Skip to content
TodaysPrediction

Motherwell vs ST Mirren prediction

Motherwell vs ST Mirren prediction for the Scottish Premiership on 31 Oct 2026: Motherwell or draw (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

Premier LeagueChampions LeagueLa LigaSerie ABundesligaAnd more

Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 12
MotherwellST Mirren
1 - 0Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 0-0
Fir Park, Motherwell

Match events

MotherwellST Mirren
  1. Yellow card: Joe HodgeFoul38'

HT 0-0

  1. 50'Yellow card: Marcus FraserFoul
  2. 51'Yellow card: Ryan CarrFoul
  3. 59'Substitution: Jake YoungOff: Eseosa Sule
  4. 59'Substitution: Ryan CarrOff: Samuel Antonio Ramos Linares
  5. Yellow card: Martin MoormannFoul60'
  6. Substitution: Joe HodgeOff: Oscar Priestman65'
  7. Substitution: Jardell KangaOff: Regan Charles-Cook65'
  8. 72'Substitution: Luke ThomasOff: Declan John
  9. Substitution: Tawanda MaswanhiseOff: Callum Hendry73'
  10. Substitution: Sebastian Palmer-HouldenOff: Eythor Bjørgolfsson73'
  11. VAR: Regan Charles-CookPenalty confirmedVAR79'
  12. Penalty goal: Lukas Fadinger (pen)82'
  13. 85'Substitution: Chris MochrieOff: Henry Fieldson
  14. 86'Yellow card: Alexander GogićFoul
  15. Yellow card: Regan Charles-CookTime Wasting89'
  16. Yellow card: Emmanuel LongeloTime Wasting90'
  17. 90+1'Yellow card: Samuel Antonio Ramos LinaresArgument
  18. 90+2'Yellow card: Killian PhillipsFoul
  19. Substitution: Ibrahim SaidOff: Paul McGinn90+3'

Our verdict

1X ✓

Motherwell or draw

Bet365 1.25

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Motherwell50%
Fair odds 2.00
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · ST Mirren26%
Fair odds 3.85

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 2.36Expected goals (xG)0.23
  • 11Total shots5
  • 2Shots on target1
  • 6Shots off target3
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 10Shots inside the box2
  • 6Corners3
  • 1Offsides2
  • 17Fouls14
  • 4Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves1
  • 451Passes430
  • 379Accurate passes349

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1A. PaulsenG
  2. 7T. SparrowD
  3. 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
  4. 5M. MoormannD
  5. 45M. EmmanuelD
  6. 71J. HodgeM
  7. 8L. FadingerM
  8. 18Tawanda Jethro MaswanhiseM
  9. 19I. SaidM
  10. 13J. KangaM
  11. 47S. Palmer-HouldenF

Substitutes

  1. 15E. Björgólfs­sonF
  2. 17R. Charles-CookF
  3. 14C. HendryF
  4. 4Jamie Knight-LebelD
  5. 63D. LevittM
  6. 21M. ConnellyG
  7. 6J. McGheeD
  8. 16P. McGinnD
  9. 12O. PriestmanM

Coach: Alfred Johansson

ST Mirren

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. ChapmanG
  2. 22M. FraserD
  3. 13A. GogićD
  4. 53Henry FieldsonD
  5. 47C. RamsayM
  6. 8R. CarrM
  7. 30F. TaylorM
  8. 16L. ThomasM
  9. 88K. PhillipsM
  10. 48P. NsioM
  11. 9Eseosa SuleF

Substitutes

  1. 4L. DonnellyM
  2. 6Louis JacksonD
  3. 3D. JohnD
  4. 37C. McEvoyM
  5. 23C. MochrieM
  6. 10SamuM
  7. 2J. RichardsonD
  8. 20J. YoungF
  9. 35Grant TamoseviciusG

Coach: Craig McLeish

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.78 – 1.24
0.5 goalsOver95.1%Under4.9%
1.5 goalsOver80.4%Under19.6%
2.5 goalsOver58.1%Under41.9%
3.5 goalsOver35.7%Under64.3%
4.5 goalsOver18.8%Under81.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

MotherwellST Mirren
20%Form80%
50%Attack50%
43%Defence57%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
66%Overall34%

Last matches

Newest first
Motherwell0W 1D 2L · last 3
DST Johnstone vs Motherwell28 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership2-2LMotherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian25 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership0-2LKilmarnock vs Motherwell17 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership3-2
ST Mirren1W 1D 1L · last 3
DST Mirren vs Hibernian28 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership1-1WST Mirren vs Dundee24 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership2-1LAberdeen vs ST Mirren17 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership3-1

Scottish Premiership table

Scottish Premiership table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Celtic11+1928
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Dundee11+417
5Dundee Utd11016
6Falkirk11+115
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
11Kilmarnock12-159
12Hibernian11-68
See full table ›

Top scorers

Scottish Premiership top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1C. DuránCeltic117
2B. NygrenCeltic116
3J. FowlerST Johnstone126
4R. NaderiRangers105
5Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatMotherwellST Mirren
Played33
Wins01
Draws11
Losses21
Goals for (avg)1.31.3
Goals against (avg)2.31.7
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.53/33/3
Over 2.52/32/3
Over 3.52/31/3
BTTS – yes2/33/3

Match preview

Motherwell host ST Mirren in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 12) at Fir Park, Motherwell, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Motherwell favourites, giving Motherwell a 50% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 26% for ST Mirren. Our tip is: Motherwell or draw.

Motherwell have taken 1 points from their last 3 games (0W 1D 2L). ST Mirren have taken 4 points from their last 3 games (1W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 58% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Scotland Scottish Premiership
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
Fir Park, Motherwell

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Motherwell vs ST Mirren?

Motherwell vs ST Mirren kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Motherwell vs ST Mirren in?

The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.

Where are Motherwell and ST Mirren in the table?

Motherwell are 9th and ST Mirren are 8th in the Scottish Premiership.

Who will win Motherwell vs ST Mirren?

Our prediction is Motherwell or draw. Win probabilities: Motherwell 50%, draw 24%, ST Mirren 26%.

Will both teams score in Motherwell vs ST Mirren?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Motherwell vs ST Mirren?

We estimate a 58% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Scottish Premiership on Sat 31 Oct

FTKilmarnock 2-2 ST JohnstoneOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today