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Shelbourne vs Waterford prediction

Shelbourne vs Waterford prediction for the Premier Division on 30 Oct 2026: Shelbourne or draw (72%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Premier Division · Regular Season - 36
ShelbourneWaterford
2 - 3Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 1-1
Tolka Park, Dublin

Match events

ShelbourneWaterford
  1. Goal: Kerr McinroyAssist: James Norris9'
  2. 17'Yellow card: Noah MaweneFoul
  3. 27'Yellow card: John MahonFoul
  4. 38'Goal: Evan McLaughlin
  5. Substitution: Evan CaffreyOff: Marco Untergrabner39'

HT 1-1

  1. 52'Goal: Padraig AmondAssist: Tom Lonergan
  2. 54'Yellow card: H. CannFoul
  3. Yellow card: Kameron LedwidgeFoul59'
  4. Substitution: Kerr McinroyOff: Ademipo Odubeko62'
  5. Substitution: John MartinOff: Sean Boyd63'
  6. Goal: Jonathan LunneyAssist: Jack Henry-Francis69'
  7. 78'Substitution: Evan McLaughlinOff: Luke Heeney
  8. 78'Substitution: Padraig AmondOff: Dean Mcmenamy
  9. 85'Substitution: Jørgen VoilåsOff: joe ashton
  10. 88'Goal: Tom LonerganAssist: Bernardo Piexoto Couto
  11. 90+2'Substitution: Noah MaweneOff: goforth amedu

Our verdict

1X ✗

Shelbourne or draw

Bet365 1.33

72%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-3

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Shelbourne48%
Fair odds 2.08
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Waterford28%
Fair odds 3.57

Match statistics

  • 75%Possession25%
  • 1.41Expected goals (xG)1.75
  • 16Total shots17
  • 7Shots on target6
  • 3Shots off target4
  • 6Blocked shots7
  • 7Shots inside the box11
  • 7Corners2
  • 3Offsides1
  • 10Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves5
  • 692Passes218
  • 584Accurate passes131

Line-ups

Shelbourne

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 19E. BeachG
  2. 27E. CaffreyD
  3. 16O. CaseyD
  4. 4K. LedwidgeD
  5. 18James Barry NorrisD
  6. 21Jack Henry-FrancisM
  7. 23K. McInroyM
  8. 6J. LunneyM
  9. 17D. KellyM
  10. 22S. MooreF
  11. 10J. MartinF

Substitutes

  1. 31C. WalshG
  2. 15S. BoneD
  3. 2S. GannonD
  4. 24M. UntergrabnerD
  5. 55James RocheD
  6. 11M. OdubekoF
  7. 9S. BoydF
  8. 44Daniel RingF
  9. 56J. WunaF

Coach: J. Russell

Waterford

4-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1S. McMullanG
  2. 16H. CannD
  3. 5J. MahonD
  4. 13K. LongD
  5. 3Benny CoutoD
  6. 20J. VoilåsM
  7. 8E. McLaughlinM
  8. 10C. NoonanM
  9. 7N. MaweneM
  10. 9P. AmondF
  11. 18T. LonerganF

Substitutes

  1. 21Arlo Ricky Hugh DohertyG
  2. 32G. AmeduD
  3. 6J. AshtonD
  4. 12B. McKenzieD
  5. 27D. McMenamyM
  6. 15L. HeeneyM
  7. 17J. FariaM
  8. 11T. CoyleF
  9. 50Noah O'BrienD

Coach: G. Coughlan

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.38
0.5 goalsOver96.0%Under4.0%
1.5 goalsOver83.1%Under16.9%
2.5 goalsOver62.4%Under37.6%
3.5 goalsOver40.2%Under59.8%
4.5 goalsOver22.3%Under77.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

ShelbourneWaterford
50%Form50%
39%Attack61%
77%Defence23%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
63%Overall37%

Last matches

Newest first
Shelbourne2W 0D 0L · last 2
WBohemians vs Shelbourne23 Oct 2026 · Premier Division0-1WSt Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne16 Oct 2026 · Premier Division1-2
Waterford2W 0D 1L · last 3
WWaterford vs Drogheda United23 Oct 2026 · Premier Division3-1WWaterford vs Galway United19 Oct 2026 · Premier Division3-2LBohemians vs Waterford16 Oct 2026 · Premier Division2-1

Premier Division table

Premier Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Waterford4+39
2Drogheda United3+26
3Bohemians3+16
4Shelbourne3+16
5Derry City3-14
6Galway United4-14
7Dundalk2+13
8Shamrock Rovers303
9St Patrick's Athl.3-21
10Sligo Rovers2-41
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatShelbourneWaterford
Played23
Wins22
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)1.52.3
Goals against (avg)0.51.7
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak22

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.51/23/3
Over 2.51/23/3
Over 3.50/22/3
BTTS – yes1/23/3

Match preview

Shelbourne host Waterford in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 36) at Tolka Park, Dublin, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Shelbourne slight favourites, giving Shelbourne a 48% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 28% for Waterford. Our tip is: Shelbourne or draw.

Shelbourne have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L). Waterford have taken 6 points from their last 3 games (2W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ireland Premier Division
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
Tolka Park, Dublin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Shelbourne vs Waterford?

Shelbourne vs Waterford kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Shelbourne vs Waterford in?

The match is in the Ireland Premier Division.

Where are Shelbourne and Waterford in the table?

Shelbourne are 4th and Waterford are 1st in the Premier Division.

Who will win Shelbourne vs Waterford?

Our prediction is Shelbourne or draw. Win probabilities: Shelbourne 48%, draw 24%, Waterford 28%.

Will both teams score in Shelbourne vs Waterford?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shelbourne vs Waterford?

We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier Division on Fri 30 Oct

FTSt Patrick's Athl. 2-3 BohemiansOver 1.5 ✓FTDundalk 3-1 Shamrock RoversX2 ✗FTSligo Rovers 2-2 Derry City2 ✗FTDrogheda United 2-0 Galway UnitedOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today