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TodaysPrediction

Rodez vs Montpellier prediction

Rodez vs Montpellier prediction for the Ligue 2 on 19 Oct 2026: Montpellier or draw (66%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Monday19October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 9
RodezNo recent gamesMontpellierNo recent games
0 - 3Full time · Mon 19 OctHT 0-0
Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez

Match events

RodezMontpellier
  1. Yellow card: Mathis SakaDissent35'

HT 0-0

  1. 50'Yellow card: Yaël Mouanga BoudzoumouFoul
  2. 55'Goal: Nicolas Pays
  3. 56'Substitution: Noah VidalOff: Daryll Benlahlou
  4. 59'Goal: Laciné Megnan Pave
  5. Substitution: Octave JolyOff: Damjan Pavlović62'
  6. Substitution: Steven Luyambula BiwaOff: Jean Lambert Evan's62'
  7. Substitution: Mathis SakaOff: Antonin Cartillier67'
  8. Substitution: Mathis TouhoOff: Kenny Nagera68'
  9. 70'Substitution: Theo Sainte LuceOff: Yanis Zouaoui
  10. 76'Goal: Daryll Benlahlou
  11. Substitution: Nachon NsingiOff: Kelian Nsona80'
  12. 85'Substitution: Florian TardieuOff: Hichem Abderrebi
  13. 85'Substitution: Laciné Megnan PaveOff: Théo Chennahi

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Montpellier or draw

Bet365 1.40

66%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 0-3

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Rodez34%
Fair odds 2.94
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Montpellier40%
Fair odds 2.50

Match statistics

  • 40%Possession60%
  • 1.51Expected goals (xG)1.61
  • 15Total shots16
  • 1Shots on target8
  • 8Shots off target6
  • 6Blocked shots2
  • 11Shots inside the box13
  • 8Corners4
  • 1Offsides2
  • 12Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves1
  • 271Passes452
  • 197Accurate passes389

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Q. BraatG
  2. 28S. Luyambula BiwaD
  3. 24L. QuenabioD
  4. 4M. MagninD
  5. 3R. LipinskiD
  6. 20R. PontiD
  7. 10M. SakaM
  8. 6J. MendesM
  9. 22O. JolyM
  10. 9N. NsingiF
  11. 11M. TouhoF

Substitutes

  1. 21K. NsonaF
  2. 8D. PavlovićM
  3. 29Antonin CartillierM
  4. 30E. CrombezG
  5. 13C. RoubiouD
  6. 15E. Jean-LambertD
  7. 7K. NageraF
  8. 5M. SyllaD

Coach: D. Santini

Montpellier

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 31S. NgapandouetnbuG
  2. 3Naoufel El HannachD
  3. 15J. LaporteD
  4. 6Y. MouangaD
  5. 17T. Sainte-LuceD
  6. 5F. TardieuM
  7. 27D. MeddahM
  8. 18N. PaysM
  9. 40N. Vidal-CartouxM
  10. 9Lacine Megnan-PaveM
  11. 11M. CamaraF

Substitutes

  1. 28Y. ZouaouiD
  2. 77EversonM
  3. 1M. MichelG
  4. 44T. ChennahiM
  5. 23Daryll BenlahlouF
  6. 90Gregory AyemM
  7. 32Hichem AbderrebiM

Coach: Z. Camara

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.53
0.5 goalsOver94.7%Under5.3%
1.5 goalsOver79.0%Under21.0%
2.5 goalsOver56.1%Under43.9%
3.5 goalsOver33.7%Under66.3%
4.5 goalsOver17.3%Under82.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

RodezMontpellier
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
48%Expected goals52%
46%Overall54%

Last matches

Newest first
Rodez0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Montpellier0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Ligue 2 table

Ligue 2 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Saint Etienne10+1525
2Montpellier10+721
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy10+216
8Dijon11+115
9Metz11014
10Rodez11-513
11Dunkerque11-312
12Guingamp10-211
13Sochaux10-411
14Boulogne11-110
15Nantes11-69
16Laval11-79
17Clermont Foot11-58
18Grenoble11-108
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 2 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Y. FofanaReims108
2P. FallMetz108
3A. BoakyeSaint Etienne106
4I. CardonaSaint Etienne105
5T. BalloSaint Etienne105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRodezMontpellier
Played00
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)00
Goals against (avg)00
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Match preview

Rodez host Montpellier in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 9) at Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez, with kick-off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Montpellier slight favourites, giving Rodez a 34% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 40% for Montpellier. Our tip is: Montpellier or draw.

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 56% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 2
Date
Monday, 19 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Stade Paul Lignon, Rodez

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Rodez vs Montpellier?

Rodez vs Montpellier kicks off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Rodez vs Montpellier in?

The match is in the France Ligue 2.

Where are Rodez and Montpellier in the table?

Rodez are 10th and Montpellier are 2nd in the Ligue 2.

Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?

Our prediction is Montpellier or draw. Win probabilities: Rodez 34%, draw 26%, Montpellier 40%.

Will both teams score in Rodez vs Montpellier?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Rodez vs Montpellier?

We estimate a 56% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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