibernian46%
Fair odds 2.17

Match statistics

  • 42%Possession58%
  • 1.80Expected goals (xG)1.42
  • 11Total shots9
  • 3Shots on target1
  • 5Shots off target3
  • 3Blocked shots5
  • 10Shots inside the box7
  • 3Corners5
  • 3Offsides1
  • 13Fouls14
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves3
  • 346Passes482
  • 250Accurate passes388

Line-ups

ST Mirren

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1J. ChapmanG
  2. 22M. FraserD
  3. 13A. GogićD
  4. 53Henry FieldsonD
  5. 47C. RamsayM
  6. 8R. CarrM
  7. 88K. PhillipsM
  8. 3D. JohnM
  9. 16L. ThomasF
  10. 9Eseosa SuleF
  11. 23C. MochrieF

Substitutes

  1. 48P. NsioM
  2. 4L. DonnellyM
  3. 6Louis JacksonD
  4. 37C. McEvoyM
  5. 10SamuM
  6. 2J. RichardsonD
  7. 35Grant TamoseviciusG
  8. 30F. TaylorM
  9. 20J. YoungF

Coach: Craig McLeish

Hibernian

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1R. SallingerG
  2. 25F. PasslackD
  3. 6J. KerrD
  4. 5M. IvezićD
  5. 3A. MayorD
  6. 14M. ChaiwaM
  7. 11J. NewellM
  8. 17J. McGrathM
  9. 8J. MulliganM
  10. 19N. CaddenM
  11. 7O. EldingF

Substitutes

  1. 34Z. BruceM
  2. 4G. HanleyD
  3. 15J. IredaleD
  4. 47A. AbdulaiM
  5. 18T. KlidjeF
  6. 39R. MatondoM
  7. 13J. SmithG
  8. 12Alex WilliamsD
  9. 22A. ŠutoF

Coach: M. Reedijk

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.24 – 1.62
0.5 goalsOver94.3%Under5.7%
1.5 goalsOver77.9%Under22.1%
2.5 goalsOver54.5%Under45.5%
3.5 goalsOver32.1%Under67.9%
4.5 goalsOver16.2%Under83.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ST MirrenHibernian
100%Form0%
60%Attack40%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
43%Expected goals57%
39%Overall61%

Last matches

Newest first
ST Mirren1W 0D 1L · last 2
WST Mirren vs Dundee24 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership2-1LAberdeen vs ST Mirren17 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership3-1
Hibernian0W 0D 2L · last 2
LHibernian vs Celtic25 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership1-2LHibernian vs Falkirk17 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership1-2

Scottish Premiership table

Scottish Premiership table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Celtic11+1928
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Dundee11+417
5Dundee Utd11016
6Falkirk11+115
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
11Kilmarnock12-159
12Hibernian11-68
See full table ›

Top scorers

Scottish Premiership top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. DuránCeltic117
2B. NygrenCeltic116
3J. FowlerST Johnstone126
4R. NaderiRangers105
5Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatST MirrenHibernian
Played22
Wins10
Draws00
Losses12
Goals for (avg)1.51
Goals against (avg)22
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/22/2
Over 3.51/20/2
BTTS – yes2/22/2

Match preview

ST Mirren host Hibernian in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 11) at The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Hibernian slight favourites, giving ST Mirren a 29% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 46% for Hibernian. Our tip is: Hibernian or draw.

ST Mirren have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Hibernian have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Scotland Scottish Premiership
Date
Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
The SMiSA Stadium, Paisley

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is ST Mirren vs Hibernian?

ST Mirren vs Hibernian kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is ST Mirren vs Hibernian in?

The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.

Where are ST Mirren and Hibernian in the table?

ST Mirren are 8th and Hibernian are 12th in the Scottish Premiership.

Who will win ST Mirren vs Hibernian?

Our prediction is Hibernian or draw. Win probabilities: ST Mirren 29%, draw 25%, Hibernian 46%.

Will both teams score in ST Mirren vs Hibernian?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in ST Mirren vs Hibernian?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Scottish Premiership on Wed 28 Oct

FTCeltic 2-2 Dundee Utd1 ✗FTDundee 3-1 KilmarnockOver 1.5 ✓FTST Johnstone 2-2 MotherwellOver 1.5 ✓FTAberdeen 0-1 Falkirk1X ✗FTHeart Of Midlothian 2-2 RangersX2 ✓

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