Scottish Premiership · Regular Season - 10
Match events
Kilmarnock- Own goal: Cathal McCarthy (og)29'
- Goal: Jacob MurrellAssist: Ryan Strain38'
HT 2-0
- 46'Yellow card: George StangerFoul
- 62'Substitution: Greg KiltieOff: Ieuan Gwyn Owen
- 67'Substitution: Erik RingOff: Nicky Clescenco
- 67'Substitution: Aaron TshibolaOff: Mark O'Hara
- 67'Yellow card: Jamie BrandonFoul
- Own goal: George Stanger (og)68'
- 76'Substitution: Cathal McCarthyOff: Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
- 76'Substitution: Joe HugillOff: Djenairo Daniels
- Substitution: Ethan RossOff: Conor McLeod83'
- Substitution: Jacob MurrellOff: Ben Parkinson83'
- Substitution: Calvin FodreyOff: Owen Eames84'
- Substitution: Finn YeatsOff: Finley Frank Barbrook86'
- Substitution: Deniss MeļņiksOff: Craig Sibbald90+1'
Our verdict
Over 1.5
Bet365 1.20
✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-0
Win probability
Match statistics
- 63%Possession37%
- 2.00Expected goals (xG)1.78
- 18Total shots10
- 8Shots on target0
- 6Shots off target4
- 4Blocked shots6
- 12Shots inside the box6
- 9Corners7
- 0Offsides1
- 11Fouls12
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Goalkeeper saves7
- 298Passes332
- 201Accurate passes227
Line-ups
Falkirk
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 19S. BainG
- 22R. StrainD
- 15L. NeilsonD
- 5L. HendersonD
- 3L. McCannD
- 8B. SpencerM
- 16Finley Frank BarbrookM
- 23E. RossM
- 21D. MeļņiksM
- 42Owen EamesM
- 24J. MurrellF
Substitutes
- 1N. HogarthG
- 17S. TanserD
- 27C. McLeodM
- 14F. YeatsM
- 99C. FodreyM
- 4J. McMillanD
- 10C. SibbaldM
- 7Ben ParkinsonF
- 9R. MacIverF
Coach: J. McGlynn
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12C. FerrieG
- 2J. BrandonD
- 4C. McCarthyD
- 14G. StangerD
- 21M. Schjønning-LarsenD
- 36A. TshibolaM
- 18T. LoweryM
- 8E. RingM
- 10T. John-JulesM
- 11G. KiltieM
- 9J. HugillF
Substitutes
- 29D. DanielsF
- 5M. O'HaraM
- 7R. McKenzieM
- 20N. CleșcencoF
- 19J. MeierD
- 6R. DeasD
- 58N. MantlG
- 3Michael-John Kamson-KamaraD
- 27I. OwenF
Coach: N. McCann
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.74 – 1.19Half time / full time result. 1 = Falkirk, X = draw, 2 = Kilmarnock.
Asian handicap applied to Falkirk.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstScottish Premiership table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 28 | DWWWL |
| 2 | Rangers | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 | DWDWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 20 | DWLWD |
| 4 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 5 | Dundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16 | DWDWW |
| 6 | Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | WWWLD |
| 7 | ST Mirren | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 14 | DWLLL |
| 8 | ST Johnstone | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 11 | LLWLD |
| 10 | Motherwell | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 | DLLLL |
| 11 | Hibernian | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 8 | LLWLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  C. DuránCeltic | 11 | 7 |
| 2 |  B. NygrenCeltic | 11 | 6 |
| 3 |  J. FowlerST Johnstone | 11 | 6 |
| 4 |  R. NaderiRangers | 10 | 5 |
| 5 |  Cláudio BragaHeart Of Midlothian | 11 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Falkirk | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 3 |
| Goals against (avg) | 1 | 2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 |
| Best win streak | 1 | 1 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 0/1 | 1/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Match preview
Falkirk host Kilmarnock in the Scottish Premiership (Regular Season - 10) at Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Falkirk favourites, giving Falkirk a 50% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 26% for Kilmarnock. Our tip is: Over 1.5.
Falkirk have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Kilmarnock have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- Scotland Scottish Premiership
- Date
- Saturday, 24 October 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Venue
- Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 15:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Falkirk vs Kilmarnock in?
The match is in the Scotland Scottish Premiership.
Where are Falkirk and Kilmarnock in the table?
Falkirk are 6th and Kilmarnock are 12th in the Scottish Premiership.
Who will win Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Falkirk 50%, draw 24%, Kilmarnock 26%.
Will both teams score in Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Falkirk vs Kilmarnock?
We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.