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Dunkerque vs Metz prediction

Dunkerque vs Metz prediction for the Ligue 2 on 23 Oct 2026: Metz or draw (64%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 28/42 correct(67%)
Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10
DunkerqueMetz
1 - 1Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 0-1
Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk

Match events

DunkerqueMetz
  1. 9'Goal: Pape Moussa Fall
  2. 15'Yellow card: Abdourahmane MbodjFoul

HT 0-1

  1. Yellow card: Jordan MorelFoul49'
  2. 60'Substitution: Nathan MbalaOff: Abdourahmane Mbodj
  3. Red card: Jordan Morel61'
  4. Missed penalty: Opa Sangante65'
  5. Goal: Opa Sangante65'
  6. Substitution: Souleymane KeitaOff: Khalil Ayari66'
  7. Substitution: Steven​ N'ZonziOff: Théna Massock66'
  8. Substitution: Gaëtan RobailOff: Arthylio Nade73'
  9. Substitution: Victor MayelaOff: Abner73'
  10. 81'Substitution: Giorgi AbuashviliOff: Abdoulaye Agne Ba
  11. 81'Substitution: Bouna SarrOff: Bryan Song
  12. 90'Yellow card: Cristian CastroDissent
  13. Substitution: Adrian LebeauOff: Franck Leroy Atoen90+1'
  14. Yellow card: Arthylio NadeFoul90+2'

Our verdict

X2 ✓

Metz or draw

Bet365 1.44

64%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-1

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Dunkerque36%
Fair odds 2.78
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Metz38%
Fair odds 2.63

Match statistics

  • 57%Possession43%
  • 1.54Expected goals (xG)1.20
  • 15Total shots13
  • 5Shots on target8
  • 7Shots off target3
  • 3Blocked shots2
  • 9Shots inside the box9
  • 2Corners4
  • 0Offsides2
  • 11Fouls18
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 8Goalkeeper saves4
  • 503Passes388
  • 429Accurate passes320

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 73Moha AiramG
  2. 27A. LinguetD
  3. 26Opa SangantéD
  4. 2O. TouréD
  5. 30AbnerD
  6. 6J. MorelM
  7. 18Théna MassockM
  8. 19S. KeitaM
  9. 10A. LebeauM
  10. 11E. PrutsevM
  11. 9G. RobailF

Substitutes

  1. 21L. LoussilahoD
  2. 7K. AyariF
  3. 25Franck AtoenM
  4. 42M. MakhloufiD
  5. 22V. MayelaD
  6. 94E. MayillaF
  7. 23A. NadeF
  8. 15S. NzonziM
  9. 16M. PrévotG

Coach: Albert Sánchez

Metz

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. FischerG
  2. 70B. SarrD
  3. 42C. DevenishD
  4. 4U. MboulaD
  5. 3F. MiguelD
  6. 98I. MohamedM
  7. 33Abdourahmane MbodjM
  8. 8J. DeminguetM
  9. 10T. SavanierM
  10. 9G. AbuashviliM
  11. 11P. FallF

Substitutes

  1. 30Tahirys Dos SantosD
  2. 2M. ColinD
  3. 88A. Agne BaF
  4. 22N. MbalaF
  5. 18B. MunongoM
  6. 7Ibou SanéF
  7. 39B. SongD
  8. 61P. SyG
  9. 12A. TouréM

Coach: Grégory Proment

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.46
0.5 goalsOver94.4%Under5.6%
1.5 goalsOver78.2%Under21.8%
2.5 goalsOver54.9%Under45.1%
3.5 goalsOver32.6%Under67.4%
4.5 goalsOver16.5%Under83.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

DunkerqueMetz
50%Form50%
50%Attack50%
50%Defence50%
50%Head to head50%
49%Expected goals51%
49%Overall51%

Last matches

Newest first
Dunkerque1W 0D 0L · last 1
WNantes vs Dunkerque17 Oct 2026 · Ligue 22-3
Metz1W 0D 0L · last 1
WMetz vs Sochaux17 Oct 2026 · Ligue 23-2

Ligue 2 table

Ligue 2 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Saint Etienne10+1525
2Montpellier10+721
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy10+216
8Dijon11+115
9Metz11014
10Rodez11-513
11Dunkerque11-312
12Guingamp10-211
13Sochaux10-411
14Boulogne11-110
15Nantes11-69
16Laval11-79
17Clermont Foot11-58
18Grenoble11-108
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 2 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Y. FofanaReims108
2P. FallMetz108
3A. BoakyeSaint Etienne106
4I. CardonaSaint Etienne105
5T. BalloSaint Etienne105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatDunkerqueMetz
Played11
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)33
Goals against (avg)22
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak11

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.51/11/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

Dunkerque host Metz in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 10) at Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Metz narrow favourites, giving Dunkerque a 36% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 38% for Metz. Our tip is: Metz or draw.

Dunkerque have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). Metz have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 55% chance of over 2.5 and a 59% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 2
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:00 WAT
Venue
Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkirk

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Dunkerque vs Metz?

Dunkerque vs Metz kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Dunkerque vs Metz in?

The match is in the France Ligue 2.

Where are Dunkerque and Metz in the table?

Dunkerque are 11th and Metz are 9th in the Ligue 2.

Who will win Dunkerque vs Metz?

Our prediction is Metz or draw. Win probabilities: Dunkerque 36%, draw 26%, Metz 38%.

Will both teams score in Dunkerque vs Metz?

We estimate a 59% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dunkerque vs Metz?

We estimate a 55% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 2 on Fri 23 Oct

FTClermont Foot 0-2 GuingampX2 ✓FTNancy 1-0 Laval1 ✓FTSochaux 1-3 Annecy1X ✗FTPAU 2-1 Grenoble1X ✓

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