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SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg prediction

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg prediction for the Bundesliga on 17 Oct 2026: SV Elversberg or draw (64%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
SV ElversbergNo recent gamesFC AugsburgNo recent games
4 - 3Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 3-1
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

Match events

SV ElversbergFC Augsburg
  1. VAR: Lasse GüntherPenalty confirmedVAR2'
  2. Missed penalty: Lukas Petkov4'
  3. Goal: Lukas Petkov4'
  4. Goal: Lasse GüntherAssist: Maurice Krattenmacher7'
  5. Goal: Maximilian RohrAssist: Felix Keidel28'
  6. 30'Yellow card: Rodrigo RibeiroFoul
  7. 30'Yellow card: Han-Noah MassengoFoul
  8. Substitution: Jan GyamerahOff: Luca Sirch40'
  9. Substitution: Frederik SchmahlOff: Noah Darvich40'
  10. 45'Substitution: Marius WolfOff: Anton Kade
  11. 45'Substitution: Michael GregoritschOff: Rodrigo Ribeiro
  12. 45'Substitution: Juma BahOff: Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
  13. 45+8'VARVAR: Marius WolfPenalty confirmed
  14. 45+9'Penalty goal: Fabian Rieder (pen)

HT 3-1

  1. 52'Yellow card: Chrislain MatsimaFoul
  2. Yellow card: Felix KeidelTime Wasting54'
  3. 74'Substitution: Arijon IbrahimovicOff: Mert Kömür
  4. 74'Substitution: Robin FellhauerOff: Seol Young-woo
  5. Yellow card: Lukas PinckertFoul75'
  6. 76'Penalty goal: Michael Gregoritsch (pen)
  7. Substitution: David MokwaOff: Noel Futkeu77'
  8. Substitution: Maurice KrattenmacherOff: Raif Adam78'
  9. VAR: Raif AdamGoal cancelledVAR79'
  10. Yellow card: Nicolas KristofDissent84'
  11. 87'VARVAR: Michael GregoritschPenalty cancelled
  12. Goal: Frederik SchmahlAssist: Lukas Petkov89'
  13. 90'Goal: Mert KömürAssist: Hennes Behrens
  14. Substitution: Felix KeidelOff: Amara Condé90+3'
  15. Yellow card: Frederik SchmahlFoul90+6'
  16. Missed penalty: Noel Futkeu90+8'

Our verdict

1X ✓

SV Elversberg or draw

Bet365 1.50

64%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-3

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · SV Elversberg40%
Fair odds 2.50
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · FC Augsburg36%
Fair odds 2.78

Match statistics

  • 40%Possession60%
  • 2.89Expected goals (xG)3.37
  • 19Total shots29
  • 8Shots on target8
  • 4Shots off target9
  • 7Blocked shots12
  • 17Shots inside the box26
  • 4Corners12
  • 3Offsides2
  • 16Fouls14
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Goalkeeper saves4
  • 320Passes461
  • 249Accurate passes375

Line-ups

SV Elversberg

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 20N. KristofG
  2. 30J. GyamerahD
  3. 19L. PinckertD
  4. 31M. RohrD
  5. 21L. GüntherD
  6. 43F. KeidelM
  7. 8Ł. PorębaM
  8. 25L. PetkovM
  9. 10Noah DarvichM
  10. 7M. KrattenmacherM
  11. 42D. MokwaF

Substitutes

  1. 15R. AdamF
  2. 28T. BossG
  3. 6A. CondéM
  4. 9N. FutkeuF
  5. 3F. Le JoncourD
  6. 2N. MickelsonD
  7. 17F. SchmahlM
  8. 24L. SchnellbacherM
  9. 26L. SirchD

Coach: V. Wagner

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1F. DahmenG
  2. 35Abdulay BahD
  3. 5C. MatsimaD
  4. 2C. BrackelmannD
  5. 27M. WolfM
  6. 4H. MassengoM
  7. 32F. RiederM
  8. 16Hennes BehrensM
  9. 19R. FellhauerM
  10. 21A. IbrahimovićM
  11. 9Rodrigo RibeiroF

Substitutes

  1. 30A. KadeM
  2. 14Y. KeitelM
  3. 10M. KömürM
  4. 22N. LabrovićG
  5. 39U. OgunduF
  6. 37T. SchnitzerM
  7. 7Seol Young-WooD
  8. 6J. GouweleeuwD
  9. 11M. GregoritschF

Coach: M. Baum

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.73 – 1.64
0.5 goalsOver96.6%Under3.4%
1.5 goalsOver85.0%Under15.0%
2.5 goalsOver65.4%Under34.6%
3.5 goalsOver43.5%Under56.5%
4.5 goalsOver25.0%Under75.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

SV ElversbergFC Augsburg
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
51%Expected goals49%
53%Overall47%

Last matches

Newest first
SV Elversberg0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

FC Augsburg0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Bundesliga table

Bundesliga table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8Eintracht Frankfurt8-511
9FSV Mainz 058010
10FC Augsburg8+39
11VfB Stuttgart8-19
121899 Hoffenheim8-29
131. FC Köln8-39
14SC Paderborn 078-39
15Hamburger SV8-129
16Union Berlin8-127
17FC Schalke 048-56
18Borussia Mönchengladbach8-114
See full table ›

Top scorers

Bundesliga top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1N. FüllkrugWerder Bremen89
2P. SchickBayer Leverkusen87
3M. OliseBayern München86
4Y. EbnoutalibEintracht Frankfurt75
5E. DemirovićVfB Stuttgart85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatSV ElversbergFC Augsburg
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

SV Elversberg host FC Augsburg in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 6) at Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 WAT.

Our prediction model makes SV Elversberg slight favourites, giving SV Elversberg a 40% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 36% for FC Augsburg. Our tip is: SV Elversberg or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 67% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Germany Bundesliga
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:30 WAT
Venue
Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 14:30 West Africa Time.

Which competition is SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg in?

The match is in the Germany Bundesliga.

Where are SV Elversberg and FC Augsburg in the table?

SV Elversberg are 7th and FC Augsburg are 10th in the Bundesliga.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

Our prediction is SV Elversberg or draw. Win probabilities: SV Elversberg 40%, draw 24%, FC Augsburg 36%.

Will both teams score in SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

We estimate a 67% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Bundesliga on Sat 17 Oct

FTUnion Berlin 0-0 Borussia Dortmund2 ✗FTWerder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 071X ✓FTFC Schalke 04 0-1 FSV Mainz 05X2 ✓FTHamburger SV 1-0 VfB StuttgartX2 ✗FTBayern München 6-1 RB Leipzig1 ✓

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