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VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ prediction

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 16 Oct 2026: VVV Venlo or draw (74%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11
VVV VenloNo recent gamesJong AZNo recent games
4 - 4Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 1-2
Seacon Stadion De Koel, Venlo

Match events

VVV VenloJong AZ
  1. 13'Goal: Jerolldino BergraafAssist: Hessel de Wit
  2. 22'Goal: rio robbemondAssist: Jerolldino Bergraaf
  3. Yellow card: Ismail Oulad M'HandFoul31'
  4. Goal: L. Schmidt33'
  5. 45'Substitution: rio robbemondOff: Jasper Hartog

HT 1-2

  1. Goal: L. SchmidtAssist: Thomas Janssen49'
  2. 55'Goal: Jasper HartogAssist: Hessel de Wit
  3. Substitution: Amir raisOff: Thomas Janssen60'
  4. Substitution: Luis GorlichOff: Ismail Oulad M'Hand60'
  5. Substitution: Philip HeiseOff: Lars de Blok60'
  6. 64'Substitution: Hessel de WitOff: Kevin toppenberg
  7. 64'Substitution: Mathijs MenuOff: Jerolldino Bergraaf
  8. Goal: Andreas Verstraeten66'
  9. Substitution: Mattheos TsigkasOff: L. Schmidt69'
  10. Goal: Eanna ClancyAssist: Lars de Blok70'
  11. Yellow card: Raf VullersFoul74'
  12. 74'Yellow card: Jasper HartogDissent
  13. 78'Substitution: Saviola Mourinho Simons SaffoeOff: Wassim bouziane
  14. 83'Substitution: Bogdan BudkoOff: Julian Sijbrands
  15. Yellow card: Lars de BlokArgument90'
  16. 90'Yellow card: Jesper ZwartArgument
  17. 90+3'Goal: Jasper HartogAssist: Bogdan Budko
  18. Yellow card: Eanna ClancyArgument90+4'
  19. 90+4'Yellow card: Kevin toppenbergArgument

Our verdict

1X ✓

VVV Venlo or draw

Bet365 1.36

74%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-4

Expected goals3.8

Win probability

1 · VVV Venlo53%
Fair odds 1.89
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · Jong AZ26%
Fair odds 3.85

Match statistics

  • 48%Possession52%
  • 2.41Expected goals (xG)1.51
  • 19Total shots21
  • 6Shots on target6
  • 10Shots off target6
  • 3Blocked shots9
  • 14Shots inside the box14
  • 7Corners5
  • 2Offsides1
  • 13Fouls14
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 379Passes421
  • 317Accurate passes355

Line-ups

VVV Venlo

5-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 13Y. SchoonderwaldtG
  2. 14Raf VullersD
  3. 4É. ClancyD
  4. 6A. VerstraetenD
  5. 33G. BlancquartD
  6. 16P. HeiseD
  7. 19Thomas JanssenM
  8. 8Ismail Oulad M'HandM
  9. 11N. Ait MouhouM
  10. 24M. OdrissM
  11. 17L. SchmidtF

Substitutes

  1. 31M. DavisD
  2. 21L. GörlichD
  3. 43D. HendrixF
  4. 15Tijn JoostenD
  5. 34A. RaisF
  6. 22Zidane TaylanG
  7. 9M. TsigkasF
  8. 5Lars de BlokD
  9. 35Yousri El AnbriM
  10. 47M. van GrootelF
  11. 1T. DoornbuschG

Coach: Marinus Dijkhuizen

Jong AZ

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1I. KaG
  2. 2J. ZwartD
  3. 3A. NataliD
  4. 4F. AndersenD
  5. 5K. IngeD
  6. 6Julian SijbrandsM
  7. 8J. OeripM
  8. 9Jerolldino BergraafM
  9. 10H. de WitM
  10. 11Wassim bouzianeM
  11. 7R. RobbemondF

Substitutes

  1. 20K. van OuytselD
  2. 16K. ZeggenG
  3. 19K. ToppenbergF
  4. 23J. SchipperG
  5. 15Saviola Mourinho Simons SaffoeD
  6. 14Mathijs MenuD
  7. 17J. HartogF
  8. 12J. EsajasD
  9. 18Bohdan BudkoM

Coach: Norbert Alblas

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.23 – 1.53
0.5 goalsOver97.7%Under2.3%
1.5 goalsOver88.9%Under11.1%
2.5 goalsOver72.5%Under27.5%
3.5 goalsOver51.8%Under48.2%
4.5 goalsOver32.4%Under67.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

VVV VenloJong AZ
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
59%Expected goals41%
67%Overall33%

Last matches

Newest first
VVV Venlo0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Jong AZ0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2VVV Venlo2+24
3NAC Breda2+24
4Jong Ajax2+14
5Jong AZ304
6De Graafschap304
7FC Volendam2+33
8Emmen1+23
9Almere City FC203
10Jong PSV U21203
11Dordrecht2-13
12Vitesse2-13
13Helmond Sport3-23
14FC OSS101
15Den Bosch101
16MVV101
17Heracles101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC Eindhoven3-30
20Jong Utrecht2-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatVVV VenloJong AZ
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

VVV Venlo host Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 11) at Seacon Stadion De Koel, Venlo, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes VVV Venlo favourites, giving VVV Venlo a 53% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 26% for Jong AZ. Our tip is: VVV Venlo or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 72% chance of over 2.5 and a 70% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Seacon Stadion De Koel, Venlo

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?

VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are VVV Venlo and Jong AZ in the table?

VVV Venlo are 2nd and Jong AZ are 5th in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?

Our prediction is VVV Venlo or draw. Win probabilities: VVV Venlo 53%, draw 21%, Jong AZ 26%.

Will both teams score in VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?

We estimate a 70% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ?

We estimate a 72% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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