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De Graafschap vs Waalwijk prediction

De Graafschap vs Waalwijk prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 23 Oct 2026: De Graafschap or Waalwijk (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
De GraafschapWaalwijkNo recent games
1 - 1Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
De Vijverberg, Dutinghem

Match events

De GraafschapWaalwijk
  1. Goal: Bjorn van ZijlAssist: Rowan Besselink33'

HT 1-0

  1. 62'Substitution: Virgil MisidjanOff: Ryan Fage
  2. 62'Substitution: Navajo BakboordOff: F. Al Mazyani
  3. Substitution: Kaya SymonsOff: Clint Leemans65'
  4. Substitution: Levi SchoppemaOff: Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff65'
  5. Substitution: Nathan Charles KanindaOff: Bjorn van Zijl71'
  6. 73'Yellow card: Loek PostmaFoul
  7. 77'Substitution: Loek PostmaOff: Azzedine Dkidak
  8. 77'Substitution: Jordy de WijsOff: Sven van der Plas
  9. Substitution: Toivo MeroOff: Joran Hardeman79'
  10. Substitution: Donny WarmerdamOff: Kyano Kwint79'
  11. 83'Goal: Ryan FageAssist: Tim van de Loo
  12. 89'Substitution: Jesse van de HaarOff: Nazjir Held

Our verdict

12 ✗

De Graafschap or Waalwijk

Bet365 1.25

76%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-1

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · De Graafschap38%
Fair odds 2.63
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Waalwijk38%
Fair odds 2.63

Match statistics

  • 37%Possession63%
  • 0.96Expected goals (xG)1.58
  • 12Total shots24
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 6Shots off target13
  • 3Blocked shots8
  • 6Shots inside the box15
  • 5Corners8
  • 1Offsides0
  • 12Fouls15
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves2
  • 411Passes397
  • 328Accurate passes318

Line-ups

De Graafschap

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1T. WieggersG
  2. 16N. MartensD
  3. 3R. BesselinkD
  4. 15T. KokD
  5. 5L. SchoppemaD
  6. 8D. WarmerdamM
  7. 21K. SymonsM
  8. 7Bjorn van ZijlM
  9. 23M. DiemersM
  10. 11T. MeroM
  11. 10F. de JongF

Substitutes

  1. 22P. ReversonG
  2. 6C. LeemansM
  3. 2J. WieckhoffD
  4. 20Gabriele FinocchiaroM
  5. 18Denzel EijkenM
  6. 14Gijs BolkD
  7. 27N. Ahmeti-GraincaM
  8. 4J. HardemanD
  9. 33R. JonkersG
  10. 9J. KaniaF
  11. 17N. KanindaF
  12. 40Kyano KwintF

Coach: T. Duivenvoorden

Waalwijk

4-1-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1N. SchiksG
  2. 33F. Al MazyaniD
  3. 4L. van GelderenD
  4. 30J. de WijsD
  5. 5Juan Carlos Familia-CastilloD
  6. 6L. PostmaM
  7. 93V. MisidjanM
  8. 22T. van de LooM
  9. 11Yorem van der VeenM
  10. 27F. StokkersF
  11. 9J. van de HaarF

Substitutes

  1. 24A. DkidakD
  2. 7R. FageM
  3. 55N. HeldD
  4. 17R. KuijpersF
  5. 13Xander MulderG
  6. 8J. NapM
  7. 20Keyan VarelaF
  8. 16M. SpenkelinkG
  9. 19H. van GemertF
  10. 18R. van HedelM
  11. 3S. van der PlasD
  12. 25N. BakboordD

Coach: Sander Duits

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.72
0.5 goalsOver96.8%Under3.2%
1.5 goalsOver85.8%Under14.2%
2.5 goalsOver66.8%Under33.2%
3.5 goalsOver45.0%Under55.0%
4.5 goalsOver26.3%Under73.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

De GraafschapWaalwijk
50%Form50%
100%Attack0%
9%Defence91%
50%Head to head50%
50%Expected goals50%
50%Overall50%

Last matches

Newest first
De Graafschap0W 0D 1L · last 1
LJong Ajax vs De Graafschap19 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie2-1
Waalwijk0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2NAC Breda3+47
3Jong Ajax3+15
4VVV Venlo2+24
5Heracles2+24
6Jong AZ304
7De Graafschap304
8Vitesse3-14
9FC Volendam2+33
10Emmen1+23
11Almere City FC203
12Helmond Sport3-23
13Dordrecht3-23
14Jong PSV U213-23
15Jong Utrecht3-43
16Den Bosch101
17MVV101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC OSS2-21
20FC Eindhoven3-30
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatDe GraafschapWaalwijk
Played10
Wins00
Draws00
Losses10
Goals for (avg)10
Goals against (avg)20
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/10/0
Over 2.51/10/0
Over 3.50/10/0
BTTS – yes1/10/0

Match preview

De Graafschap host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 12) at De Vijverberg, Dutinghem, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes De Graafschap narrow favourites, giving De Graafschap a 38% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 38% for Waalwijk. Our tip is: De Graafschap or Waalwijk.

De Graafschap have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 68% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
De Vijverberg, Dutinghem

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?

De Graafschap vs Waalwijk kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is De Graafschap vs Waalwijk in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are De Graafschap and Waalwijk in the table?

De Graafschap are 7th and Waalwijk are 18th in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?

Our prediction is De Graafschap or Waalwijk. Win probabilities: De Graafschap 38%, draw 24%, Waalwijk 38%.

Will both teams score in De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?

We estimate a 68% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?

We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eerste Divisie on Fri 23 Oct

FTFC OSS 3-3 Jong Ajax12 ✗FTAlmere City FC 2-3 Roda1X ✗FTNAC Breda 1-1 Heracles12 ✗FTDen Bosch 2-2 MVV1 ✗FTFC Eindhoven 1-2 Jong PSV U2112 ✓FTFC Volendam 6-2 Jong Utrecht1 ✓FTJong AZ 5-4 Helmond Sport12 ✓FTVitesse 0-2 Emmen12 ✓

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