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ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd prediction

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd prediction for the Scottish Premiership on 17 Oct 2026: Dundee Utd or draw (64%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 9
ST JohnstoneNo recent gamesDundee UtdNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-0
McDiarmid Park, Perth

Match events

ST JohnstoneDundee Utd
  1. Goal: Josh FowlerAssist: Enes Alic21'
  2. 42'Yellow card: Dylan TaitFoul
  3. Substitution: Josh FowlerOff: Ruari Paton45'
  4. 45'Substitution: Daniel BennieOff: abdoulaye yoro

HT 1-0

  1. 63'Substitution: Idjessi MetsokoOff: Zachary Sapsford
  2. 63'Substitution: Dylan TaitOff: Lachlan Rose
  3. 66'Yellow card: Lyall CameronFoul
  4. 79'Goal: Lyall CameronAssist: Jesse Randall
  5. Substitution: Taylor StevenOff: Kai Fotheringham82'
  6. Substitution: Sam StantonOff: Jamie Gullan82'
  7. Yellow card: Reece McAlearFoul84'
  8. 90'Yellow card: Zidane IqbalDissent
  9. Yellow card: Jason HoltFoul90+2'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Dundee Utd or draw

Bet365 1.44

64%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · ST Johnstone36%
Fair odds 2.78
X · Draw27%
Fair odds 3.70
2 · Dundee Utd37%
Fair odds 2.70

Match statistics

  • 38%Possession62%
  • 1.36Expected goals (xG)1.17
  • 11Total shots14
  • 5Shots on target7
  • 3Shots off target5
  • 3Blocked shots2
  • 7Shots inside the box7
  • 4Corners7
  • 2Offsides2
  • 11Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves3
  • 362Passes592
  • 271Accurate passes500

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1T. StewardG
  2. 33L. SmithD
  3. 19D. FinlaysonD
  4. 3C. DiabateD
  5. 2E. AlıçD
  6. 42R. McAlearM
  7. 8J. HoltM
  8. 11S. StantonM
  9. 30J. CotterillM
  10. 7T. StevenM
  11. 9J. FowlerF

Substitutes

  1. 32J. CampbellM
  2. 23L. ChalmersM
  3. 18K. FotheringhamF
  4. 14M. FouldsD
  5. 10J. GullanF
  6. 6B. MikulićD
  7. 99R. PatonF
  8. 20R. SinclairG
  9. 26M. ToddM

Coach: S. Valakari

Dundee Utd

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1J. WaltonG
  2. 23J. RawlinsD
  3. 3B. EsselinkD
  4. 18M. ForbesD
  5. 19K. CiubotaruD
  6. 10D. TaitM
  7. 16L. CameronM
  8. 14Zidane IqbalM
  9. 21J. RandallF
  10. 93I. MetsokoF
  11. 77D. BennieF

Substitutes

  1. 30J. AmissahG
  2. 8Panutche CamaráM
  3. 20N. FarrugiaF
  4. 6R. GrahamD
  5. 4I. IovuD
  6. 22D. NaamoD
  7. 15L. RoseF
  8. 9Z. SapsfordM
  9. 26Abdoulaye YoroM

Coach: J. Goodwin

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.40
0.5 goalsOver93.9%Under6.1%
1.5 goalsOver76.7%Under23.3%
2.5 goalsOver52.8%Under47.2%
3.5 goalsOver30.6%Under69.4%
4.5 goalsOver15.1%Under84.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ST JohnstoneDundee Utd
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
50%Expected goals50%
49%Overall51%

Last matches

Newest first
ST Johnstone0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Dundee Utd0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Scottish Premiership table

Scottish Premiership table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Celtic12+1728
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Falkirk12+318
5Dundee11+417
6Dundee Utd11016
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
11Kilmarnock12-159
12Hibernian11-68
See full table ›

Top scorers

Scottish Premiership top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. DuránCeltic117
2B. NygrenCeltic116
3J. FowlerST Johnstone126
4R. NaderiRangers105
5Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatST JohnstoneDundee Utd
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

ST Johnstone host Dundee Utd in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 9) at McDiarmid Park, Perth, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Dundee Utd narrow favourites, giving ST Johnstone a 36% chance of winning, 27% for the draw and 37% for Dundee Utd. Our tip is: Dundee Utd or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 57% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Scotland Scottish Premiership
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
McDiarmid Park, Perth

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?

ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd in?

The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.

Where are ST Johnstone and Dundee Utd in the table?

ST Johnstone are 7th and Dundee Utd are 6th in the Scottish Premiership.

Who will win ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?

Our prediction is Dundee Utd or draw. Win probabilities: ST Johnstone 36%, draw 27%, Dundee Utd 37%.

Will both teams score in ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?

We estimate a 57% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Scottish Premiership on Sat 17 Oct

FTAberdeen 3-1 ST Mirren1X ✓FTKilmarnock 3-2 MotherwellX2 ✗FTHibernian 1-2 FalkirkOver 1.5 ✓FTDundee 2-2 Rangers2 ✗

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