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Dijon vs Rodez prediction

Dijon vs Rodez prediction for the Ligue 2 on 24 Oct 2026: Dijon or draw (69%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday24October 2026
DijonRodez
1 - 2Full time · Sat 24 OctHT 1-1
Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon

Match events

DijonRodez
  1. 2'Goal: Antonin Cartillier
  2. Goal: Yanis BarkaAssist: Boubacar Diallo23'
  3. 39'Yellow card: Raphael LipinskiFoul

HT 1-1

  1. Yellow card: Boubacar DialloFoul55'
  2. Substitution: Moussa FatyOff: Boubacar Diallo56'
  3. Substitution: Jordan MariéOff: Paul Bellon57'
  4. 63'Substitution: Octave JolyOff: Mathis Saka
  5. 64'Substitution: Kelian NsonaOff: Kenny Nagera
  6. Substitution: Yanis BarkaOff: Alexis Ntamack68'
  7. 71'Substitution: Damjan PavlovićOff: Jordan Mendes
  8. 80'Substitution: Nachon NsingiOff: Marco Essimi
  9. 80'Substitution: Steven Luyambula BiwaOff: Corentin Issanchou Roubiou
  10. Substitution: Hugo Vargas RíosOff: Samy Chouchane82'
  11. Substitution: Ange LagoOff: Júlio Tavares82'
  12. 88'Yellow card: Ryan PontiFoul
  13. 90+2'Goal: Marco EssimiAssist: Kenny Nagera

Our verdict

1X ✗

Dijon or draw

Bet365 1.36

69%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals3.2

Win probability

1 · Dijon45%
Fair odds 2.22
X · Draw24%
Fair odds 4.17
2 · Rodez31%
Fair odds 3.23

Match statistics

  • 72%Possession28%
  • 1.59Expected goals (xG)1.42
  • 18Total shots16
  • 6Shots on target6
  • 7Shots off target5
  • 5Blocked shots5
  • 14Shots inside the box14
  • 10Corners3
  • 0Offsides6
  • 11Fouls20
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves4
  • 581Passes209
  • 495Accurate passes126

Line-ups

Dijon

4-1-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 16P. DelecroixG
  2. 23L. LacroixD
  3. 6W. DioufD
  4. 5Q. BernardD
  5. 75Boubacar DialloD
  6. 14J. MariéM
  7. 21Samy ChouchaneM
  8. 17A. LembezatM
  9. 18B. NdeziM
  10. 90A. LagoF
  11. 10Y. BarkaF

Substitutes

  1. 20H. Vargas-RíosM
  2. 93I. BouleghchaD
  3. 8P. BellonM
  4. 42Y. AkaD
  5. 9T. DongF
  6. 31M. FatyD
  7. 46Ilan Marie-RoseG
  8. 29A. NtamackF
  9. 11Júlio TavaresF

Coach: B. Ridira

Rodez

5-3-2

Starting XI

  1. 1Q. BraatG
  2. 28S. Luyambula BiwaD
  3. 24L. QuenabioD
  4. 4M. MagninD
  5. 3R. LipinskiD
  6. 20R. PontiD
  7. 29Antonin CartillierM
  8. 8D. PavlovićM
  9. 22O. JolyM
  10. 9N. NsingiF
  11. 21K. NsonaF

Substitutes

  1. 13C. RoubiouD
  2. 15E. Jean-LambertD
  3. 16L. MargueronG
  4. 6J. MendesM
  5. 7K. NageraF
  6. 10M. SakaM
  7. 5M. SyllaD
  8. 27M. Essimi AtebaF
  9. 11M. TouhoF

Coach: D. Santini

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.78 – 1.45
0.5 goalsOver96.0%Under4.0%
1.5 goalsOver83.3%Under16.7%
2.5 goalsOver62.6%Under37.4%
3.5 goalsOver40.4%Under59.6%
4.5 goalsOver22.5%Under77.5%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

DijonRodez
50%Form50%
100%Attack0%
43%Defence57%
50%Head to head50%
55%Expected goals45%
59%Overall41%

Last matches

Newest first

Ligue 2 table

Ligue 2 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Saint Etienne10+1525
2Montpellier10+721
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy10+216
8Dijon11+115
9Metz11014
10Rodez11-513
11Dunkerque11-312
12Guingamp10-211
13Sochaux10-411
14Boulogne11-110
15Nantes11-69
16Laval11-79
17Clermont Foot11-58
18Grenoble11-108
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 2 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1Y. FofanaReims108
2P. FallMetz108
3A. BoakyeSaint Etienne106
4I. CardonaSaint Etienne105
5T. BalloSaint Etienne105

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatDijonRodez
Played11
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11
Goals for (avg)20
Goals against (avg)43
Clean sheets00
Failed to score01
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.51/11/1
Over 3.51/10/1
BTTS – yes1/10/1

Match preview

Dijon host Rodez in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 10) at Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon, with kick-off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 13:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Dijon slight favourites, giving Dijon a 45% chance of winning, 24% for the draw and 31% for Rodez. Our tip is: Dijon or draw.

Dijon have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L). Rodez have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 62% chance of over 2.5 and a 64% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 2
Date
Saturday, 24 October 2026, 13:00 WAT
Venue
Stade Gaston-Gérard, Dijon

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Dijon vs Rodez?

Dijon vs Rodez kicks off on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 13:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Dijon vs Rodez in?

The match is in the France Ligue 2.

Where are Dijon and Rodez in the table?

Dijon are 8th and Rodez are 10th in the Ligue 2.

Who will win Dijon vs Rodez?

Our prediction is Dijon or draw. Win probabilities: Dijon 45%, draw 24%, Rodez 31%.

Will both teams score in Dijon vs Rodez?

We estimate a 64% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Dijon vs Rodez?

We estimate a 62% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 2 on Sat 24 Oct

FTSaint Etienne 1-0 NantesOver 1.5 ✗

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