Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 11
Match events
Kilmarnock- Goal: Joseph BevanAssist: Ethan Hamilton32'
HT 1-0
- 58'Yellow card: Cathal McCarthyFoul
- Substitution: Joseph BevanOff: Charlie Reilly60'
- Substitution: Bradley·FinkOff: Joe Westley65'
- Substitution: Joe WrightOff: Matai Akinmboni66'
- 70'Substitution: Robbie DeasOff: Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
- 75'Penalty goal: Joe Hugill (pen)
- 76'Substitution: Jamie BrandonOff: Jonathan Meier
- 76'Substitution: Greg KiltieOff: Ieuan Gwyn Owen
- Substitution: Callum JonesOff: Zan Besir78'
- VAR: Ashley HayGoal cancelledVAR80'
- Goal: Ashley HayAssist: Alan Forrest83'
- 85'Yellow card: George StangerFoul
- 89'Substitution: Cathal McCarthyOff: Djenairo Daniels
- 90+3'Yellow card: Michael-John Kamson-KamaraDissent
- Goal: Ashley HayAssist: Owen Goodman90+4'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.20
✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-1
Win probability
Match statistics
- 46%Possession54%
- 1.83Expected goals (xG)2.13
- 15Total shots15
- 5Shots on target3
- 8Shots off target8
- 2Blocked shots4
- 11Shots inside the box13
- 7Corners5
- 2Offsides1
- 7Fouls13
- 0Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 2Goalkeeper saves2
- 409Passes412
- 309Accurate passes323
Line-ups
Dundee
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 7D. WrightD
- 26J. WrightD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 27J. BevanM
- 28C. JonesM
- 48E. HamiltonM
- 14A. ForrestM
- 11A. HayF
- 21B. FinkF
Substitutes
- 2B. HallidayD
- 17Ž. BeširM
- 77Alfie HarrisonM
- 3I. OdutayoD
- 45Cole PerrieD
- 18C. ReillyF
- 30H. SharpG
- 19J. WestleyF
- 6M. AkinmboniD
Coach: S. Pressley
Kilmarnock
4-3-3Starting XI
- 58N. MantlG
- 2J. BrandonD
- 4C. McCarthyD
- 14G. StangerD
- 6R. DeasD
- 18T. LoweryM
- 36A. TshibolaM
- 21M. Schjønning-LarsenM
- 10T. John-JulesF
- 9J. HugillF
- 11G. KiltieF
Substitutes
- 29D. DanielsF
- 32R. EllisD
- 3Michael-John Kamson-KamaraD
- 23Roshaun MathurinM
- 7R. McKenzieM
- 19J. MeierD
- 8E. RingM
- 12C. FerrieG
- 27I. OwenF
Coach: N. McCann
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.19Half time / full time result. 1 = Dundee, X = draw, 2 = Kilmarnock.
Asian handicap applied to Dundee.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstScottish Premiership table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 | DWWWL |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 | DWDWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 | DWLWD |
| 4 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 | DWDWW |
| 6 | Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | WWWLD |
| 7 | ST Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 | DDLDW |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 14 | LDWLL |
| 9 | Motherwell | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 12 | WDLLL |
| 10 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -15 | 9 | DLLWL |
| 12 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 | DLLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  C. DuránCeltic | 11 | 7 |
| 2 |  B. NygrenCeltic | 11 | 6 |
| 3 |  J. FowlerST Johnstone | 12 | 6 |
| 4 |  R. NaderiRangers | 10 | 5 |
| 5 |  Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian | 11 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Dundee | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals against (avg) | 2 | 2.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/2 | 1/2 |
| BTTS – yes | 2/2 | 1/2 |
Match preview
Dundee host Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 11) at Dens Park, Dundee, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Dundee favourites, giving Dundee a 50% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 25% for Kilmarnock. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Dundee have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Kilmarnock have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Scotland Scottish Premiership
- Date
- Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
- Venue
- Dens Park, Dundee
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Dundee vs Kilmarnock kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Dundee vs Kilmarnock in?
The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.
Where are Dundee and Kilmarnock in the table?
Dundee are 4th and Kilmarnock are 11th in the Scottish Premiership.
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Dundee 50%, draw 25%, Kilmarnock 25%.
Will both teams score in Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.