Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Derry City vs Dundalk prediction

Derry City vs Dundalk prediction for the Premier Division on 23 Oct 2026: Derry City or draw (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Premier Division · Regular Season - 35
Derry CityDundalkNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Brandywell Stadium, Delhi

Match events

Derry CityDundalk
  1. Goal: James Clarke12'
  2. Yellow card: Darragh BurnsFoul43'

HT 1-0

  1. 53'Yellow card: Keith BuckleyFoul
  2. 56'Substitution: Declan McDaidOff: Harry Groome
  3. 56'Substitution: Egor VasseninOff: Robert Cornwall
  4. 59'Yellow card: Trevor ClarkeFoul
  5. Substitution: Adam O'ReillyOff: Darragh Markey67'
  6. 69'Substitution: Tyreke WilsonOff: Harvey Warren
  7. 69'Substitution: Trevor ClarkeOff: Cian dillon
  8. 69'Substitution: Keith BuckleyOff: shane tracey
  9. Goal: Michael DuffyAssist: Darragh Burns71'
  10. Substitution: Michael DuffyOff: Gavin Whyte74'
  11. Substitution: Darragh BurnsOff: Kévin Santos74'
  12. 79'Goal: shane tracey
  13. Substitution: James ClarkeOff: Terence Doherty87'
  14. Substitution: Cameron DummiganOff: Conor Barry87'
  15. Yellow card: Ellis ChapmanFoul89'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Derry City or draw

Bet365 1.22

75%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Derry City51%
Fair odds 1.96
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Dundalk25%
Fair odds 4.00

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.75Expected goals (xG)0.82
  • 16Total shots12
  • 8Shots on target5
  • 4Shots off target4
  • 4Blocked shots3
  • 10Shots inside the box6
  • 2Corners5
  • 5Offsides0
  • 11Fouls13
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves5
  • 498Passes424
  • 401Accurate passes320

Line-ups

Derry City

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 1B. MaherG
  2. 23C. DummiganD
  3. 4J. StottD
  4. 3Patrick McCleanD
  5. 12D. BurnsM
  6. 8A. O'ReillyM
  7. 14E. ChapmanM
  8. 19B. FlemingM
  9. 15J. ClarkeF
  10. 17N. TwiskF
  11. 7M. DuffyF

Substitutes

  1. 22C. BarrD
  2. 32T. DohertyF
  3. 24Brooklyn Lyons-FosterD
  4. 10D. MarkeyM
  5. 13Tom NorcottG
  6. 29T. SmithF
  7. 11G. WhyteM
  8. 21Kévin SantosM
  9. 25Christy GroganD

Coach: Mark Connolly

Dundalk

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1E. MinogueG
  2. 3B. BurnsD
  3. 44T. GrivostiD
  4. 16E. VasseninD
  5. 22T. WilsonD
  6. 18K. BuckleyM
  7. 6A. DervinM
  8. 27D. McDaidM
  9. 7D. HorganM
  10. 15T. ClarkeM
  11. 11R. TeahanF

Substitutes

  1. 14Norman GarbettM
  2. 10Leonardo GaxhaF
  3. 8H. GroomeM
  4. 12L. MulliganD
  5. 17S. TraceyM
  6. 5H. WarrenD
  7. 9C. DillonF
  8. 24R. CornwallD
  9. 13P. CherrieG

Coach: C. Kilduff

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.82 – 1.22
0.5 goalsOver95.2%Under4.8%
1.5 goalsOver80.7%Under19.3%
2.5 goalsOver58.6%Under41.4%
3.5 goalsOver36.2%Under63.8%
4.5 goalsOver19.1%Under80.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Derry CityDundalk
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
9%Defence91%
50%Head to head50%
60%Expected goals40%
67%Overall33%

Last matches

Newest first
Derry City0W 0D 1L · last 1
LDrogheda United vs Derry City16 Oct 2026 · Premier Division2-0
Dundalk0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Premier Division table

Premier Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Waterford4+39
2Drogheda United3+26
3Bohemians3+16
4Shelbourne3+16
5Derry City3-14
6Galway United4-14
7Dundalk2+13
8Shamrock Rovers303
9St Patrick's Athl.3-21
10Sligo Rovers2-41
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatDerry CityDundalk
Played10
Wins00
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)20
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.50/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes0/10/0

Match preview

Derry City host Dundalk in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 35) at Brandywell Stadium, Delhi, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Derry City favourites, giving Derry City a 51% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 25% for Dundalk. Our tip is: Derry City or draw.

Derry City have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 59% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ireland Premier Division
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Brandywell Stadium, Delhi

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Derry City vs Dundalk?

Derry City vs Dundalk kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Derry City vs Dundalk in?

The match is in the Ireland Premier Division.

Where are Derry City and Dundalk in the table?

Derry City are 5th and Dundalk are 7th in the Premier Division.

Who will win Derry City vs Dundalk?

Our prediction is Derry City or draw. Win probabilities: Derry City 51%, draw 24%, Dundalk 25%.

Will both teams score in Derry City vs Dundalk?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Derry City vs Dundalk?

We estimate a 59% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier Division on Fri 23 Oct

FTWaterford 3-1 Drogheda UnitedOver 1.5 ✓FTGalway United 0-0 St Patrick's Athl.2 ✗FTBohemians 0-1 Shelbourne1 ✗FTShamrock Rovers 4-0 Sligo RoversOver 2.5 ✓

All football predictions for today