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ST Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction

ST Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction for the Scottish Premiership on 28 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Wednesday28October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 11
ST JohnstoneMotherwell
2 - 2Full time · Wed 28 OctHT 1-1
McDiarmid Park, Perth

Match events

ST JohnstoneMotherwell
  1. Goal: Taylor Steven19'
  2. 34'Goal: Ibrahim SaidAssist: Emmanuel Longelo
  3. 45'Substitution: Dylan LevittOff: Jardell Kanga
  4. 45'Substitution: Jordan McGheeOff: Lukas Fadinger

HT 1-1

  1. Yellow card: Enes AlicFoul51'
  2. 51'Yellow card: Ibrahim SaidArgument
  3. 54'Goal: Tawanda MaswanhiseAssist: Jake Max Girdwood-Reich
  4. 62'Substitution: Ibrahim SaidOff: Regan Charles-Cook
  5. Substitution: Jamie GullanOff: Josh Campbell66'
  6. Substitution: Ruari PatonOff: Danny schmidt66'
  7. Substitution: Jason HoltOff: Joel Cotterill67'
  8. 71'Yellow card: Tom SparrowFoul
  9. Substitution: Taylor StevenOff: Logan Chalmers80'
  10. 80'Substitution: Tawanda MaswanhiseOff: Jamie·Knight Lebel
  11. 88'Substitution: Jake Max Girdwood-ReichOff: Stephen O'Donnell
  12. Goal: Josh CampbellAssist: Logan Chalmers90+3'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.7

Win probability

1 · ST Johnstone42%
Fair odds 2.38
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Motherwell31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 56%Possession44%
  • 1.39Expected goals (xG)1.53
  • 15Total shots17
  • 3Shots on target9
  • 6Shots off target4
  • 6Blocked shots4
  • 12Shots inside the box13
  • 2Corners8
  • 9Fouls15
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 7Goalkeeper saves1
  • 548Passes421
  • 459Accurate passes332

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1T. StewardG
  2. 26M. ToddD
  3. 19D. FinlaysonD
  4. 3C. DiabateD
  5. 2E. AlıçD
  6. 42R. McAlearM
  7. 8J. HoltM
  8. 7T. StevenM
  9. 99R. PatonM
  10. 10J. GullanM
  11. 9J. FowlerF

Substitutes

  1. 20R. SinclairG
  2. 25M. TaitM
  3. 32J. CampbellM
  4. 4M. BoyesD
  5. 23L. ChalmersM
  6. 30J. CotterillM
  7. 14M. FouldsD
  8. 6B. MikulićD
  9. 22D. SchmidtF

Coach: S. Valakari

Motherwell

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1A. PaulsenG
  2. 7T. SparrowD
  3. 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
  4. 5M. MoormannD
  5. 45M. EmmanuelD
  6. 6J. McGheeM
  7. 63D. LevittM
  8. 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
  9. 19I. SaidM
  10. 71J. HodgeM
  11. 47S. Palmer-HouldenF

Substitutes

  1. 21M. ConnellyG
  2. 17R. Charles-CookF
  3. 8L. FadingerM
  4. 13J. KangaM
  5. 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
  6. 2S. O'DonnellD
  7. 15E. Björgólfs­sonF
  8. 27M. BoothM
  9. 77W. VogtF

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.23
0.5 goalsOver93.3%Under6.7%
1.5 goalsOver75.3%Under24.7%
2.5 goalsOver50.9%Under49.1%
3.5 goalsOver28.8%Under71.2%
4.5 goalsOver13.9%Under86.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ST JohnstoneMotherwell
100%Form0%
33%Attack67%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
ST Johnstone0W 1D 1L · last 2
LRangers vs ST Johnstone24 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership4-0DST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd17 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership1-1
Motherwell0W 0D 2L · last 2
LMotherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian25 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership0-2LKilmarnock vs Motherwell17 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership3-2

Scottish Premiership table

Scottish Premiership table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
11Kilmarnock12-159
12Hibernian11-68
See full table ›

Top scorers

Scottish Premiership top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. DuránCeltic117
2B. NygrenCeltic116
3J. FowlerST Johnstone126
4R. NaderiRangers105
5Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatST JohnstoneMotherwell
Played22
Wins00
Draws10
Losses12
Goals for (avg)0.51
Goals against (avg)2.52.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score11
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.51/21/2
Over 3.51/21/2
BTTS – yes1/21/2

Match preview

ST Johnstone host Motherwell in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 11) at McDiarmid Park, Perth, with kick-off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes ST Johnstone slight favourites, giving ST Johnstone a 42% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 31% for Motherwell. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

ST Johnstone have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Motherwell have taken 0 points from their last 2 games (0W 0D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 51% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Scotland Scottish Premiership
Date
Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
McDiarmid Park, Perth

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

ST Johnstone vs Motherwell kicks off on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is ST Johnstone vs Motherwell in?

The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.

Where are ST Johnstone and Motherwell in the table?

ST Johnstone are 7th and Motherwell are 9th in the Scottish Premiership.

Who will win ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: ST Johnstone 42%, draw 27%, Motherwell 31%.

Will both teams score in ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in ST Johnstone vs Motherwell?

We estimate a 51% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Scottish Premiership on Wed 28 Oct

FTCeltic 2-2 Dundee Utd1 ✗FTDundee 3-1 KilmarnockOver 1.5 ✓FTAberdeen 0-1 Falkirk1X ✗FTST Mirren 1-1 HibernianX2 ✓FTHeart Of Midlothian 2-2 RangersX2 ✓

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