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Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers prediction

Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers prediction for the Premier Division on 23 Oct 2026: Over 2.5 (67%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Premier Division · Regular Season - 35
Shamrock RoversSligo RoversNo recent games
4 - 0Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 2-0
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

Match events

Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
  1. Yellow card: William FitzgeraldFoul36'
  2. Goal: Adam BrennanAssist: John McGovern39'
  3. Goal: Adam BrennanAssist: Graham Burke41'
  4. Substitution: William FitzgeraldOff: Jake Mulraney45'

HT 2-0

  1. 55'Substitution: James McManusOff: Luke Pearce
  2. 55'Substitution: Archie MeekisonOff: Cian Kavanagh
  3. Substitution: John McGovernOff: Aaron Greene61'
  4. 63'Substitution: Daire PattonOff: A. Gabbidon
  5. 70'Yellow card: Jack ShorrockFoul
  6. Goal: Aaron Greene71'
  7. Substitution: Tunmise SobowaleOff: Luke O'Regan73'
  8. Goal: Dylan Watts74'
  9. Substitution: Graham BurkeOff: Jonathan Afolabi78'
  10. Substitution: Dylan WattsOff: Gary O'Neill79'
  11. 79'Substitution: sean stewartOff: kyle mcdonagh
  12. 79'Substitution: Kaiyne WooleryOff: Ryan O'Kane
  13. 82'Yellow card: Seb QuirkFoul

Our verdict

Over 2.5 ✓

Over 2.5

Bet365 1.40

67%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-0

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · Shamrock Rovers82%
Fair odds 1.22
X · Draw12%
Fair odds 8.33
2 · Sligo Rovers6%
Fair odds 16.67

Match statistics

  • 74%Possession26%
  • 1.86Expected goals (xG)1.13
  • 17Total shots6
  • 9Shots on target2
  • 2Shots off target4
  • 6Blocked shots0
  • 12Shots inside the box5
  • 7Corners0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 10Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 727Passes249
  • 652Accurate passes180

Line-ups

Shamrock Rovers

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1E. McGintyG
  2. 6D. ClearyD
  3. 4PicoD
  4. 5L. GraceD
  5. 22T. SobowaleM
  6. 24W. FitzgeraldM
  7. 26John O'SullivanM
  8. 19A. BrennanM
  9. 7D. WattsM
  10. 10G. BurkeM
  11. 88J. McGovernF

Substitutes

  1. 18J. AfolabiF
  2. 9A. GreeneF
  3. 34B. MahonF
  4. 2A. MatthewsD
  5. 11J. MulraneyM
  6. 16G. O'NeillM
  7. 17L. O'ReganM
  8. 27C. O'SullivanD
  9. 25L. SteacyG

Coach: S. Bradley

Sligo Rovers

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Liam John HughesG
  2. 4S. QuirkD
  3. 15O. DenhamD
  4. 52G. McElroyD
  5. 3Sean StewartD
  6. 6L. YoungM
  7. 71D. PattonM
  8. 10A. MeekisonM
  9. 14J. McManusM
  10. 7J. ShorrockM
  11. 41K. WooleryF

Substitutes

  1. 9L. PearceF
  2. 28R. O'KaneF
  3. 11C. KavanaghF
  4. 49Ross Ruane-DaltonF
  5. 61Conor CannonD
  6. 51Aidan GabbidonD
  7. 23K. McDonaghM
  8. 32Charlie McgarveyG
  9. 24J. O'DonnellF

Coach: D. Purse

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.81 – 0.65
0.5 goalsOver96.8%Under3.2%
1.5 goalsOver86.0%Under14.0%
2.5 goalsOver67.2%Under32.8%
3.5 goalsOver45.5%Under54.5%
4.5 goalsOver26.7%Under73.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Shamrock RoversSligo Rovers
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
9%Defence91%
50%Head to head50%
81%Expected goals19%
93%Overall7%

Last matches

Newest first
Shamrock Rovers0W 0D 1L · last 1
LGalway United vs Shamrock Rovers16 Oct 2026 · Premier Division2-0
Sligo Rovers0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Premier Division table

Premier Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Waterford4+39
2Drogheda United3+26
3Bohemians3+16
4Shelbourne3+16
5Derry City3-14
6Galway United4-14
7Dundalk2+13
8Shamrock Rovers303
9St Patrick's Athl.3-21
10Sligo Rovers2-41
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatShamrock RoversSligo Rovers
Played10
Wins00
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)20
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.50/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes0/10/0

Match preview

Shamrock Rovers host Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 35) at Tallaght Stadium, Dublin, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Shamrock Rovers clear favourites, giving Shamrock Rovers a 82% chance of winning, 12% for the draw and 6% for Sligo Rovers. Our tip is: Over 2.5.

Shamrock Rovers have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 45% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ireland Premier Division
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers in?

The match is in the Ireland Premier Division.

Where are Shamrock Rovers and Sligo Rovers in the table?

Shamrock Rovers are 8th and Sligo Rovers are 10th in the Premier Division.

Who will win Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

Our prediction is Over 2.5. Win probabilities: Shamrock Rovers 82%, draw 12%, Sligo Rovers 6%.

Will both teams score in Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

We estimate a 45% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers?

We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier Division on Fri 23 Oct

FTDerry City 2-1 Dundalk1X ✓FTWaterford 3-1 Drogheda UnitedOver 1.5 ✓FTGalway United 0-0 St Patrick's Athl.2 ✗FTBohemians 0-1 Shelbourne1 ✗

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