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Sligo Rovers vs Derry City prediction

Sligo Rovers vs Derry City prediction for the Premier Division on 30 Oct 2026: Derry City to win (60%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Premier Division · Regular Season - 36
Sligo RoversDerry City
2 - 2Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 2-0
The Showgrounds, Sligo

Match events

Sligo RoversDerry City
  1. Goal: Gareth McElroy25'
  2. Goal: Ryan O'Kane37'
  3. 41'Substitution: Ciaran GroganOff: Jamie Stott
  4. 45'Substitution: Brian MaherOff: Tom Norcott
  5. Substitution: sean stewartOff: O.Denham45'

HT 2-0

  1. Red card: Kaiyne WooleryViolent Conduct48'
  2. 49'Yellow card: Brooklyn Lyons-FosterFoul
  3. 51'Substitution: James OlayinkaOff: Liam Kelly
  4. Substitution: Jack ShorrockOff: Cian Kavanagh56'
  5. Substitution: Ryan O'KaneOff: James McManus67'
  6. 70'Yellow card: Tyler·SmithFoul
  7. 71'Substitution: Darragh MarkeyOff: Yoann Prigent
  8. 71'Substitution: Tyler·SmithOff: Liam Boyce
  9. Yellow card: Cian KavanaghFoul76'
  10. 77'Goal: Terence DohertyAssist: Gavin Whyte
  11. Substitution: Daire PattonOff: Ruben Gillespie80'
  12. 82'Goal: Terence DohertyAssist: Conor Barry
  13. 89'Yellow card: Yoann PrigentFoul

Our verdict

2 ✗

Derry City to win

Bet365 1.53

60%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Sligo Rovers18%
Fair odds 5.56
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Derry City60%
Fair odds 1.67

Match statistics

  • 32%Possession68%
  • 1.36Expected goals (xG)0.84
  • 8Total shots16
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 2Shots off target6
  • 1Blocked shots5
  • 7Shots inside the box8
  • 3Corners5
  • 2Offsides1
  • 10Fouls16
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 261Passes566
  • 159Accurate passes476

Line-ups

Sligo Rovers

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Liam John HughesG
  2. 4S. QuirkD
  3. 52G. McElroyD
  4. 3Sean StewartD
  5. 23K. McDonaghD
  6. 71D. PattonM
  7. 6L. YoungM
  8. 28R. O'KaneM
  9. 10A. MeekisonM
  10. 7J. ShorrockM
  11. 41K. WooleryF

Substitutes

  1. 50Ruben GillespieM
  2. 51Aidan GabbidonD
  3. 15O. DenhamD
  4. 11C. KavanaghF
  5. 49O. KellyM
  6. 32Charlie McgarveyG
  7. 14J. McManusM
  8. 24J. O'DonnellF
  9. 48Ross Ruane-DaltonF

Coach: D. Purse

Derry City

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 1B. MaherG
  2. 25Christy GroganD
  3. 22C. BarrD
  4. 24Brooklyn Lyons-FosterD
  5. 31C. DowneyM
  6. 10D. MarkeyM
  7. 28J. OlayinkaM
  8. 11G. WhyteM
  9. 21Kévin SantosM
  10. 29T. SmithF
  11. 32T. DohertyF

Substitutes

  1. 17N. TwiskM
  2. 4J. StottD
  3. 13Tom NorcottG
  4. 3Patrick McCleanD
  5. 27L. BoyceF
  6. 35L. KellyM
  7. 50Conal McdermottG
  8. 34C. O'DonnellM
  9. 38Yoann PrigentF

Coach: Mark Connolly

Betting markets

Expected goals 0.99 – 1.99
0.5 goalsOver94.9%Under5.1%
1.5 goalsOver79.8%Under20.2%
2.5 goalsOver57.2%Under42.8%
3.5 goalsOver34.8%Under65.2%
4.5 goalsOver18.1%Under81.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Sligo RoversDerry City
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
27%Defence73%
50%Head to head50%
33%Expected goals67%
23%Overall77%

Last matches

Newest first
Sligo Rovers0W 0D 1L · last 1
LShamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers23 Oct 2026 · Premier Division4-0
Derry City1W 0D 1L · last 2
WDerry City vs Dundalk23 Oct 2026 · Premier Division2-1LDrogheda United vs Derry City16 Oct 2026 · Premier Division2-0

Premier Division table

Premier Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Waterford4+39
2Drogheda United3+26
3Bohemians3+16
4Shelbourne3+16
5Derry City3-14
6Galway United4-14
7Dundalk2+13
8Shamrock Rovers303
9St Patrick's Athl.3-21
10Sligo Rovers2-41
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSligo RoversDerry City
Played12
Wins01
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)01
Goals against (avg)41.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score11
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/12/2
Over 2.51/11/2
Over 3.51/10/2
BTTS – yes0/11/2

Match preview

Sligo Rovers host Derry City in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 36) at The Showgrounds, Sligo, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Derry City favourites, giving Sligo Rovers a 18% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 60% for Derry City. Our tip is: Derry City to win.

Sligo Rovers have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Derry City have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ireland Premier Division
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
The Showgrounds, Sligo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?

Sligo Rovers vs Derry City kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Sligo Rovers vs Derry City in?

The match is in the Ireland Premier Division.

Where are Sligo Rovers and Derry City in the table?

Sligo Rovers are 10th and Derry City are 5th in the Premier Division.

Who will win Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?

Our prediction is Derry City to win. Win probabilities: Sligo Rovers 18%, draw 22%, Derry City 60%.

Will both teams score in Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sligo Rovers vs Derry City?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier Division on Fri 30 Oct

FTShelbourne 2-3 Waterford1X ✗FTSt Patrick's Athl. 2-3 BohemiansOver 1.5 ✓FTDundalk 3-1 Shamrock RoversX2 ✗FTDrogheda United 2-0 Galway UnitedOver 1.5 ✓

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