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Torino vs Monza prediction

Torino vs Monza prediction for the Serie A on 23 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 51/64 correct(80%)
Serie A · Regular Season - 8
TorinoMonza
3 - 2Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin

Match events

TorinoMonza
  1. Yellow card: Ardian IsmajliFoul34'
  2. Goal: Kian Fitz-JimAssist: Giovanni Simeone39'

HT 1-0

  1. 47'Goal: Gustavo Varela
  2. Substitution: Rolando MandragoraOff: Gvidas Gineitis51'
  3. Goal: Rafik BelghaliAssist: Gvidas Gineitis61'
  4. 63'Substitution: Lorenzo LucchesiOff: Eddy Kouadio
  5. 63'Substitution: Foe OndoaOff: Michael Folorunsho
  6. Substitution: Giovanni SimeoneOff: Sandro Kulenović71'
  7. Substitution: Kian Fitz-JimOff: Daniel Bragança71'
  8. Substitution: Alessio CacciamaniOff: Nathan Patterson71'
  9. Goal: Nikola Vlašić72'
  10. 79'Substitution: Cyril NgongeOff: Dany Mota
  11. 79'Substitution: Patrick CutroneOff: Jay Robinson
  12. Substitution: Rafik BelghaliOff: Zakaria Aboukhlal84'
  13. 85'Substitution: Andrea CarboniOff: Mathis Mout
  14. 90+4'Own goal: Nathan Patterson (og)

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.28

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 3-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Torino45%
Fair odds 2.22
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Monza29%
Fair odds 3.45

Match statistics

  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1.26Expected goals (xG)0.60
  • 17Total shots7
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 7Shots off target3
  • 3Blocked shots1
  • 8Shots inside the box3
  • 3Corners4
  • 1Offsides2
  • 8Fouls4
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves4
  • 454Passes440
  • 359Accurate passes365

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 20Lucas PerriG
  2. 23Saúl CocoD
  3. 44A. IsmajliD
  4. 15P. ComuzzoD
  5. 45R. BelghaliM
  6. 8R. MandragoraM
  7. 28K. Fitz-JimM
  8. 77A. CacciamaniM
  9. 10N. VlašićM
  10. 19C. AdamsM
  11. 18G. SimeoneF

Substitutes

  1. 3C. BiraghiD
  2. 5E. CömertD
  3. 22C. CasadeiM
  4. 7Z. AboukhlalF
  5. 66G. GineitisM
  6. 17S. KulenovićF
  7. 26D. MascardiG
  8. 11G. OristanioM
  9. 2N. PattersonD
  10. 9P. PellegriF
  11. 76L. SivieroG
  12. 91D. ZapataF
  13. 21Daniel BragançaM

Coach: Ignazio Abate

Monza

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1N. TörnqvistG
  2. 2S. GoglichidzeD
  3. 3L. LucchesiD
  4. 44A. CarboniD
  5. 19S. BirindelliM
  6. 8M. OndoaM
  7. 14E. AkinsanmiroM
  8. 7Ricardo MangasM
  9. 47Dany MotaM
  10. 46Jay RobinsonM
  11. 9Gustavo VarelaF

Substitutes

  1. 26P. CiurriaF
  2. 21L. ColomboM
  3. 10P. CutroneF
  4. 90M. FolorunshoM
  5. 11O. ForsonF
  6. 60E. KouadioD
  7. 80M. MoutM
  8. 16C. NgongeF
  9. 43A. StrajnarG
  10. 20D. ThiamG
  11. 27I. TouréM
  12. 22E. ZeballosF
  13. 24A. BakouneD
  14. 6V. AntovD
  15. 28A. ColpaniM

Coach: I. Juric

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.55 – 1.20
0.5 goalsOver93.6%Under6.4%
1.5 goalsOver76.0%Under24.0%
2.5 goalsOver51.9%Under48.1%
3.5 goalsOver29.7%Under70.3%
4.5 goalsOver14.5%Under85.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

TorinoMonza
50%Form50%
43%Attack57%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
56%Expected goals44%
61%Overall39%

Last matches

Newest first
Torino1W 0D 0L · last 1
WParma vs Torino19 Oct 2026 · Serie A0-3
Monza1W 0D 0L · last 1
WMonza vs Cagliari19 Oct 2026 · Serie A4-0

Serie A table

Serie A table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Lazio9+1525
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone9+817
7Napoli9+614
8Bologna10+114
9Juventus9+114
10Torino9013
11Cagliari9-513
12Atalanta9-111
13Genoa9-510
14Lecce9-99
15Sassuolo9-88
16Monza10-77
17Fiorentina9-105
18Parma9-105
19Udinese10-125
20Venezia10-143
See full table ›

Top scorers

Serie A top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Gustavo VarelaMonza99
2D. MalenAS Roma98
3A. RaimondoFrosinone98
4N. KrstovićAtalanta96
5A. RabiotAC Milan85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatTorinoMonza
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)34
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets11
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes0/10/1

Match preview

Torino host Monza in the Serie A (Regular Season - 8) at Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Torino slight favourites, giving Torino a 45% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 29% for Monza. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Torino have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Monza have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 52% chance of over 2.5 and a 56% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Italy Serie A
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Torino vs Monza?

Torino vs Monza kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Torino vs Monza in?

The match is in the Italy Serie A.

Where are Torino and Monza in the table?

Torino are 10th and Monza are 16th in the Serie A.

Who will win Torino vs Monza?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Torino 45%, draw 26%, Monza 29%.

Will both teams score in Torino vs Monza?

We estimate a 56% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Torino vs Monza?

We estimate a 52% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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