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Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers prediction

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers prediction for the Premier Division on 16 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday16October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Premier Division · Regular Season - 34
Galway UnitedNo recent gamesShamrock RoversNo recent games
2 - 0Full time · Fri 16 OctHT 2-0
Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway

Match events

Galway UnitedShamrock Rovers
  1. Goal: Jimmy Keohane2'
  2. 15'Yellow card: Matthew HealyFoul
  3. Goal: Aaron Bolger42'
  4. 45'Substitution: Jake MulraneyOff: Jonathan Afolabi
  5. 45'Substitution: Matthew HealyOff: Adam Brennan

HT 2-0

  1. 66'Substitution: John O'Reilly-O'SullivanOff: William Fitzgerald
  2. 68'Yellow card: John McGovernFoul
  3. 78'Substitution: Daniel ClearyOff: Daniel Grant
  4. Substitution: Ed McCarthyOff: Matthew Wolfe82'
  5. 89'Yellow card: Tunmise SobowaleFoul
  6. Substitution: Stephen WalshOff: Dylan Connolly89'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.25

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-0

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Galway United22%
Fair odds 4.55
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Shamrock Rovers54%
Fair odds 1.85

Match statistics

  • 18%Possession82%
  • 0.52Expected goals (xG)1.27
  • 6Total shots18
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 2Shots off target7
  • 0Blocked shots7
  • 3Shots inside the box12
  • 2Corners9
  • 1Offsides1
  • 4Fouls9
  • 0Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves2
  • 166Passes764
  • 87Accurate passes666

Line-ups

Galway United

3-5-2

Starting XI

  1. 16Hugo Alberto Pires da CunhaG
  2. 3Connor BarrattD
  3. 2A. O'ConnorD
  4. 12Gianfranco FacchineriD
  5. 4J. KeohaneM
  6. 8A. BolgerM
  7. 20L. DevittM
  8. 10D. HurleyM
  9. 24E. McCarthyM
  10. 11K. TwardekF
  11. 7S. WalshF

Substitutes

  1. 15O. WilliamsD
  2. 32Vincent AngeliniG
  3. 21D. ConnollyF
  4. 9F. LombotoF
  5. 23F. PierrotF
  6. 17Junior ThiamM
  7. 14M. WolfeM
  8. 54C. WhittakerM
  9. 28J. MorahanD

Coach: John Caulfield

Shamrock Rovers

3-1-4-2

Starting XI

  1. 1E. McGintyG
  2. 6D. ClearyD
  3. 4PicoD
  4. 5L. GraceD
  5. 8M. HealyM
  6. 22T. SobowaleM
  7. 7D. WattsM
  8. 29J. ByrneM
  9. 11J. MulraneyM
  10. 88J. McGovernF
  11. 10G. BurkeF

Substitutes

  1. 9A. GreeneF
  2. 17L. O'ReganM
  3. 27C. O'SullivanD
  4. 26John O'SullivanM
  5. 25L. SteacyG
  6. 21D. GrantM
  7. 19A. BrennanM
  8. 18J. AfolabiF
  9. 24W. FitzgeraldF

Coach: S. Bradley

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.02 – 1.75
0.5 goalsOver93.7%Under6.3%
1.5 goalsOver76.4%Under23.6%
2.5 goalsOver52.3%Under47.7%
3.5 goalsOver30.1%Under69.9%
4.5 goalsOver14.8%Under85.2%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Galway UnitedShamrock Rovers
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
37%Expected goals63%
29%Overall71%

Last matches

Newest first
Galway United0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Shamrock Rovers0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Premier Division table

Premier Division table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Waterford4+39
2Drogheda United3+26
3Bohemians3+16
4Shelbourne3+16
5Derry City3-14
6Galway United4-14
7Dundalk2+13
8Shamrock Rovers303
9St Patrick's Athl.3-21
10Sligo Rovers2-41
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatGalway UnitedShamrock Rovers
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Galway United host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division (Regular Season - 34) at Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway, with kick-off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Shamrock Rovers favourites, giving Galway United a 22% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 54% for Shamrock Rovers. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Ireland Premier Division
Date
Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers kicks off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers in?

The match is in the Ireland Premier Division.

Where are Galway United and Shamrock Rovers in the table?

Galway United are 6th and Shamrock Rovers are 8th in the Premier Division.

Who will win Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Galway United 22%, draw 24%, Shamrock Rovers 54%.

Will both teams score in Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Premier Division on Fri 16 Oct

FTDrogheda United 2-0 Derry CityX2 ✗FTBohemians 2-1 Waterford1 ✓FTSt Patrick's Athl. 1-2 Shelbourne1 ✗

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