Match events
- 2'Goal: Antonin Cartillier
- Goal: Yanis BarkaAssist: Boubacar Diallo23'
- 39'Yellow card: Raphael LipinskiFoul
HT 1-1
- Yellow card: Boubacar DialloFoul55'
- Substitution: Moussa FatyOff: Boubacar Diallo56'
- Substitution: Jordan MariéOff: Paul Bellon57'
- 63'Substitution: Octave JolyOff: Mathis Saka
- 64'Substitution: Kelian NsonaOff: Kenny Nagera
- Substitution: Yanis BarkaOff: Alexis Ntamack68'
- 71'Substitution: Damjan PavlovićOff: Jordan Mendes
- 80'Substitution: Nachon NsingiOff: Marco Essimi
- 80'Substitution: Steven Luyambula BiwaOff: Corentin Issanchou Roubiou
- Substitution: Hugo Vargas RíosOff: Samy Chouchane82'
- Substitution: Ange LagoOff: Júlio Tavares82'
- 88'Yellow card: Ryan PontiFoul
- 90+2'Goal: Marco EssimiAssist: Kenny Nagera
Our verdict
Dijon or draw
Bet365 1.36
✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2
Win probability
Match statistics
- 72%Possession28%
- 1.59Expected goals (xG)1.42
- 18Total shots16
- 6Shots on target6
- 7Shots off target5
- 5Blocked shots5
- 14Shots inside the box14
- 10Corners3
- 0Offsides6
- 11Fouls20
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 4Goalkeeper saves4
- 581Passes209
- 495Accurate passes126
Line-ups
Dijon
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 16P. DelecroixG
- 23L. LacroixD
- 6W. DioufD
- 5Q. BernardD
- 75Boubacar DialloD
- 14J. MariéM
- 21Samy ChouchaneM
- 17A. LembezatM
- 18B. NdeziM
- 90A. LagoF
- 10Y. BarkaF
Substitutes
- 20H. Vargas-RíosM
- 93I. BouleghchaD
- 8P. BellonM
- 42Y. AkaD
- 9T. DongF
- 31M. FatyD
- 46Ilan Marie-RoseG
- 29A. NtamackF
- 11Júlio TavaresF
Coach: B. Ridira
Rodez
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1Q. BraatG
- 28S. Luyambula BiwaD
- 24L. QuenabioD
- 4M. MagninD
- 3R. LipinskiD
- 20R. PontiD
- 29Antonin CartillierM
- 8D. PavlovićM
- 22O. JolyM
- 9N. NsingiF
- 21K. NsonaF
Substitutes
- 13C. RoubiouD
- 15E. Jean-LambertD
- 16L. MargueronG
- 6J. MendesM
- 7K. NageraF
- 10M. SakaM
- 5M. SyllaD
- 27M. Essimi AtebaF
- 11M. TouhoF
Coach: D. Santini
Betting markets
Expected goals 1.78 – 1.45Half time / full time result. 1 = Dijon, X = draw, 2 = Rodez.
Asian handicap applied to Dijon.
Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.
Model comparison
Last matches
Newest firstLigue 2 table
| # | Team | P | +/- | Pts | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Montpellier | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 21 | WWWDW |
| 3 | PAU | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | +8 | 18 | DWDDW |
| 6 | RED Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 17 | LLWWW |
| 7 | Annecy | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Dijon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 9 | Metz | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | LDWLD |
| 10 | Rodez | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 | WWLLL |
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 12 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Guingamp | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 11 | WLLLW |
| 13 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 14 | Boulogne | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -1 | 10 | LDWDL |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -6 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 16 | Laval | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 | WLDLD |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 11 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -5 | 8 | DLDLD |
| 18 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 8 | LLLLD |
Top scorers
| # | Player | M | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 |
Season statistics
This season, all competitions we cover| Stat | Dijon | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals for (avg) | 2 | 0 |
| Goals against (avg) | 4 | 3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Best win streak | 0 | 0 |
Recent goal lines
How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line
| Over 1.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
| Over 3.5 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| BTTS – yes | 1/1 | 0/1 |
Match preview
Dijon host Rodez in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 10) at Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.
Our prediction model makes Dijon slight favourites, giving Dijon a 45% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 31% for Rodez. Our tip is: Dijon or draw.
Dijon have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Rodez have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).
On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 64% chance that both teams score.
- Competition
- France Ligue 2
- Date
- Saturday, 24 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
- Venue
- Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon
TodaysPrediction analysis team
Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work
Quick answers
When is Dijon vs Rodez?
Dijon vs Rodez kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.
Which competition is Dijon vs Rodez in?
The match is in the France Ligue 2.
Where are Dijon and Rodez in the table?
Dijon are 8th and Rodez are 10th in the Ligue 2.
Who will win Dijon vs Rodez?
Our prediction is Dijon or draw. Win probabilities: Dijon 45%, draw 24%, Rodez 31%.
Will both teams score in Dijon vs Rodez?
We estimate a 64% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dijon vs Rodez?
We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.
Are these predictions guaranteed?
No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.
How often are predictions updated?
Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

