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Den Bosch vs MVV prediction

Den Bosch vs MVV prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 23 Oct 2026: Den Bosch to win (55%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12
Den BoschNo recent gamesMVVNo recent games
2 - 2Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Stadion de Vliert, 'S-Hertogenbosch

Match events

Den BoschMVV
  1. Goal: Sebastian Karlsson GrachAssist: Kevin Monzialo9'
  2. 45+1'Yellow card: Thijme VerheijenFoul

HT 1-0

  1. 54'Goal: Robert Klaasen
  2. Goal: Ilias BoumassaoudiAssist: Devon Findell·De Corte61'
  3. Yellow card: Jeffry FortesFoul71'
  4. 74'Substitution: Olivier·DumontOff: Naim Matoug
  5. 74'Substitution: Delano AsanteOff: Mika Luijendijk
  6. Substitution: Boris van SchuppenOff: Jack de Vries77'
  7. Substitution: Sebastian Karlsson GrachOff: Wang Bohao77'
  8. 78'Goal: Finn DickeAssist: Lennerd Daneels
  9. Red card: Pepijn van de Merbel80'
  10. Substitution: Ilias BoumassaoudiOff: Finn Murre82'
  11. 85'Substitution: Onesime ZimuanganaOff: Yael Liesdek
  12. 85'Substitution: Milan·HoflandOff: Sven Bouland
  13. Substitution: Devon Findell·De CorteOff: Lorenzo Hoffman87'
  14. 89'Substitution: Thijme VerheijenOff: Yanis Bourard
  15. 90+3'Yellow card: Sil van der WegenFoul

Our verdict

1 ✗

Den Bosch to win

Bet365 1.70

55%

✗ This tip lost · final score 2-2

Expected goals3.5

Win probability

1 · Den Bosch55%
Fair odds 1.82
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · MVV23%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1.11Expected goals (xG)0.87
  • 15Total shots11
  • 5Shots on target5
  • 6Shots off target3
  • 4Blocked shots3
  • 10Shots inside the box6
  • 9Corners3
  • 5Offsides4
  • 11Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 370Passes355
  • 298Accurate passes274

Line-ups

Den Bosch

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 1P. van de MerbelG
  2. 2S. BarglanD
  3. 22Jeffry FortesD
  4. 33M. LarosD
  5. 3S. MaasD
  6. 18H. EikelboomM
  7. 35B. van SchuppenM
  8. 10Devon DecorteM
  9. 8K. MonzialoF
  10. 9S. Karlsson GrachF
  11. 40I. BoumassaoudiF

Substitutes

  1. 11J. De VriesM
  2. 39S. van DaalenM
  3. 4J. van HeertumD
  4. 31E. BijlsmaG
  5. 25Silvan BrokerD
  6. 27L. HoffmanF
  7. 21F. MurreG
  8. 17E. SemedoF
  9. 16Wang BohaoM
  10. 41K. de RooijD

Coach: Bart Schreuder

MVV

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1H. WentgesG
  2. 17S. WegenD
  3. 2M. HoflandD
  4. 6F. DickeD
  5. 25Yael LiesdekD
  6. 18E. SierraM
  7. 16R. KlaasenM
  8. 19Mika LuijendijkM
  9. 10O. DumontM
  10. 7L. DaneelsM
  11. 11T. VerheijenF

Substitutes

  1. 27Naïm MatougF
  2. 14M. KuipersF
  3. 23V. GoffingsG
  4. 31Yanis BourardM
  5. 22Sven BoulandD
  6. 33Tristan BombleD
  7. 21D. AsanteF
  8. 20A. AmgarM
  9. 34Samy MoumniF
  10. 29O. ZimuanganaF
  11. 12S. van der HeijdenG

Coach: A. Jonker

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.13 – 1.34
0.5 goalsOver96.9%Under3.1%
1.5 goalsOver86.1%Under13.9%
2.5 goalsOver67.4%Under32.6%
3.5 goalsOver45.7%Under54.3%
4.5 goalsOver26.9%Under73.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Den BoschMVV
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
61%Expected goals39%
71%Overall29%

Last matches

Newest first
Den Bosch0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

MVV0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2VVV Venlo2+24
3NAC Breda2+24
4Jong Ajax2+14
5Jong AZ304
6De Graafschap304
7FC Volendam2+33
8Emmen1+23
9Almere City FC203
10Jong PSV U21203
11Dordrecht2-13
12Vitesse2-13
13Helmond Sport3-23
14FC OSS101
15Den Bosch101
16MVV101
17Heracles101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC Eindhoven3-30
20Jong Utrecht2-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatDen BoschMVV
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Den Bosch host MVV in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 12) at Stadion de Vliert, 'S-Hertogenbosch, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Den Bosch favourites, giving Den Bosch a 55% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 23% for MVV. Our tip is: Den Bosch to win.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 67% chance of over 2.5 and a 66% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Stadion de Vliert, 'S-Hertogenbosch

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Den Bosch vs MVV?

Den Bosch vs MVV kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Den Bosch vs MVV in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are Den Bosch and MVV in the table?

Den Bosch are 15th and MVV are 16th in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win Den Bosch vs MVV?

Our prediction is Den Bosch to win. Win probabilities: Den Bosch 55%, draw 22%, MVV 23%.

Will both teams score in Den Bosch vs MVV?

We estimate a 66% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Den Bosch vs MVV?

We estimate a 67% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eerste Divisie on Fri 23 Oct

FTFC OSS 3-3 Jong Ajax12 ✗FTAlmere City FC 2-3 Roda1X ✗FTNAC Breda 1-1 Heracles12 ✗FTFC Eindhoven 1-2 Jong PSV U2112 ✓FTFC Volendam 6-2 Jong Utrecht1 ✓FTJong AZ 5-4 Helmond Sport12 ✓FTVitesse 0-2 Emmen12 ✓FTDe Graafschap 1-1 Waalwijk12 ✗

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