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Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction

Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction for the Scottish Premiership on 25 Oct 2026: Heart Of Midlothian or draw (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday25October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 10
MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian
0 - 2Full time · Sun 25 OctHT 0-1
Fir Park, Motherwell

Match events

MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian
  1. 24'Yellow card: Malachi WalcottFoul
  2. 29'Goal: Claudio Rafael Soares BragaAssist: Sabah Kerjota
  3. Yellow card: Tom SparrowFoul41'

HT 0-1

  1. 57'Yellow card: Sabah KerjotaDissent
  2. 59'Yellow card: Jamie McCartFoul
  3. Substitution: Martin MoormannOff: Jamie·Knight Lebel61'
  4. 64'Substitution: Tomas Bent MagnussonOff: Laurent mendy
  5. Substitution: Sebastian Palmer-HouldenOff: Eythor Bjørgolfsson65'
  6. Substitution: Jordan McGheeOff: Jardell Kanga65'
  7. 65'Substitution: Sabah KerjotaOff: Calvin Miller
  8. 77'Yellow card: Rogers MatoFoul
  9. Yellow card: Ibrahim SaidArgument79'
  10. Yellow card: Tawanda MaswanhiseFoul81'
  11. Substitution: Tom SparrowOff: Stephen O'Donnell82'
  12. 86'Goal: Calvin Miller
  13. 87'Substitution: James wilsonOff: Yan Dhanda
  14. 88'Substitution: Claudio Rafael Soares BragaOff: Jerome Williams
  15. 90+1'Substitution: Josh McpakeOff: Severin Sabri Guendouz

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Heart Of Midlothian or draw

Bet365 1.36

69%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-2

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Motherwell31%
Fair odds 3.23
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Heart Of Midlothian44%
Fair odds 2.27

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.26Expected goals (xG)1.09
  • 17Total shots14
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 7Shots off target3
  • 5Blocked shots6
  • 13Shots inside the box10
  • 6Corners5
  • 0Offsides1
  • 15Fouls10
  • 3Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves5
  • 466Passes410
  • 391Accurate passes321

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1A. PaulsenG
  2. 7T. SparrowD
  3. 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
  4. 5M. MoormannD
  5. 45M. EmmanuelD
  6. 6J. McGheeM
  7. 63D. LevittM
  8. 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
  9. 19I. SaidM
  10. 71J. HodgeM
  11. 47S. Palmer-HouldenF

Substitutes

  1. 15E. Björgólfs­sonF
  2. 27M. BoothM
  3. 13J. KangaM
  4. 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
  5. 21M. ConnellyG
  6. 2S. O'DonnellD
  7. 77W. VogtF
  8. 23E. WilsonD

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Heart Of Midlothian

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1B. ReusG
  2. 74R. MatoD
  3. 64M. Fagan-WalcottD
  4. 5J. McCartD
  5. 3S. KingsleyD
  6. 29S. KerjotaM
  7. 22T. MagnússonM
  8. 23J. AltenaM
  9. 15J. McPakeM
  10. 21J. WilsonF
  11. 10Cláudio BragaF

Substitutes

  1. 9J. WilliamsF
  2. 7C. MillerF
  3. 78L. MendyM
  4. 11P. KaboreF
  5. 19S. GuendouzF
  6. 30R. FultonG
  7. 31Y. DhandaF
  8. 77A. Ba-SyF
  9. 27A. BenjaminsenF

Coach: W. Vrancken

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.36 – 1.65
0.5 goalsOver95.1%Under4.9%
1.5 goalsOver80.2%Under19.8%
2.5 goalsOver57.9%Under42.1%
3.5 goalsOver35.5%Under64.5%
4.5 goalsOver18.6%Under81.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian
0%Form100%
74%Attack26%
52%Defence48%
50%Head to head50%
45%Expected goals55%
41%Overall59%

Last matches

Newest first
Motherwell0W 0D 1L · last 1
LKilmarnock vs Motherwell17 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership3-2
Heart Of Midlothian0W 1D 2L · last 3
LTrabzonspor vs Heart Of Midlothian22 Oct 2026 · Conference League2-0LCeltic vs Heart Of Midlothian18 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership7-1DHeart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland15 Oct 2026 · Conference League1-1

Scottish Premiership table

Scottish Premiership table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Celtic11+1928
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Dundee11+417
5Dundee Utd11016
6Falkirk11+115
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
11Kilmarnock12-159
12Hibernian11-68
See full table ›

Top scorers

Scottish Premiership top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. DuránCeltic117
2B. NygrenCeltic116
3J. FowlerST Johnstone116
4R. NaderiRangers105
5Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMotherwellHeart Of Midlothian
Played13
Wins00
Draws01
Losses12
Goals for (avg)20.7
Goals against (avg)33.3
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.51/13/3
Over 2.51/11/3
Over 3.51/11/3
BTTS – yes1/12/3

Match preview

Motherwell host Heart Of Midlothian in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 10) at Fir Park, Motherwell, with kick-off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Heart Of Midlothian slight favourites, giving Motherwell a 31% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 44% for Heart Of Midlothian. Our tip is: Heart Of Midlothian or draw.

Motherwell have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Heart Of Midlothian have taken 1 points from their last 3 games (0W 1D 2L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Scotland Scottish Premiership
Date
Sunday, 25 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Fir Park, Motherwell

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian kicks off on Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian in?

The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.

Where are Motherwell and Heart Of Midlothian in the table?

Motherwell are 9th and Heart Of Midlothian are 3rd in the Scottish Premiership.

Who will win Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?

Our prediction is Heart Of Midlothian or draw. Win probabilities: Motherwell 31%, draw 25%, Heart Of Midlothian 44%.

Will both teams score in Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian?

We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Scottish Premiership on Sun 25 Oct

FTHibernian 1-2 Celtic2 ✓

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