Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Falkirk- Yellow card: Daniel HappeFoul17'
- 38'Substitution: Leon McCannOff: Scott Tanser
HT 0-0
- Substitution: Christopher CaddenOff: Nicky Devlin50'
- Substitution: Hicham MahouOff: Lewis Smith57'
- Substitution: Afeez Aremu OlalekanOff: Findlay Marshall57'
- 65'Substitution: Deniss MeļņiksOff: Ben krauhaus
- 66'Substitution: Jacob MurrellOff: Ben Parkinson
- Substitution: Ayoub MoulouaOff: Toyosi Olusanya66'
- Substitution: Daniel HappeOff: Jack Milne66'
- 69'Yellow card: Owen EamesFoul
- 73'Goal: Ben krauhausAssist: Ryan Strain
- Yellow card: Findlay MarshallFoul73'
- 79'Substitution: Ethan RossOff: Calvin Fodrey
- 79'Substitution: Conor McLeodOff: Owen Eames
- 80'Yellow card: Conor McLeodFoul
- 83'Yellow card: Ben krauhausFoul
- 89'Yellow card: Brad SpencerTime Wasting
Our verdict
Aberdeen or draw
Bet365 1.28
✗ This tip lost · final score 0-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 45%Possession55%
- 1.72Expected goals (xG)1.05
- 15Total shots12
- 5Shots on target4
- 3Shots off target3
- 7Blocked shots5
- 13Shots inside the box10
- 5Corners4
- 4Offsides0
- 14Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 3Goalkeeper saves4
- 378Passes466
- 268Accurate passes350
Line-ups
Aberdeen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 27M. MüllerG
- 28C. CaddenD
- 21G. MolloyD
- 26D. HappeD
- 24N. Guinness-WalkerD
- 8B. LyonsM
- 32A. AremuM
- 11Lewis SmithM
- 15K. NisbetM
- 17S. ArmstrongM
- 9A. MoulouaF
Substitutes
- 10A. BriedlM
- 2N. DevlinD
- 30D. KleinG
- 14H. MahouM
- 40F. MarshallM
- 22J. MilneD
- 31M. NteloF
- 20T. OlusanyaF
- 4K. TobersD
Coach: S. Robinson
Falkirk
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 19S. BainG
- 22R. StrainD
- 15L. NeilsonD
- 5L. HendersonD
- 3L. McCannD
- 21D. MeļņiksM
- 8B. SpencerM
- 23E. RossM
- 16Finley Frank BarbrookM
- 42Owen EamesM
- 24J. MurrellF
Substitutes
- 17S. TanserD
- 7Ben ParkinsonF
- 27C. McLeodM
- 10C. SibbaldM
- 9R. MacIverF
- 28B. KrauhausM
- 1N. HogarthG
- 99C. FodreyM
- 14F. YeatsM
Coach: J. McGlynn
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.08Half time / full time result. 1 = Aberdeen, X = draw, 2 = Falkirk.
Asian handicap applied to Aberdeen.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstScottish Premiership table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 | DWWWL |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 | DWDWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 | DWLWD |
| 4 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 | DWDWW |
| 6 | Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | WWWLD |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 | DDLDW |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 | LDWLL |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 | WDLLL |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 | DLLWL |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 | DLLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  C. DuránCeltic | 11 | 7 |
| 2 |  B. NygrenCeltic | 11 | 6 |
| 3 |  J. FowlerST Johnstone | 12 | 6 |
| 4 |  R. NaderiRangers | 10 | 5 |
| 5 |  Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian | 11 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Aberdeen | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 2 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 2/2 | 0/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/2 | 1/2 |
Match preview
Aberdeen host Falkirk in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 11) at Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Aberdeen slight favourites, giving Aberdeen a 46% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 27% for Falkirk. Our tip is: Aberdeen or draw.
Aberdeen have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Falkirk have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Scotland Scottish Premiership
- Date
- Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Venue
- Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Aberdeen vs Falkirk kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Aberdeen vs Falkirk in?
The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.
Where are Aberdeen and Falkirk in the table?
Aberdeen are 10th and Falkirk are 6th in the Scottish Premiership.
Who will win Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
Our prediction is Aberdeen or draw. Win probabilities: Aberdeen 46%, draw 27%, Falkirk 27%.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
We estimate a 52% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Aberdeen vs Falkirk?
We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.