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St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians prediction

St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians prediction for the Premier Division on 30 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Premier Division · Regular Season - 36
St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
2 - 3Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 1-2
Richmond Park, Dublin

Match events

St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
  1. Goal: Sean mchaleAssist: Aidan Keena9'
  2. 15'Yellow card: Darragh PowerFoul
  3. Substitution: Jason McClellandOff: Anto Breslin21'
  4. 36'Goal: Jordan Flores
  5. Yellow card: Barry BaggleyFoul41'
  6. 41'Yellow card: Patrick HickeyArgument
  7. Yellow card: Luke·TurnerFoul45'
  8. Substitution: Anthony OlusanyaOff: Ryan Sheridan45'
  9. 45+1'Goal: cian byrneAssist: Patrick Hickey

HT 1-2

  1. 51'Yellow card: Sam ToddFoul
  2. 57'Goal: Connor Parsons
  3. Goal: Kian LeavyAssist: Zachary Elbouzedi61'
  4. Substitution: Barry BaggleyOff: Christopher Forrester67'
  5. Substitution: Sean mchaleOff: Ryan Edmondson67'
  6. Yellow card: Joe RedmondFoul68'
  7. 70'Yellow card: Paul WaltersTime Wasting
  8. Yellow card: Jamie LennonDissent71'
  9. 75'Substitution: Colm WhelanOff: James Taylor
  10. 75'Substitution: Darragh PowerOff: Senan Mullen
  11. 76'Substitution: Niall MorahanOff: Sadou Diallo
  12. 76'Substitution: Markuss StrodsOff: Harry Patrick Vaughan
  13. Substitution: Kian LeavyOff: Romal Palmer81'
  14. 84'Substitution: Connor ParsonsOff: Z. Myers

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

80%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-3

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · St Patrick's Athl.48%
Fair odds 2.08
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Bohemians27%
Fair odds 3.70

Match statistics

  • 47%Possession53%
  • 1.38Expected goals (xG)2.48
  • 11Total shots20
  • 5Shots on target9
  • 3Shots off target7
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 5Shots inside the box13
  • 5Corners5
  • 2Offsides2
  • 11Fouls11
  • 4Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Goalkeeper saves3
  • 455Passes522
  • 363Accurate passes443

Line-ups

St Patrick's Athl.

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 94J. AnangG
  2. 4J. RedmondD
  3. 24L. TurnerD
  4. 33S. McHaleD
  5. 6J. LennonM
  6. 7Z. ElbouzediM
  7. 19B. BaggleyM
  8. 10K. LeavyM
  9. 11J. McClellandM
  10. 9A. KeenaF
  11. 21A. OlusanyaF

Substitutes

  1. 17R. PalmerM
  2. 16D. NugentM
  3. 8C. ForresterM
  4. 27R. EdmondsonF
  5. 3A. BreslinD
  6. 1D. RogersG
  7. 48R. SheridanM
  8. 34K. QuigleyM
  9. 32B. CannyD

Coach: S. Kenny

Bohemians

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 25P. WaltersG
  2. 24C. ByrneD
  3. 12P. HickeyD
  4. 22S. ToddD
  5. 16D. PowerM
  6. 4N. MorahanM
  7. 6J. FloresM
  8. 11D. RooneyM
  9. 32M. StrodsF
  10. 9C. WhelanF
  11. 7C. ParsonsF

Substitutes

  1. 8H. VaughanM
  2. 3R. BurkeD
  3. 1K. ChorążkaG
  4. 5S. DialloM
  5. 18D. James-TaylorF
  6. 41P. MaddenF
  7. 15S. MullenD
  8. 21Josh AdamM
  9. 23Zane MyersD

Coach: A. Reynolds

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.24
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.0%Under21.0%
2.5 goalsOver56.1%Under43.9%
3.5 goalsOver33.7%Under66.3%
4.5 goalsOver17.3%Under82.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

St Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
25%Form75%
33%Attack67%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
58%Expected goals42%
64%Overall36%

Last matches

Newest first
St Patrick's Athl.0W 1D 1L · last 2
DGalway United vs St Patrick's Athl.23 Oct 2026 · Premier Division0-0LSt Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne16 Oct 2026 · Premier Division1-2
Bohemians1W 0D 1L · last 2
LBohemians vs Shelbourne23 Oct 2026 · Premier Division0-1WBohemians vs Waterford16 Oct 2026 · Premier Division2-1

Premier Division table

Premier Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Waterford4+39
2Drogheda United3+26
3Bohemians3+16
4Shelbourne3+16
5Derry City3-14
6Galway United4-14
7Dundalk2+13
8Shamrock Rovers303
9St Patrick's Athl.3-21
10Sligo Rovers2-41
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSt Patrick's Athl.Bohemians
Played22
Wins01
Draws10
Losses11
Goals for (avg)0.51
Goals against (avg)11
Clean sheets10
Failed to score11
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/21/2
Over 2.51/21/2
Over 3.50/20/2
BTTS – yes1/21/2

Match preview

St Patrick's Athl. host Bohemians in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 36) at Richmond Park, Dublin, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes St Patrick's Athl. slight favourites, giving St Patrick's Athl. a 48% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 27% for Bohemians. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

St Patrick's Athl. have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L). Bohemians have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ireland Premier Division
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
Richmond Park, Dublin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians?

St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians in?

The match is in the Ireland Premier Division.

Where are St Patrick's Athl. and Bohemians in the table?

St Patrick's Athl. are 9th and Bohemians are 3rd in the Premier Division.

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: St Patrick's Athl. 48%, draw 25%, Bohemians 27%.

Will both teams score in St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in St Patrick's Athl. vs Bohemians?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier Division on Fri 30 Oct

FTShelbourne 2-3 Waterford1X ✗FTDundalk 3-1 Shamrock RoversX2 ✗FTSligo Rovers 2-2 Derry City2 ✗FTDrogheda United 2-0 Galway UnitedOver 1.5 ✓

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