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St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne prediction

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne prediction for the Premier Division on 16 Oct 2026: St Patrick's Athl. to win (58%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Premier Division · Regular Season - 34
St Patrick's Athl.No recent gamesShelbourneNo recent games
1 - 2Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 1-0
Richmond Park, Dublin

Match events

St Patrick's Athl.Shelbourne
  1. Missed penalty: Aidan Keena15'
  2. Goal: Jamie LennonAssist: Barry Baggley43'

HT 1-0

  1. 49'Goal: Sean MooreAssist: Daniel Kelly
  2. Substitution: Kian LeavyOff: Ryan Sheridan62'
  3. 66'Substitution: Ademipo OdubekoOff: John Martin
  4. 66'Substitution: Marco UntergrabnerOff: Jonathan Lunney
  5. 71'Substitution: James NorrisOff: Sam Bone
  6. 72'Substitution: Alistair CooteOff: Jack Henry-Francis
  7. Substitution: Barry BaggleyOff: Christopher Forrester72'
  8. Substitution: Anthony OlusanyaOff: Ryan Edmondson72'
  9. Yellow card: Jason McClellandFoul80'
  10. 81'Yellow card: Daniel KellyFoul
  11. Substitution: Aidan KeenaOff: Romal Palmer83'
  12. Substitution: Jason McClellandOff: James Brown83'
  13. 84'Goal: Daniel Kelly
  14. 88'Substitution: Sean MooreOff: Sean Boyd
  15. 90'Red card: Alistair CooteSerious Foul
  16. 90+4'Yellow card: Eddie BeachDissent

Our verdict

1 ✗

St Patrick's Athl. to win

Bet365 1.60

58%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · St Patrick's Athl.58%
Fair odds 1.72
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Shelbourne19%
Fair odds 5.26

Match statistics

  • 61%Possession39%
  • 2.54Expected goals (xG)0.53
  • 24Total shots10
  • 5Shots on target2
  • 12Shots off target6
  • 7Blocked shots2
  • 16Shots inside the box4
  • 12Corners3
  • 2Offsides1
  • 7Fouls8
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 0Goalkeeper saves4
  • 501Passes332
  • 394Accurate passes245

Line-ups

St Patrick's Athl.

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 94J. AnangG
  2. 4J. RedmondD
  3. 2S. HoareD
  4. 24L. TurnerD
  5. 7Z. ElbouzediM
  6. 6J. LennonM
  7. 19B. BaggleyM
  8. 11J. McClellandM
  9. 10K. LeavyF
  10. 21A. OlusanyaF
  11. 9A. KeenaF

Substitutes

  1. 3A. BreslinD
  2. 23J. BrownD
  3. 27R. EdmondsonF
  4. 8C. ForresterM
  5. 33S. McHaleD
  6. 16D. NugentM
  7. 17R. PalmerM
  8. 1D. RogersG
  9. 48R. SheridanM

Coach: S. Kenny

Shelbourne

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 19E. BeachG
  2. 17D. KellyD
  3. 24M. UntergrabnerD
  4. 16O. CaseyD
  5. 4K. LedwidgeD
  6. 18James Barry NorrisD
  7. 22S. MooreM
  8. 21Jack Henry-FrancisM
  9. 23K. McInroyM
  10. 27E. CaffreyM
  11. 11M. OdubekoF

Substitutes

  1. 55James RocheD
  2. 10J. MartinF
  3. 6J. LunneyM
  4. 36W. JarvisM
  5. 2S. GannonD
  6. 14A. CooteM
  7. 9S. BoydF
  8. 15S. BoneD
  9. 31C. WalshG

Coach: J. Russell

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.89 – 0.99
0.5 goalsOver94.4%Under5.6%
1.5 goalsOver78.2%Under21.8%
2.5 goalsOver54.9%Under45.1%
3.5 goalsOver32.6%Under67.4%
4.5 goalsOver16.5%Under83.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

St Patrick's Athl.Shelbourne
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
66%Expected goals34%
75%Overall25%

Last matches

Newest first
St Patrick's Athl.0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Shelbourne0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Premier Division table

Premier Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Waterford4+39
2Drogheda United3+26
3Bohemians3+16
4Shelbourne3+16
5Derry City3-14
6Galway United4-14
7Dundalk2+13
8Shamrock Rovers303
9St Patrick's Athl.3-21
10Sligo Rovers2-41
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSt Patrick's Athl.Shelbourne
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

St Patrick's Athl. host Shelbourne in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 34) at Richmond Park, Dublin, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes St Patrick's Athl. favourites, giving St Patrick's Athl. a 58% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 19% for Shelbourne. Our tip is: St Patrick's Athl. to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ireland Premier Division
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Richmond Park, Dublin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?

St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne in?

The match is in the Ireland Premier Division.

Where are St Patrick's Athl. and Shelbourne in the table?

St Patrick's Athl. are 9th and Shelbourne are 4th in the Premier Division.

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?

Our prediction is St Patrick's Athl. to win. Win probabilities: St Patrick's Athl. 58%, draw 23%, Shelbourne 19%.

Will both teams score in St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in St Patrick's Athl. vs Shelbourne?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier Division on Fri 16 Oct

FTDrogheda United 2-0 Derry CityX2 ✗FTBohemians 2-1 Waterford1 ✓FTGalway United 2-0 Shamrock RoversOver 1.5 ✓

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