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Rodez vs Dunkerque prediction

Rodez vs Dunkerque prediction for the Ligue 2 on 30 Oct 2026: Rodez or draw (68%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 11
RodezDunkerque
1 - 0Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 1-0
Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez

Match events

RodezDunkerque
  1. Goal: Kelian NsonaAssist: Marco Essimi40'

HT 1-0

  1. Substitution: Kelian NsonaOff: Kenny Nagera59'
  2. Substitution: Damjan PavlovićOff: Jordan Mendes59'
  3. 65'Substitution: Steven​ N'ZonziOff: Victor Mayela
  4. 65'Substitution: Egor PrutsevOff: Souleymane Keita
  5. 66'Yellow card: Souleymane KeitaFoul
  6. Yellow card: Jordan MendesFoul67'
  7. Substitution: Marco EssimiOff: Mathis Saka71'
  8. 74'Substitution: Khalil AyariOff: M'Baye Niang
  9. Substitution: Steven Luyambula BiwaOff: Mohamed Sylla81'
  10. Substitution: Nachon NsingiOff: Jean Lambert Evan's81'
  11. 81'Substitution: Maedine MakhloufiOff: Abner
  12. 81'Substitution: Adrian LebeauOff: Arthylio Nade

Our verdict

1X ✓

Rodez or draw

Bet365 1.36

68%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-0

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Rodez44%
Fair odds 2.27
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Dunkerque32%
Fair odds 3.13

Match statistics

  • 28%Possession72%
  • 1.64Expected goals (xG)0.61
  • 13Total shots10
  • 6Shots on target2
  • 6Shots off target5
  • 1Blocked shots3
  • 8Shots inside the box4
  • 5Corners4
  • 3Offsides1
  • 18Fouls13
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 235Passes645
  • 166Accurate passes561

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Q. BraatG
  2. 28S. Luyambula BiwaD
  3. 24L. QuenabioD
  4. 4M. MagninD
  5. 3R. LipinskiD
  6. 20R. PontiD
  7. 29Antonin CartillierM
  8. 8D. PavlovićM
  9. 27M. Essimi AtebaM
  10. 9N. NsingiF
  11. 21K. NsonaF

Substitutes

  1. 11M. TouhoF
  2. 15E. Jean-LambertD
  3. 13C. RoubiouD
  4. 22O. JolyM
  5. 16L. MargueronG
  6. 6J. MendesM
  7. 7K. NageraF
  8. 10M. SakaM
  9. 5M. SyllaD

Coach: D. Santini

Dunkerque

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 73Moha AiramG
  2. 27A. LinguetD
  3. 26Opa SangantéD
  4. 2O. TouréD
  5. 30AbnerD
  6. 15S. NzonziM
  7. 18Théna MassockM
  8. 7K. AyariM
  9. 10A. LebeauM
  10. 11E. PrutsevM
  11. 9G. RobailF

Substitutes

  1. 22V. MayelaD
  2. 42M. MakhloufiD
  3. 19S. KeitaM
  4. 21L. LoussilahoD
  5. 25Franck AtoenM
  6. 94E. MayillaF
  7. 23A. NadeF
  8. 16M. PrévotG
  9. 99M. NiangF

Coach: Pierre Webó

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.72 – 1.44
0.5 goalsOver95.8%Under4.2%
1.5 goalsOver82.4%Under17.6%
2.5 goalsOver61.2%Under38.8%
3.5 goalsOver38.9%Under61.1%
4.5 goalsOver21.2%Under78.8%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

RodezDunkerque
43%Form57%
33%Attack67%
43%Defence57%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
58%Overall42%

Last matches

Newest first
Rodez1W 0D 1L · last 2
WDijon vs Rodez24 Oct 2026 · Ligue 21-2LRodez vs Montpellier19 Oct 2026 · Ligue 20-3
Dunkerque1W 1D 0L · last 2
DDunkerque vs Metz23 Oct 2026 · Ligue 21-1WNantes vs Dunkerque17 Oct 2026 · Ligue 22-3

Ligue 2 table

Ligue 2 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
11Rodez11-513
12Dunkerque11-312
13Sochaux10-411
14Boulogne11-110
15Nantes11-69
16Laval11-79
17Clermont Foot11-58
18Grenoble11-108
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 2 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Y. FofanaReims108
2P. FallMetz108
3A. BoakyeSaint Etienne116
4I. CardonaSaint Etienne115
5T. BalloSaint Etienne115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRodezDunkerque
Played22
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10
Goals for (avg)12
Goals against (avg)21.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score10
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/21/2
Over 3.50/21/2
BTTS – yes1/22/2

Match preview

Rodez host Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 11) at Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Rodez slight favourites, giving Rodez a 44% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 32% for Dunkerque. Our tip is: Rodez or draw.

Rodez have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L). Dunkerque have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 61% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 2
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Rodez vs Dunkerque?

Rodez vs Dunkerque kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Rodez vs Dunkerque in?

The match is in the France Ligue 2.

Where are Rodez and Dunkerque in the table?

Rodez are 11th and Dunkerque are 12th in the Ligue 2.

Who will win Rodez vs Dunkerque?

Our prediction is Rodez or draw. Win probabilities: Rodez 44%, draw 24%, Dunkerque 32%.

Will both teams score in Rodez vs Dunkerque?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rodez vs Dunkerque?

We estimate a 61% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 2 on Fri 30 Oct

FTGrenoble 1-3 DijonOver 1.5 ✓FTLaval 1-0 Boulogne1X ✓FTMetz 1-3 PAUOver 1.5 ✓FTNantes 1-1 Clermont FootOver 1.5 ✓

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