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Lazio vs Cagliari prediction

Lazio vs Cagliari prediction for the Serie A on 1 Nov 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday1November 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 10
LazioCagliari
2 - 1Full time · Sun 1 NovHT 1-1
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Match events

LazioCagliari
  1. 20'Goal: M'Bala NzolaAssist: Alieu Fadera
  2. 32'Substitution: Alieu FaderaOff: Raphael Kofler
  3. Goal: Gustav IsaksenAssist: Tijjani Noslin36'
  4. 45'Substitution: M'Bala NzolaOff: Paul Mendy

HT 1-1

  1. Substitution: Alfonso PedrazaOff: Nuno Tavares55'
  2. Substitution: Davide FrattesiOff: Fisayo Dele-Bashiru55'
  3. Substitution: Mattia ZaccagniOff: Andrea Pinamonti55'
  4. 59'Yellow card: Jacopo FazziniFoul
  5. 64'Substitution: Jacopo FazziniOff: Joseph Liteta
  6. 64'Substitution: Daniel MaldiniOff: Yael Trepy
  7. 66'Yellow card: Juan RodriguezFoul
  8. 76'Yellow card: Adam ObertFoul
  9. Substitution: Oliver ProvstgaardOff: Diogo Leite76'
  10. Substitution: Reda BelahyaneOff: Danilo Cataldi81'
  11. Goal: Andrea PinamontiAssist: Alfonso Pedraza83'
  12. Yellow card: Andrea Pinamonti84'
  13. 89'Substitution: Alessandro DeiolaOff: Kevin Carlos
  14. 90+1'Red card: Adam Obert

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Lazio65%
Fair odds 1.54
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Cagliari14%
Fair odds 7.14

Match statistics

  • 74%Possession26%
  • 1.03Expected goals (xG)1.10
  • 11Total shots9
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 7Shots off target4
  • 0Blocked shots2
  • 8Shots inside the box6
  • 2Corners2
  • 3Offsides2
  • 7Fouls18
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 747Passes262
  • 660Accurate passes194

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 35C. MandasG
  2. 15R. Floriani MussoliniD
  3. 37J. ŠutaloD
  4. 25O. ProvstgaardD
  5. 17Nuno TavaresD
  6. 16D. FrattesiM
  7. 21R. BelahyaneM
  8. 24K. TaylorM
  9. 11G. IsaksenF
  10. 14T. NoslinF
  11. 10M. ZaccagniF

Substitutes

  1. 40E. MottaG
  2. 2Diogo LeiteD
  3. 29M. LazzariM
  4. 76Filipe BordonD
  5. 7F. Dele-BashiruM
  6. 71V. FarcomeniM
  7. 23PedrazaD
  8. 3L. PellegriniD
  9. 9A. PinamontiF
  10. 5D. DoekhiD
  11. 22M. CancellieriF
  12. 33Ricardo BordonD
  13. 32D. CataldiM
  14. 28A. PrzyborekM
  15. 47D. RenzettiG

Coach: G. Gattuso

Cagliari

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1E. CaprileG
  2. 2Zé PedroD
  3. 14A. DeiolaD
  4. 15J. RodríguezD
  5. 33A. ObertD
  6. 8M. AdopoM
  7. 4A. RomanoM
  8. 39A. FaderaM
  9. 70D. MaldiniM
  10. 10J. FazziniM
  11. 18M'Bala NzolaF

Substitutes

  1. 9Kevin CarlosF
  2. 22R. KoflerD
  3. 27J. LitetaM
  4. 79Y. MassolinM
  5. 31P. MendyF
  6. 26Y. MinaD
  7. 23B. RadunovićG
  8. 12A. SherriG
  9. 28Y. SugawaraD
  10. 32Ivan Stoyanov SulevM
  11. 19Y. TrepyF
  12. 6H. WinksM
  13. 20R. CiervoF
  14. 24G. AurelioD
  15. 21R. GagliardiniM

Coach: F. Pisacane

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.99 – 0.81
0.5 goalsOver93.9%Under6.1%
1.5 goalsOver76.9%Under23.1%
2.5 goalsOver53.1%Under46.9%
3.5 goalsOver30.8%Under69.2%
4.5 goalsOver15.2%Under84.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LazioCagliari
100%Form0%
84%Attack16%
77%Defence23%
50%Head to head50%
71%Expected goals29%
82%Overall18%

Last matches

Newest first
Lazio3W 0D 0L · last 3
WSassuolo vs Lazio27 Oct 2026 · Serie A2-6WLazio vs Parma24 Oct 2026 · Serie A2-1WJuventus vs Lazio18 Oct 2026 · Serie A0-3
Cagliari0W 0D 3L · last 3
LAS Roma vs Cagliari27 Oct 2026 · Serie A4-2LCagliari vs Bologna24 Oct 2026 · Serie A0-2LMonza vs Cagliari19 Oct 2026 · Serie A4-0

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Juventus10+317
8Napoli10+414
9Bologna10+114
10Torino10-213
11Genoa10-413
12Cagliari10-613
13Atalanta9-111
14Lecce10-109
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza10-77
17Fiorentina9-105
18Parma9-105
19Udinese10-125
20Venezia10-143
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Gustavo VarelaMonza99
2D. MalenAS Roma98
3A. RaimondoFrosinone98
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5A. RabiotAC Milan85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLazioCagliari
Played33
Wins30
Draws00
Losses03
Goals for (avg)3.70.7
Goals against (avg)13.3
Clean sheets10
Failed to score02
Best win streak30

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 3 games went over the line

Over 1.53/33/3
Over 2.53/32/3
Over 3.51/32/3
BTTS – yes2/31/3

Match preview

Lazio host Cagliari in the Serie A (Regular Season - 10) at Stadio Olimpico, Rome, with kick-off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 15:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Lazio clear favourites, giving Lazio a 65% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 14% for Cagliari. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Lazio have taken 9 points from their last 3 games (3W 0D 0L). Cagliari have taken 0 points from their last 3 games (0W 0D 3L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 48% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Sunday, 1 November 2026, 15:00 WAT
Venue
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Lazio vs Cagliari?

Lazio vs Cagliari kicks off on Sunday, 1 November 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Lazio vs Cagliari in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are Lazio and Cagliari in the table?

Lazio are 1st and Cagliari are 12th in the Serie A.

Who will win Lazio vs Cagliari?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Lazio 65%, draw 21%, Cagliari 14%.

Will both teams score in Lazio vs Cagliari?

We estimate a 48% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lazio vs Cagliari?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Sun 1 Nov

FTComo 1-0 Venezia1 ✓FTFrosinone 2-0 Torino1X ✓FTLecce 1-2 GenoaX2 ✓FTJuventus 2-0 NapoliOver 1.5 ✓

All football predictions for today