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Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda prediction

Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 16 Oct 2026: NAC Breda to win (60%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11
Helmond SportNo recent gamesNAC BredaNo recent games
0 - 2Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 0-1
Lavans Stadion, Helmond

Match events

Helmond SportNAC Breda
  1. 39'Goal: Charles-Andreas BrymAssist: Moussa Soumano

HT 0-1

  1. 55'Penalty goal: Moussa Soumano (pen)
  2. Substitution: Dean·HuibertsOff: Mauro Lenaerts58'
  3. Substitution: Flor Van Den EyndenOff: Lovro Golic59'
  4. Substitution: Kiton EkoliOff: Joep van der Sluijs59'
  5. Yellow card: Michel Simon LudwigFoul64'
  6. 66'Yellow card: Boyd LucassenFoul
  7. Substitution: Thomas PollOff: Tijn Landheer70'
  8. Substitution: Livio CiceroOff: Labinot Bajrami75'
  9. 75'Yellow card: Rio·HillenFoul
  10. 82'Substitution: Moussa SoumanoOff: Paul Gladon
  11. 82'Substitution: Maximilien BalardOff: Karim Mperanyi
  12. 89'Substitution: Mohamed NassohOff: Imran Nazih
  13. 89'Substitution: Charles-Andreas BrymOff: Brahim Ghalidi
  14. 89'Substitution: Jan Van den BerghOff: Mylan Brouwers

Our verdict

2 ✓

NAC Breda to win

Bet365 1.57

60%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-2

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · Helmond Sport19%
Fair odds 5.26
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · NAC Breda60%
Fair odds 1.67

Match statistics

  • 44%Possession56%
  • 0.73Expected goals (xG)1.86
  • 7Total shots14
  • 3Shots on target7
  • 1Shots off target3
  • 3Blocked shots4
  • 4Shots inside the box6
  • 3Corners4
  • 3Offsides1
  • 14Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves3
  • 402Passes515
  • 320Accurate passes424

Line-ups

Helmond Sport

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. BergsenG
  2. 20S. DekkersD
  3. 3F. Van Den EyndenD
  4. 4B. KoglinD
  5. 5T. PollD
  6. 6M. LudwigM
  7. 44Xander van der VeldeM
  8. 30K. EkoliM
  9. 10D. HuibertsM
  10. 34T. EssakkatiM
  11. 11L. CiceroF

Substitutes

  1. 2R. van BreeD
  2. 21Wessel van der HeijdenG
  3. 7J. van der SluijsM
  4. 26Alto Gjoka
  5. 9L. BajramiF
  6. 23A. El MaachG
  7. 47Dayen GeertsM
  8. 14Lovro GoličD
  9. 43T. LandheerD
  10. 35N. MeissnerF
  11. 94Mauro LenaertsF

Coach: Frédéric Frans

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. VerripsG
  2. 2B. LucassenD
  3. 4L. GreimlD
  4. 22R. HillenD
  5. 12J. Van den BerghD
  6. 6M. BalardM
  7. 10M. NassohM
  8. 14K. SowahM
  9. 78J. Van HeckeM
  10. 28C. BrymM
  11. 9M. SoumanoF

Substitutes

  1. 19P. GladonF
  2. 5J. CandelariaD
  3. 35M. BrouwersD
  4. 17M. BouchouariD
  5. 23R. KortsmitG
  6. 31K. LamprouG
  7. 27Karim Mperanyi
  8. 34I. NazihM
  9. 8F. Oldrup JensenM
  10. 11G. MisehouyM
  11. 26P. ReulenF
  12. 55B. GhalidiF

Coach: R. Kruijs

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.21 – 2.24
0.5 goalsOver96.8%Under3.2%
1.5 goalsOver85.9%Under14.1%
2.5 goalsOver67.0%Under33.0%
3.5 goalsOver45.3%Under54.7%
4.5 goalsOver26.5%Under73.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Helmond SportNAC Breda
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
35%Expected goals65%
24%Overall76%

Last matches

Newest first
Helmond Sport0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

NAC Breda0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2VVV Venlo2+24
3NAC Breda2+24
4Jong Ajax2+14
5Jong AZ304
6De Graafschap304
7FC Volendam2+33
8Emmen1+23
9Almere City FC203
10Jong PSV U21203
11Dordrecht2-13
12Vitesse2-13
13Helmond Sport3-23
14FC OSS101
15Den Bosch101
16MVV101
17Heracles101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC Eindhoven3-30
20Jong Utrecht2-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatHelmond SportNAC Breda
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Helmond Sport host NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 11) at Lavans Stadion, Helmond, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes NAC Breda favourites, giving Helmond Sport a 19% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 60% for NAC Breda. Our tip is: NAC Breda to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Lavans Stadion, Helmond

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?

Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are Helmond Sport and NAC Breda in the table?

Helmond Sport are 13th and NAC Breda are 3rd in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?

Our prediction is NAC Breda to win. Win probabilities: Helmond Sport 19%, draw 21%, NAC Breda 60%.

Will both teams score in Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda?

We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eerste Divisie on Fri 16 Oct

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