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ST Mirren vs Dundee prediction

ST Mirren vs Dundee prediction for the Scottish Premiership on 24 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (79%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 10
ST MirrenDundee
2 - 1Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 1-0
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

Match events

ST MirrenDundee
  1. Goal: Calvin RamsayAssist: Eseosa Sule20'

HT 1-0

  1. Goal: Eseosa SuleAssist: Killian Phillips56'
  2. 62'Substitution: Joseph BevanOff: Charlie Reilly
  3. Yellow card: Eseosa SuleTime Wasting63'
  4. Substitution: Jake YoungOff: Eseosa Sule68'
  5. 69'Substitution: Callum JonesOff: Ryan Finnigan
  6. Yellow card: Ismeal KabiaTime Wasting71'
  7. 74'Goal: Bradley·Fink
  8. Substitution: Chris MochrieOff: Ismeal Kabia80'
  9. 82'Substitution: Alan ForrestOff: Alfie Harrison
  10. Yellow card: Luke ThomasDissent82'
  11. 84'Yellow card: Alfie HarrisonFoul

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

79%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · ST Mirren40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Dundee34%
Fair odds 2.94

Match statistics

  • 49%Possession51%
  • 1.48Expected goals (xG)1.29
  • 9Total shots16
  • 5Shots on target4
  • 2Shots off target7
  • 2Blocked shots5
  • 6Shots inside the box11
  • 2Corners5
  • 2Offsides1
  • 15Fouls11
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 398Passes496
  • 305Accurate passes393

Line-ups

ST Mirren

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1J. ChapmanG
  2. 22M. FraserD
  3. 13A. GogićD
  4. 53Henry FieldsonD
  5. 47C. RamsayM
  6. 8R. CarrM
  7. 88K. PhillipsM
  8. 3D. JohnM
  9. 16L. ThomasF
  10. 9Eseosa SuleF
  11. 19Ismeal KabiaF

Substitutes

  1. 4L. DonnellyM
  2. 6Louis JacksonD
  3. 37C. McEvoyM
  4. 23C. MochrieM
  5. 10SamuM
  6. 2J. RichardsonD
  7. 35Grant TamoseviciusG
  8. 30F. TaylorM
  9. 20J. YoungF

Coach: Craig McLeish

Dundee

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1O. GoodmanG
  2. 7D. WrightD
  3. 4R. AstleyD
  4. 5O. BevanD
  5. 12I. SamuelsD
  6. 27J. BevanM
  7. 28C. JonesM
  8. 48E. HamiltonM
  9. 14A. ForrestM
  10. 11A. HayF
  11. 21B. FinkF

Substitutes

  1. 8R. FinniganM
  2. 17Ž. BeširM
  3. 77Alfie HarrisonM
  4. 13K. O'HaraG
  5. 3I. OdutayoD
  6. 18C. ReillyF
  7. 6M. AkinmboniD
  8. 26J. WrightD
  9. 2B. HallidayD

Coach: S. Pressley

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.52 – 1.39
0.5 goalsOver94.6%Under5.4%
1.5 goalsOver78.7%Under21.3%
2.5 goalsOver55.6%Under44.4%
3.5 goalsOver33.3%Under66.7%
4.5 goalsOver17.0%Under83.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ST MirrenDundee
0%Form100%
33%Attack67%
40%Defence60%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
54%Overall46%

Last matches

Newest first
ST Mirren0W 0D 1L · last 1
LAberdeen vs ST Mirren17 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership3-1
Dundee0W 1D 0L · last 1
DDundee vs Rangers17 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership2-2

Scottish Premiership table

Scottish Premiership table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Celtic11+1928
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Dundee11+417
5Dundee Utd11016
6Falkirk11+115
7ST Mirren11-714
8ST Johnstone11-413
9Aberdeen11-211
10Motherwell11-79
11Hibernian11-68
12Kilmarnock11-158
See full table ›

Top scorers

Scottish Premiership top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. DuránCeltic117
2B. NygrenCeltic116
3J. FowlerST Johnstone116
4R. NaderiRangers105
5Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatST MirrenDundee
Played11
Wins00
Draws01
Losses10
Goals for (avg)12
Goals against (avg)32
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.51/11/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

ST Mirren host Dundee in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 10) at The SMISA Stadium, Paisley, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes ST Mirren slight favourites, giving ST Mirren a 40% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 34% for Dundee. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

ST Mirren have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Dundee have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Scotland Scottish Premiership
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is ST Mirren vs Dundee?

ST Mirren vs Dundee kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is ST Mirren vs Dundee in?

The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.

Where are ST Mirren and Dundee in the table?

ST Mirren are 7th and Dundee are 4th in the Scottish Premiership.

Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: ST Mirren 40%, draw 26%, Dundee 34%.

Will both teams score in ST Mirren vs Dundee?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in ST Mirren vs Dundee?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Scottish Premiership on Sat 24 Oct

FTDundee Utd 3-2 AberdeenOver 1.5 ✓FTFalkirk 3-0 KilmarnockOver 1.5 ✓FTRangers 4-0 ST Johnstone1 ✓

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