Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
Match events
Helmond Sport- Goal: Bogdan BudkoAssist: Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe16'
- Goal: Jasper Hartog22'
- 29'Goal: Tarik Essakkati
- 35'Goal: Dean·HuibertsAssist: Tarik Essakkati
- Substitution: Andrea NataliOff: Rayan Atikallah45'
HT 2-2
- Goal: Jasper HartogAssist: Jesper Zwart51'
- 59'Goal: Michel Simon LudwigAssist: Tarik Essakkati
- Substitution: rio robbemondOff: Gijs Groot62'
- Substitution: Jasper HartogOff: Kiani Inge62'
- 68'Substitution: Dean·HuibertsOff: Livio Cicero
- Substitution: Bogdan BudkoOff: Adam Ouaziz74'
- 77'Substitution: Lovro GolicOff: Flor Van Den Eynden
- Goal: Frej Elkjær Andersen78'
- 84'Substitution: Joep van der SluijsOff: Labinot Bajrami
- 84'Substitution: Tarik EssakkatiOff: Kiton Ekoli
- Substitution: Melle RoedeOff: Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe84'
- 88'Substitution: alen dizdarevicOff: Xander van der Velde
- 89'Goal: Kiton EkoliAssist: Brian Koglin
- Substitution: Kevin toppenbergOff: J. Esajas90'
- Goal: J. EsajasAssist: Melle Roede90+3'
Our verdict
Jong AZ or Helmond Sport
Bet365 1.20
✓ This tip was correct · final score 5-4
Win probability
Match statistics
- 55%Possession45%
- 0.77Expected goals (xG)1.68
- 13Total shots21
- 6Shots on target9
- 6Shots off target9
- 1Blocked shots3
- 7Shots inside the box15
- 5Corners7
- 1Offsides3
- 8Fouls11
- 0Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 5Goalkeeper saves1
- 471Passes367
- 395Accurate passes299
Line-ups
Jong AZ
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1I. KaG
- 2J. ZwartD
- 3A. NataliD
- 4Mathijs MenuD
- 5Saviola Mourinho Simons SaffoeD
- 6Julian SijbrandsM
- 10Bohdan BudkoM
- 8F. AndersenM
- 7J. HartogF
- 9R. RobbemondF
- 11K. ToppenbergF
Substitutes
- 22Calvin CarrilhoD
- 15J. EsajasD
- 19Gijs GrootM
- 20K. IngeD
- 18Rick LuijerM
- 21Adam OuazizM
- 17M. RoedeM
- 23K. SchilderG
- 16K. ZeggenG
- 12K. van OuytselD
- 14R. AtikallahD
Coach: Norbert Alblas
Helmond Sport
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. BergsenG
- 20S. DekkersD
- 4B. KoglinD
- 14Lovro GoličD
- 5T. PollD
- 6M. LudwigM
- 44Xander van der VeldeM
- 7J. van der SluijsM
- 10D. HuibertsM
- 34T. EssakkatiM
- 94Mauro LenaertsF
Substitutes
- 11L. CiceroM
- 9L. BajramiF
- 22A. DizdarevićM
- 30K. EkoliF
- 23A. El MaachG
- 47Dayen GeertsM
- 43T. LandheerD
- 35N. MeissnerF
- 3F. Van Den EyndenD
- 2R. van BreeD
- 21Wessel van der HeijdenG
Coach: Frédéric Frans
Betting markets
Expected goals 2.03 – 1.44Half time / full time result. 1 = Jong AZ, X = draw, 2 = Helmond Sport.
Asian handicap applied to Jong AZ.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstJong AZ0W 1D 0L · last 1Helmond Sport0W 0D 1L · last 1Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | |
| 2 | VVV Venlo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | |
| 3 | NAC Breda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | |
| 4 | Jong Ajax | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 | |
| 5 | Jong AZ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 6 | De Graafschap | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 7 | FC Volendam | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | |
| 8 | Emmen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 9 | Almere City FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 10 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 11 | Dordrecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | |
| 12 | Vitesse | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | |
| 13 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | |
| 14 | FC OSS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 15 | Den Bosch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 16 | MVV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 17 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 18 | Waalwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | |
| 19 | FC Eindhoven | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Jong AZ | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 4 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 4 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/1 |
Match preview
Jong AZ host Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 12) at AFAS Trainingscomplex, Alkmaar, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Jong AZ favourites, giving Jong AZ a 51% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 27% for Helmond Sport. Our tip is: Jong AZ or Helmond Sport.
Jong AZ have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Helmond Sport have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 67% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Netherlands Eerste Divisie
- Date
- Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
- Venue
- AFAS Trainingscomplex, Alkmaar
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport in?
The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.
Where are Jong AZ and Helmond Sport in the table?
Jong AZ are 5th and Helmond Sport are 13th in the Eerste Divisie.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
Our prediction is Jong AZ or Helmond Sport. Win probabilities: Jong AZ 51%, draw 22%, Helmond Sport 27%.
Will both teams score in Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
We estimate a 67% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.