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Hibernian vs Falkirk prediction

Hibernian vs Falkirk prediction for the Scottish Premiership on 17 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 9
HibernianNo recent gamesFalkirkNo recent games
1 - 2Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-2
Easter Road, Edinburgh

Match events

HibernianFalkirk
  1. Yellow card: Owen EldingFoul6'
  2. 13'Goal: Jacob MurrellAssist: Ryan Strain
  3. 25'Yellow card: Ben krauhausFoul
  4. 37'Goal: Jacob MurrellAssist: Ethan Ross
  5. Goal: Owen EldingAssist: Felix Passlack41'
  6. 45'Substitution: Scott TanserOff: Leon McCann

HT 1-2

  1. VAR: Thibault KlidjéPenalty cancelledVAR54'
  2. Substitution: Thibault KlidjéOff: Rabbi Matondo60'
  3. Substitution: Azeem AbdulaiOff: Jamie McGrath61'
  4. 61'Yellow card: Ryan StrainFoul
  5. 65'Substitution: Ben krauhausOff: Deniss Meļņiks
  6. Substitution: A. MajorOff: Ante Suto76'
  7. Substitution: Miguel Changa ChaiwaOff: Nicky Cadden76'
  8. 77'Substitution: Ethan RossOff: Calvin Fodrey
  9. 79'Yellow card: Finley Frank BarbrookFoul
  10. 84'Substitution: Finn YeatsOff: Finley Frank Barbrook
  11. 84'Substitution: Jack McMillanOff: Owen Eames

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Hibernian53%
Fair odds 1.89
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Falkirk22%
Fair odds 4.55

Match statistics

  • 70%Possession30%
  • 1.40Expected goals (xG)0.79
  • 17Total shots10
  • 3Shots on target5
  • 8Shots off target3
  • 6Blocked shots2
  • 14Shots inside the box7
  • 6Corners3
  • 0Offsides2
  • 5Fouls20
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves2
  • 587Passes248
  • 471Accurate passes163

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1R. SallingerG
  2. 25F. PasslackD
  3. 6J. KerrD
  4. 5M. IvezićD
  5. 3A. MayorD
  6. 8J. MulliganM
  7. 14M. ChaiwaM
  8. 10M. BoyleM
  9. 47A. AbdulaiM
  10. 18T. KlidjeM
  11. 7O. EldingF

Substitutes

  1. 4G. HanleyD
  2. 19N. CaddenM
  3. 15J. IredaleD
  4. 39R. MatondoM
  5. 17J. McGrathM
  6. 11J. NewellM
  7. 35F. OwensG
  8. 12Alex WilliamsD
  9. 22A. ŠutoF

Coach: M. Reedijk

Falkirk

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 19S. BainG
  2. 22R. StrainD
  3. 15L. NeilsonD
  4. 5L. HendersonD
  5. 17S. TanserD
  6. 8B. SpencerM
  7. 16Finley Frank BarbrookM
  8. 23E. RossM
  9. 28B. KrauhausM
  10. 42Owen EamesM
  11. 24J. MurrellF

Substitutes

  1. 99C. FodreyM
  2. 1N. HogarthG
  3. 9R. MacIverF
  4. 3L. McCannD
  5. 4J. McMillanD
  6. 21D. MeļņiksM
  7. 7Ben ParkinsonF
  8. 14F. YeatsM
  9. 27C. McLeodM

Coach: J. McGlynn

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.02
0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

HibernianFalkirk
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
71%Overall29%

Last matches

Newest first
Hibernian0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Falkirk0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Scottish Premiership table

Scottish Premiership table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
11Kilmarnock12-159
12Hibernian11-68
See full table ›

Top scorers

Scottish Premiership top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. DuránCeltic117
2B. NygrenCeltic116
3J. FowlerST Johnstone126
4R. NaderiRangers105
5Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatHibernianFalkirk
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Hibernian host Falkirk in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 9) at Easter Road, Edinburgh, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Hibernian favourites, giving Hibernian a 53% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 22% for Falkirk. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 53% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Scotland Scottish Premiership
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Easter Road, Edinburgh

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Hibernian vs Falkirk kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Hibernian vs Falkirk in?

The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.

Where are Hibernian and Falkirk in the table?

Hibernian are 12th and Falkirk are 4th in the Scottish Premiership.

Who will win Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Hibernian 53%, draw 25%, Falkirk 22%.

Will both teams score in Hibernian vs Falkirk?

We estimate a 53% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hibernian vs Falkirk?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Scottish Premiership on Sat 17 Oct

FTAberdeen 3-1 ST Mirren1X ✓FTST Johnstone 1-1 Dundee UtdX2 ✓FTKilmarnock 3-2 MotherwellX2 ✗FTDundee 2-2 Rangers2 ✗

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