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Nantes vs Dunkerque prediction

Nantes vs Dunkerque prediction for the Ligue 2 on 17 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (77%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday17October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9
NantesNo recent gamesDunkerqueNo recent games
2 - 3Full time · Sat 17 OctHT 1-2
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes

Match events

NantesDunkerque
  1. Goal: Kelvin AmianAssist: Wilitty Younoussa29'
  2. 35'Yellow card: Gaëtan RobailFoul
  3. 38'Goal: Egor Prutsev
  4. 43'Goal: Gaëtan Robail
  5. 45+2'Yellow card: Adrian LebeauFoul

HT 1-2

  1. 59'Goal: Gaëtan RobailAssist: Souleymane Keita
  2. Substitution: Fode DoucoureOff: Fabien Centonze60'
  3. Substitution: Ibrahima SissokoOff: Balthazar Pierret61'
  4. Substitution: Wilitty YounoussaOff: Igniatius Ganago61'
  5. 67'Substitution: Egor PrutsevOff: Khalil Ayari
  6. 67'Substitution: Steven​ N'ZonziOff: Théna Massock
  7. Substitution: Thomas RobinetOff: Louis Leroux72'
  8. Substitution: Killian CorredorOff: Antoine Joujou73'
  9. Yellow card: Kelvin AmianFoul74'
  10. 76'Substitution: Souleymane KeitaOff: Arthylio Nade
  11. 76'Substitution: Gaëtan RobailOff: M'Baye Niang
  12. Yellow card: Balthazar PierretFoul82'
  13. 84'Yellow card: AbnerTime Wasting
  14. 88'Substitution: Jordan MorelOff: Franck Leroy Atoen
  15. Goal: Ryad Hachem90'
  16. Yellow card: Lucas PerrinFoul90+5'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

77%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-3

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Nantes54%
Fair odds 1.85
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Dunkerque21%
Fair odds 4.76

Match statistics

  • 60%Possession40%
  • 0.85Expected goals (xG)1.46
  • 14Total shots12
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 6Shots off target4
  • 4Blocked shots4
  • 10Shots inside the box11
  • 8Corners7
  • 5Offsides1
  • 22Fouls13
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Goalkeeper saves2
  • 466Passes324
  • 388Accurate passes247

Line-ups

Nantes

3-4-3

Starting XI

  1. 30P. CarlgrenG
  2. 4S. SowD
  3. 5L. PerrinD
  4. 98K. AmianD
  5. 13F. DoucouréM
  6. 8J. LepenantM
  7. 28I. SissokoM
  8. 26R. HachemM
  9. 23W. YounoussaF
  10. 27T. RobinetF
  11. 12K. CorredorF

Substitutes

  1. 18F. CentonzeD
  2. 75A. CherniD
  3. 1M. DupéG
  4. 24F. GuilbertD
  5. 7A. JoujouF
  6. 37I. GanagoF
  7. 19Louis LerouxM
  8. 44B. PierretM
  9. 17D. AssoumaniM

Coach: Grégory Poirier

Dunkerque

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 73Moha AiramG
  2. 27A. LinguetD
  3. 26Opa SangantéD
  4. 2O. TouréD
  5. 30AbnerD
  6. 6J. MorelM
  7. 18Théna MassockM
  8. 9G. RobailM
  9. 10A. LebeauM
  10. 11E. PrutsevM
  11. 19S. KeitaF

Substitutes

  1. 15S. NzonziM
  2. 99M. NiangF
  3. 23A. NadeF
  4. 21L. LoussilahoD
  5. 93A. DahoF
  6. 35Firas BelabdelliM
  7. 7K. AyariF
  8. 25Franck AtoenM
  9. 16M. PrévotG

Coach: Albert Sánchez

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.76 – 1.02
0.5 goalsOver93.8%Under6.2%
1.5 goalsOver76.5%Under23.5%
2.5 goalsOver52.6%Under47.4%
3.5 goalsOver30.4%Under69.6%
4.5 goalsOver14.9%Under85.1%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

NantesDunkerque
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
63%Expected goals37%
72%Overall28%

Last matches

Newest first
Nantes0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Dunkerque0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ligue 2 table

Ligue 2 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
11Rodez11-513
12Dunkerque11-312
13Sochaux10-411
14Boulogne11-110
15Nantes11-69
16Laval11-79
17Clermont Foot11-58
18Grenoble11-108
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 2 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Y. FofanaReims108
2P. FallMetz108
3A. BoakyeSaint Etienne116
4I. CardonaSaint Etienne115
5T. BalloSaint Etienne115

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatNantesDunkerque
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Nantes host Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes, with kick-off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Nantes favourites, giving Nantes a 54% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 21% for Dunkerque. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 54% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 2
Date
Saturday, 17 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Nantes vs Dunkerque?

Nantes vs Dunkerque kicks off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Nantes vs Dunkerque in?

The match is in the France Ligue 2.

Where are Nantes and Dunkerque in the table?

Nantes are 15th and Dunkerque are 12th in the Ligue 2.

Who will win Nantes vs Dunkerque?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Nantes 54%, draw 25%, Dunkerque 21%.

Will both teams score in Nantes vs Dunkerque?

We estimate a 54% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nantes vs Dunkerque?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 2 on Sat 17 Oct

FTMetz 3-2 Sochaux1X ✓FTRED Star FC 93 0-1 Saint EtienneX2 ✓

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