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Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers prediction

Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers prediction for the Premier Division on 30 Oct 2026: Shamrock Rovers or draw (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Premier Division · Regular Season - 36
DundalkShamrock Rovers
3 - 1Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 0-1
Oriel Park, Dundalk

Match events

DundalkShamrock Rovers
  1. 23'Own goal: Robert Cornwall (og)
  2. 26'Yellow card: Graham BurkeFoul
  3. Substitution: Peter CherrieOff: Enda Minogue33'
  4. Yellow card: Aodh DervinDissent37'
  5. 41'Yellow card: Matthew HealyFoul
  6. 45'Substitution: Roberto LopesOff: Luke O'Regan
  7. 45'Substitution: Graham BurkeOff: Jonathan Afolabi
  8. 45'Substitution: Edward McGintyOff: Lee Steacy

HT 0-1

  1. Substitution: Trevor ClarkeOff: leonardo gaxha49'
  2. Substitution: Aodh DervinOff: Keith Buckley49'
  3. Goal: Daryl HorganAssist: Keith Buckley57'
  4. 62'Substitution: Matthew HealyOff: Gary O'Neill
  5. 62'Substitution: John McGovernOff: Michael Noonan
  6. Goal: Cian dillon65'
  7. Goal: Cian dillonAssist: ronan teahan68'
  8. Substitution: shane traceyOff: Harry Groome77'
  9. Substitution: Tyreke WilsonOff: Luke Mulligan77'
  10. Yellow card: C. KilduffDissent82'

Our verdict

X2 ✗

Shamrock Rovers or draw

Bet365 1.33

69%

✗ This tip lost · final score 3-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Dundalk31%
Fair odds 3.23
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Shamrock Rovers44%
Fair odds 2.27

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 2.66Expected goals (xG)0.81
  • 28Total shots6
  • 6Shots on target1
  • 11Shots off target5
  • 11Blocked shots0
  • 13Shots inside the box4
  • 4Corners6
  • 2Offsides1
  • 12Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves3
  • 456Passes407
  • 379Accurate passes320

Line-ups

Dundalk

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 13P. CherrieG
  2. 3B. BurnsD
  3. 24R. CornwallD
  4. 44T. GrivostiD
  5. 22T. WilsonD
  6. 17S. TraceyM
  7. 6A. DervinM
  8. 15T. ClarkeM
  9. 11R. TeahanM
  10. 7D. HorganM
  11. 9C. DillonF

Substitutes

  1. 18K. BuckleyM
  2. 14Norman GarbettM
  3. 10Leonardo GaxhaF
  4. 8H. GroomeM
  5. 27D. McDaidM
  6. 1E. MinogueG
  7. 12L. MulliganD
  8. 20S. SafaeiG
  9. 5H. WarrenD

Coach: C. Kilduff

Shamrock Rovers

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1E. McGintyG
  2. 6D. ClearyD
  3. 4PicoD
  4. 5L. GraceD
  5. 8M. HealyM
  6. 22T. SobowaleM
  7. 7D. WattsM
  8. 19A. BrennanM
  9. 24W. FitzgeraldM
  10. 88J. McGovernF
  11. 10G. BurkeF

Substitutes

  1. 3E. StevensD
  2. 25L. SteacyG
  3. 26John O'SullivanM
  4. 27C. O'SullivanD
  5. 17L. O'ReganM
  6. 16G. O'NeillM
  7. 31M. NoonanF
  8. 9A. GreeneF
  9. 18J. AfolabiF

Coach: S. Bradley

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.71
0.5 goalsOver95.6%Under4.4%
1.5 goalsOver81.9%Under18.1%
2.5 goalsOver60.5%Under39.5%
3.5 goalsOver38.2%Under61.8%
4.5 goalsOver20.7%Under79.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

DundalkShamrock Rovers
0%Form100%
33%Attack67%
33%Defence67%
50%Head to head50%
45%Expected goals55%
41%Overall59%

Last matches

Newest first
Dundalk0W 0D 1L · last 1
LDerry City vs Dundalk23 Oct 2026 · Premier Division2-1
Shamrock Rovers1W 0D 1L · last 2
WShamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers23 Oct 2026 · Premier Division4-0LGalway United vs Shamrock Rovers16 Oct 2026 · Premier Division2-0

Premier Division table

Premier Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Waterford4+39
2Drogheda United3+26
3Bohemians3+16
4Shelbourne3+16
5Derry City3-14
6Galway United4-14
7Dundalk2+13
8Shamrock Rovers303
9St Patrick's Athl.3-21
10Sligo Rovers2-41
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatDundalkShamrock Rovers
Played12
Wins01
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)12
Goals against (avg)21
Clean sheets01
Failed to score01
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/12/2
Over 2.51/11/2
Over 3.50/11/2
BTTS – yes1/10/2

Match preview

Dundalk host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 36) at Oriel Park, Dundalk, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Shamrock Rovers slight favourites, giving Dundalk a 31% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 44% for Shamrock Rovers. Our tip is: Shamrock Rovers or draw.

Dundalk have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Shamrock Rovers have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ireland Premier Division
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:45 WAT
Venue
Oriel Park, Dundalk

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?

Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers in?

The match is in the Ireland Premier Division.

Where are Dundalk and Shamrock Rovers in the table?

Dundalk are 7th and Shamrock Rovers are 8th in the Premier Division.

Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our prediction is Shamrock Rovers or draw. Win probabilities: Dundalk 31%, draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers 44%.

Will both teams score in Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier Division on Fri 30 Oct

FTShelbourne 2-3 Waterford1X ✗FTSt Patrick's Athl. 2-3 BohemiansOver 1.5 ✓FTSligo Rovers 2-2 Derry City2 ✗FTDrogheda United 2-0 Galway UnitedOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today