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NAC Breda vs Heracles prediction

NAC Breda vs Heracles prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 23 Oct 2026: NAC Breda or Heracles (75%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
NAC BredaHeraclesNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-1
Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda

Match events

NAC BredaHeracles
  1. 3'Yellow card: Sem SchepermanFoul
  2. Goal: Charles-Andreas Brym11'
  3. 19'Penalty goal: Tristan Van Gilst (pen)
  4. Substitution: Charles-Andreas BrymOff: Brahim Ghalidi27'
  5. 29'Yellow card: Djevencio van der KustFoul
  6. 39'Yellow card: David VicenteFoul
  7. 45'Substitution: Mimeirhel BenitaOff: David Vicente

HT 1-1

  1. 67'Substitution: Manny Rodriguez BalderaOff: Jeff Reine-Adélaïde
  2. 68'Substitution: Sem SchepermanOff: Mario Borac
  3. Substitution: Jannes Van HeckeOff: Imran Nazih76'
  4. Yellow card: Kamal SowahArgument80'
  5. 80'Yellow card: Jeff Reine-AdélaïdeArgument
  6. Substitution: Moussa SoumanoOff: Paul Gladon82'
  7. 88'Substitution: Tristan Van GilstOff: David Tomic
  8. 88'Substitution: Chafik AbbasOff: Mike te Wierik

Our verdict

12 ✗

NAC Breda or Heracles

Bet365 1.22

75%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · NAC Breda40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Heracles35%
Fair odds 2.86

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 0.93Expected goals (xG)1.24
  • 8Total shots8
  • 2Shots on target2
  • 1Shots off target4
  • 5Blocked shots2
  • 4Shots inside the box6
  • 5Corners5
  • 0Offsides3
  • 15Fouls20
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves1
  • 391Passes365
  • 305Accurate passes259

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1M. VerripsG
  2. 2B. LucassenD
  3. 4L. GreimlD
  4. 8F. Oldrup JensenD
  5. 12J. Van den BerghD
  6. 14K. SowahM
  7. 6M. BalardM
  8. 78J. Van HeckeM
  9. 10M. NassohM
  10. 28C. BrymM
  11. 9M. SoumanoF

Substitutes

  1. 5J. CandelariaD
  2. 35M. BrouwersD
  3. 55B. GhalidiF
  4. 19P. GladonF
  5. 23R. KortsmitG
  6. 31K. LamprouG
  7. 27Karim MperanyiF
  8. 34I. NazihM
  9. 11G. MisehouyM
  10. 26P. ReulenF
  11. 32R. van AarstD
  12. 17M. BouchouariD

Coach: R. Kruijs

Heracles

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1F. de KeijzerG
  2. 15David VicenteD
  3. 4D. MiraniD
  4. 14M. WruschD
  5. 25MannyD
  6. 5D. van der KustM
  7. 32S. SchepermanM
  8. 7C. AbbasM
  9. 17T. van GilstM
  10. 18M. HauswirthM
  11. 27J. N'djoliF

Substitutes

  1. 10T. BrunsM
  2. 35S. BultmanD
  3. 8M. EngelsM
  4. 16T. JansinkG
  5. 2M. BenitaD
  6. 9V. PopplerF
  7. 11J. Reine-AdélaïdeM
  8. 6D. TomićM
  9. 33L. ZeevalkinkG
  10. 23M. te WierikD
  11. 26D. van KaamM
  12. 3Mario BoracD

Coach: V. Heilmann

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.71 – 1.59
0.5 goalsOver96.3%Under3.7%
1.5 goalsOver84.1%Under15.9%
2.5 goalsOver64.1%Under35.9%
3.5 goalsOver42.0%Under58.0%
4.5 goalsOver23.7%Under76.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

NAC BredaHeracles
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
52%Expected goals48%
53%Overall47%

Last matches

Newest first
NAC Breda1W 0D 0L · last 1
WHelmond Sport vs NAC Breda16 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie0-2
Heracles0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2VVV Venlo2+24
3NAC Breda2+24
4Jong Ajax2+14
5Jong AZ304
6De Graafschap304
7FC Volendam2+33
8Emmen1+23
9Almere City FC203
10Jong PSV U21203
11Dordrecht2-13
12Vitesse2-13
13Helmond Sport3-23
14FC OSS101
15Den Bosch101
16MVV101
17Heracles101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC Eindhoven3-30
20Jong Utrecht2-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNAC BredaHeracles
Played10
Wins10
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets10
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.50/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes0/10/0

Match preview

NAC Breda host Heracles in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 12) at Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes NAC Breda slight favourites, giving NAC Breda a 40% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 35% for Heracles. Our tip is: NAC Breda or Heracles.

NAC Breda have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 and a 66% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is NAC Breda vs Heracles?

NAC Breda vs Heracles kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is NAC Breda vs Heracles in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are NAC Breda and Heracles in the table?

NAC Breda are 3rd and Heracles are 17th in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win NAC Breda vs Heracles?

Our prediction is NAC Breda or Heracles. Win probabilities: NAC Breda 40%, draw 25%, Heracles 35%.

Will both teams score in NAC Breda vs Heracles?

We estimate a 66% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in NAC Breda vs Heracles?

We estimate a 64% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eerste Divisie on Fri 23 Oct

FTFC OSS 3-3 Jong Ajax12 ✗FTVitesse 0-2 Emmen12 ✓FTDen Bosch 2-2 MVV1 ✗FTFC Eindhoven 1-2 Jong PSV U2112 ✓FTFC Volendam 6-2 Jong Utrecht1 ✓FTJong AZ 5-4 Helmond Sport12 ✓FTDe Graafschap 1-1 Waalwijk12 ✗FTAlmere City FC 2-3 Roda1X ✗

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