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Lazio vs Parma prediction

Lazio vs Parma prediction for the Serie A on 24 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (73%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 8
LazioParma
2 - 1Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 0-0
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Match events

LazioParma
  1. Yellow card: Oliver ProvstgaardFoul30'
  2. 38'Yellow card: Vincent SierroFoul
  3. Substitution: Oliver ProvstgaardOff: Diogo Leite45'
  4. 45'Substitution: Vincent SierroOff: Adrián Bernabé García

HT 0-0

  1. Goal: Kenneth Taylor50'
  2. Own goal: Diego Carlos (og)58'
  3. 63'Substitution: Christian OrdóñezOff: Simone Lontani
  4. Substitution: Kenneth TaylorOff: Fisayo Dele-Bashiru71'
  5. 72'Substitution: Matija FriganOff: Diego Carlos
  6. Substitution: Gustav IsaksenOff: Manuel Lazzari77'
  7. Substitution: Mattia ZaccagniOff: Alfonso Pedraza77'
  8. 78'Substitution: José David RomeroOff: Giovanni Fabbian
  9. 90+5'Goal: Simone LontaniAssist: Giovanni Fabbian

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

73%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals2.6

Win probability

1 · Lazio68%
Fair odds 1.47
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Parma11%
Fair odds 9.09

Match statistics

  • 68%Possession32%
  • 1.76Expected goals (xG)0.91
  • 21Total shots11
  • 4Shots on target5
  • 13Shots off target5
  • 4Blocked shots1
  • 15Shots inside the box9
  • 8Corners3
  • 2Offsides3
  • 5Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves3
  • 640Passes293
  • 571Accurate passes213

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 35C. MandasG
  2. 15R. Floriani MussoliniD
  3. 37J. ŠutaloD
  4. 25O. ProvstgaardD
  5. 17Nuno TavaresD
  6. 16D. FrattesiM
  7. 21R. BelahyaneM
  8. 24K. TaylorM
  9. 11G. IsaksenF
  10. 14T. NoslinF
  11. 10M. ZaccagniF

Substitutes

  1. 63F. SerraF
  2. 47D. RenzettiG
  3. 28A. PrzyborekM
  4. 3L. PellegriniD
  5. 23PedrazaD
  6. 40E. MottaG
  7. 2Diogo LeiteD
  8. 29M. LazzariM
  9. 71V. FarcomeniM
  10. 5D. DoekhiD
  11. 7F. Dele-BashiruM
  12. 32D. CataldiM
  13. 22M. CancellieriF
  14. 76Filipe BordonD

Coach: G. Gattuso

Parma

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 40E. CorviG
  2. 15E. Del PratoD
  3. 34Diego CarlosD
  4. 37M. TroiloD
  5. 72D. DrobnicD
  6. 14E. ValeriD
  7. 16M. KeitaM
  8. 4V. SierroM
  9. 32C. OrdoñezM
  10. 19E. TouréF
  11. 9D. RomeroF

Substitutes

  1. 29F. CarboniD
  2. 3A. N'DiayeD
  3. 8B. CremaschiM
  4. 30G. DaffaraG
  5. 25T. De MartisF
  6. 7Ousmane DialloF
  7. 80G. FabbianM
  8. 20M. FriganF
  9. 22S. GhidottiG
  10. 47Abdou KonateM
  11. 76S. LontaniF
  12. 27S. BritschgiD
  13. 10Adrián BernabéM

Coach: A. Gilardino

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.94 – 0.65
0.5 goalsOver92.5%Under7.5%
1.5 goalsOver73.1%Under26.9%
2.5 goalsOver47.9%Under52.1%
3.5 goalsOver26.2%Under73.8%
4.5 goalsOver12.1%Under87.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LazioParma
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
94%Defence6%
50%Head to head50%
75%Expected goals25%
86%Overall14%

Last matches

Newest first
Lazio1W 0D 0L · last 1
WJuventus vs Lazio18 Oct 2026 · Serie A0-3
Parma0W 0D 1L · last 1
LParma vs Torino19 Oct 2026 · Serie A0-3

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Inter9+1525
2Lazio9+1525
3AS Roma9+1521
4Como9+920
5AC Milan9+718
6Frosinone9+817
7Napoli9+614
8Juventus9+114
9Torino9013
10Cagliari9-513
11Bologna9011
12Atalanta9-111
13Genoa9-510
14Lecce9-99
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza9-67
17Udinese9-95
18Fiorentina9-105
19Parma9-105
20Venezia9-133
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. RaimondoFrosinone98
2Gustavo VarelaMonza88
3D. MalenAS Roma87
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5M. ThuramInter85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLazioParma
Played11
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)30
Goals against (avg)03
Clean sheets10
Failed to score01
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

Lazio host Parma in the Serie A (Regular Season - 8) at Stadio Olimpico, Rome, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Lazio clear favourites, giving Lazio a 68% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 11% for Parma. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Lazio have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Parma have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect a tighter game, with only a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Stadio Olimpico, Rome

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Lazio vs Parma?

Lazio vs Parma kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Lazio vs Parma in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are Lazio and Parma in the table?

Lazio are 2nd and Parma are 19th in the Serie A.

Who will win Lazio vs Parma?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Lazio 68%, draw 21%, Parma 11%.

Will both teams score in Lazio vs Parma?

We estimate a 41% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is No.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Lazio vs Parma?

We estimate a 48% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Under 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Serie A on Sat 24 Oct

FTCagliari 0-2 BolognaX2 ✓FTComo 2-0 Sassuolo1 ✓FTNapoli 3-3 AS RomaX2 ✓

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