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Bohemians vs Waterford prediction

Bohemians vs Waterford prediction for the Premier Division on 16 Oct 2026: Bohemians to win (57%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Premier Division · Regular Season - 34
BohemiansNo recent gamesWaterfordNo recent games
2 - 1Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 1-1
Dalymount Park, Dublin

Match events

BohemiansWaterford
  1. Goal: Sam ToddAssist: Jordan Flores12'
  2. 38'Goal: Padraig AmondAssist: Bernardo Piexoto Couto

HT 1-1

  1. Yellow card: cian byrneFoul48'
  2. 49'Missed penalty: Tom Lonergan
  3. Goal: Ryan BurkeAssist: Sadou Diallo64'
  4. Substitution: Sadou DialloOff: Niall Morahan74'
  5. Substitution: James TaylorOff: Colm Whelan74'
  6. Substitution: Harry Patrick VaughanOff: Markuss Strods74'
  7. Yellow card: Niall MorahanFoul75'
  8. Substitution: Ryan BurkeOff: Patrick Hickey78'
  9. 79'Substitution: Noah MaweneOff: Jørgen Voilås
  10. 79'Substitution: Luke HeeneyOff: Evan McLaughlin
  11. 86'Substitution: Jordan HoustonOff: Dean Mcmenamy
  12. Substitution: Connor ParsonsOff: Dayle Rooney90+3'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Bohemians to win

Bet365 1.62

57%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals3.1

Win probability

1 · Bohemians57%
Fair odds 1.75
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Waterford21%
Fair odds 4.76

Match statistics

  • 63%Possession37%
  • 0.56Expected goals (xG)1.28
  • 10Total shots9
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 2Shots off target3
  • 2Blocked shots2
  • 7Shots inside the box6
  • 3Corners4
  • 2Offsides2
  • 11Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves4
  • 545Passes313
  • 421Accurate passes196

Line-ups

Bohemians

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 25P. WaltersG
  2. 16D. PowerD
  3. 24C. ByrneD
  4. 22S. ToddD
  5. 3R. BurkeD
  6. 5S. DialloM
  7. 6J. FloresM
  8. 26R. TierneyM
  9. 8H. VaughanM
  10. 7C. ParsonsM
  11. 18D. James-TaylorF

Substitutes

  1. 9C. WhelanF
  2. 12P. HickeyD
  3. 1K. ChorążkaG
  4. 21Josh AdamM
  5. 41P. MaddenF
  6. 4N. MorahanM
  7. 23Zane MyersD
  8. 11D. RooneyF
  9. 32M. StrodsM

Coach: A. Reynolds

Waterford

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

  1. 1S. McMullanG
  2. 16H. CannD
  3. 5J. MahonD
  4. 13K. LongD
  5. 2J. HoustonM
  6. 15L. HeeneyM
  7. 7N. MaweneM
  8. 3Benny CoutoM
  9. 10C. NoonanM
  10. 9P. AmondF
  11. 18T. LonerganF

Substitutes

  1. 6J. AshtonD
  2. 56A. BrennanD
  3. 11T. CoyleF
  4. 21Arlo Ricky Hugh DohertyG
  5. 17J. FariaM
  6. 8E. McLaughlinM
  7. 27D. McMenamyM
  8. 32G. AmeduD
  9. 20J. VoilåsF

Coach: G. Coughlan

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.01 – 1.14
0.5 goalsOver95.7%Under4.3%
1.5 goalsOver82.2%Under17.8%
2.5 goalsOver61.0%Under39.0%
3.5 goalsOver38.6%Under61.4%
4.5 goalsOver21.1%Under78.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

BohemiansWaterford
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
64%Expected goals36%
73%Overall27%

Last matches

Newest first
Bohemians0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Waterford0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Premier Division table

Premier Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Waterford4+39
2Drogheda United3+26
3Bohemians3+16
4Shelbourne3+16
5Derry City3-14
6Galway United4-14
7Dundalk2+13
8Shamrock Rovers303
9St Patrick's Athl.3-21
10Sligo Rovers2-41
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatBohemiansWaterford
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Bohemians host Waterford in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 34) at Dalymount Park, Dublin, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Bohemians favourites, giving Bohemians a 57% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 21% for Waterford. Our tip is: Bohemians to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ireland Premier Division
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Dalymount Park, Dublin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Bohemians vs Waterford?

Bohemians vs Waterford kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Bohemians vs Waterford in?

The match is in the Ireland Premier Division.

Where are Bohemians and Waterford in the table?

Bohemians are 3rd and Waterford are 1st in the Premier Division.

Who will win Bohemians vs Waterford?

Our prediction is Bohemians to win. Win probabilities: Bohemians 57%, draw 22%, Waterford 21%.

Will both teams score in Bohemians vs Waterford?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Bohemians vs Waterford?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier Division on Fri 16 Oct

FTDrogheda United 2-0 Derry CityX2 ✗FTGalway United 2-0 Shamrock RoversOver 1.5 ✓FTSt Patrick's Athl. 1-2 Shelbourne1 ✗

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