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Almere City FC vs Roda prediction

Almere City FC vs Roda prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 23 Oct 2026: Almere City FC or draw (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
Almere City FCNo recent gamesRoda
2 - 3Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Yanmar Stadion, Almere

Match events

Almere City FCRoda
  1. Goal: H. el DahriAssist: Jamie Jacobs5'
  2. 33'Substitution: Dyon DorenboschOff: Jerome Deom

HT 1-0

  1. Goal: Jamie Jacobs51'
  2. 54'Goal: Anthony van den HurkAssist: Guilherme Martinho Peixoto
  3. Substitution: Jamie JacobsOff: Marley Dors58'
  4. Substitution: Jochem Ritmeester Van De KampOff: Emanuel Poku59'
  5. 61'Goal: Anthony van den HurkAssist: Jerome Deom
  6. Substitution: Teun BijleveldOff: Job Kalisvaart64'
  7. 69'Substitution: Mitchel PaulissenOff: Bram Marsman
  8. 69'Substitution: Cain SeedorfOff: Jeremiah Mensah
  9. 74'Goal: Anthony van den HurkAssist: Jeremiah Mensah
  10. Substitution: H. el DahriOff: Byron Burgering76'
  11. Substitution: Mees HoedemakersOff: Milan de Haan76'
  12. 90'Substitution: Koen JansenOff: X. van den Berg
  13. 90'Substitution: Joshua NisbetOff: Luuk Verheij

Our verdict

1X ✗

Almere City FC or draw

Bet365 1.25

76%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-3

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Almere City FC51%
Fair odds 1.96
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Roda24%
Fair odds 4.17

Match statistics

  • 52%Possession48%
  • 1.75Expected goals (xG)2.97
  • 14Total shots18
  • 6Shots on target12
  • 6Shots off target6
  • 2Blocked shots0
  • 10Shots inside the box13
  • 3Corners14
  • 1Offsides1
  • 17Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 9Goalkeeper saves4
  • 472Passes467
  • 396Accurate passes391

Line-ups

Almere City FC

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Wessel SpeelG
  2. 2M. WasinskiD
  3. 3J. JacobsD
  4. 4J. LawrenceD
  5. 5T. BijleveldD
  6. 14M. HoedemakersM
  7. 6E. CornelisseM
  8. 23J. Ritmeester van de KampM
  9. 10J. JacobsM
  10. 21H. El DahriM
  11. 9F. DruijfF

Substitutes

  1. 7B. BurgeringF
  2. 11M. DorsF
  3. 18Bas HuismanF
  4. 20J. KalisvaartM
  5. 24M. MateyoG
  6. 17E. PokuF
  7. 8M. de HaanM
  8. 19Olivier de NijsM
  9. 44D. van BruggenD
  10. 22E. van de BlaakD
  11. 30J. van der WiltG
  12. 26Twan·Van Der ZeeuwD

Coach: Anoush Dastgir

Roda

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. TreichelG
  2. 3M. TolD
  3. 33D. Van den BuijsD
  4. 15L. BeertenD
  5. 17Guilherme Martinho PeixotoM
  6. 11D. DorenboschM
  7. 4J. NisbetM
  8. 5K. JansenM
  9. 7C. SeedorfM
  10. 6M. PaulissenM
  11. 9A. van den HurkF

Substitutes

  1. 2Luuk VerheijM
  2. 26J. SleegersF
  3. 10F. SchentenF
  4. 8J. MensahM
  5. 25Bram MarsmanD
  6. 24J. DéomM
  7. 14X. van den BergD
  8. 28J. van DammeG
  9. 21M. StojcevicG
  10. 20M. BentoumiM

Coach: R. Penders

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.17
0.5 goalsOver94.8%Under5.2%
1.5 goalsOver79.5%Under20.5%
2.5 goalsOver56.8%Under43.2%
3.5 goalsOver34.4%Under65.6%
4.5 goalsOver17.8%Under82.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Almere City FCRoda
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
60%Expected goals40%
68%Overall32%

Last matches

Newest first
Almere City FC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Roda1W 0D 0L · last 1
WJong Utrecht vs Roda19 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie1-2

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2VVV Venlo2+24
3NAC Breda2+24
4Jong Ajax2+14
5Jong AZ304
6De Graafschap304
7FC Volendam2+33
8Emmen1+23
9Almere City FC203
10Jong PSV U21203
11Dordrecht2-13
12Vitesse2-13
13Helmond Sport3-23
14FC OSS101
15Den Bosch101
16MVV101
17Heracles101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC Eindhoven3-30
20Jong Utrecht2-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatAlmere City FCRoda
Played01
Wins01
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Almere City FC host Roda in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 12) at Yanmar Stadion, Almere, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Almere City FC favourites, giving Almere City FC a 51% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 24% for Roda. Our tip is: Almere City FC or draw.

Roda have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Yanmar Stadion, Almere

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Almere City FC vs Roda?

Almere City FC vs Roda kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Almere City FC vs Roda in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are Almere City FC and Roda in the table?

Almere City FC are 9th and Roda are 1st in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win Almere City FC vs Roda?

Our prediction is Almere City FC or draw. Win probabilities: Almere City FC 51%, draw 25%, Roda 24%.

Will both teams score in Almere City FC vs Roda?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Almere City FC vs Roda?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eerste Divisie on Fri 23 Oct

FTFC OSS 3-3 Jong Ajax12 ✗FTNAC Breda 1-1 Heracles12 ✗FTDen Bosch 2-2 MVV1 ✗FTFC Eindhoven 1-2 Jong PSV U2112 ✓FTFC Volendam 6-2 Jong Utrecht1 ✓FTJong AZ 5-4 Helmond Sport12 ✓FTVitesse 0-2 Emmen12 ✓FTDe Graafschap 1-1 Waalwijk12 ✗

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