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Roda vs Jong AZ prediction

Roda vs Jong AZ prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 30 Oct 2026: Roda to win (55%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13
RodaJong AZ
2 - 1Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 1-0
Parkstad Limburg, Kerkrade

Match events

RodaJong AZ
  1. 28'Yellow card: Mathijs MenuFoul
  2. Substitution: Cain SeedorfOff: Joey Sleegers30'
  3. Goal: Mitchel PaulissenAssist: Guilherme Martinho Peixoto35'
  4. 45'Substitution: Kevin toppenbergOff: Saviola Mourinho Simons Saffoe

HT 1-0

  1. Yellow card: Jerome DeomFoul55'
  2. 57'Substitution: Hessel de WitOff: Bogdan Budko
  3. Goal: Anthony van den HurkAssist: Koen Jansen61'
  4. 64'Yellow card: Julian SijbrandsPersistent Infringement
  5. 76'Substitution: J. EsajasOff: Julian Sijbrands
  6. 77'Substitution: Melle RoedeOff: Jerolldino Bergraaf
  7. 77'Substitution: Jasper HartogOff: Rayan Atikallah
  8. 79'Goal: Frej Elkjær Andersen
  9. Substitution: Mitchel PaulissenOff: Mokrane Bentoumi80'
  10. Substitution: Jerome DeomOff: Jeremiah Mensah80'
  11. 85'Red card: Mathijs Menu
  12. Substitution: Koen JansenOff: Bram Marsman89'
  13. Substitution: X. van den BergOff: Guilherme Martinho Peixoto89'

Our verdict

1 ✓

Roda to win

Bet365 1.67

55%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-1

Expected goals3.4

Win probability

1 · Roda55%
Fair odds 1.82
X · Draw22%
Fair odds 4.55
2 · Jong AZ23%
Fair odds 4.35

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1.43Expected goals (xG)0.48
  • 13Total shots9
  • 6Shots on target4
  • 6Shots off target0
  • 1Blocked shots5
  • 9Shots inside the box5
  • 8Corners4
  • 1Offsides1
  • 7Fouls17
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards1
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 493Passes446
  • 440Accurate passes381

Line-ups

Roda

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 1J. TreichelG
  2. 3M. TolD
  3. 33D. Van den BuijsD
  4. 15L. BeertenD
  5. 17Guilherme Martinho PeixotoM
  6. 24J. DéomM
  7. 4J. NisbetM
  8. 5K. JansenM
  9. 6M. PaulissenM
  10. 7C. SeedorfM
  11. 9A. van den HurkF

Substitutes

  1. 14X. van den BergD
  2. 8J. MensahM
  3. 19N. CrabuM
  4. 20M. BentoumiM
  5. 22Rayan KhoumsM
  6. 25Bram MarsmanD
  7. 10F. SchentenF
  8. 26J. SleegersF
  9. 21M. StojcevicG
  10. 2Luuk VerheijM
  11. 28J. van DammeG
  12. 27K. Van MieghemM

Coach: R. Penders

Jong AZ

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1R. Owusu-OduroG
  2. 2J. ZwartD
  3. 3Mathijs MenuD
  4. 4F. AndersenD
  5. 5K. IngeD
  6. 8R. RobbemondM
  7. 6Julian SijbrandsM
  8. 7J. HartogM
  9. 10H. de WitM
  10. 11K. ToppenbergM
  11. 9Jerolldino BergraafF

Substitutes

  1. 12K. van OuytselD
  2. 16K. ZeggenG
  3. 23K. SchilderG
  4. 17M. RoedeM
  5. 19Saviola Mourinho Simons SaffoeD
  6. 18Rick LuijerM
  7. 15J. EsajasD
  8. 20Bohdan BudkoM
  9. 14R. AtikallahD

Coach: Norbert Alblas

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.08 – 1.27
0.5 goalsOver96.5%Under3.5%
1.5 goalsOver84.7%Under15.3%
2.5 goalsOver65.1%Under34.9%
3.5 goalsOver43.1%Under56.9%
4.5 goalsOver24.7%Under75.3%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

RodaJong AZ
60%Form40%
36%Attack64%
73%Defence27%
50%Head to head50%
62%Expected goals38%
71%Overall29%

Last matches

Newest first
Roda2W 0D 0L · last 2
WAlmere City FC vs Roda23 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie2-3WJong Utrecht vs Roda19 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie1-2
Jong AZ1W 1D 0L · last 2
WJong AZ vs Helmond Sport23 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie5-4DVVV Venlo vs Jong AZ16 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie4-4

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2VVV Venlo2+24
3NAC Breda2+24
4Jong Ajax2+14
5Jong AZ304
6De Graafschap304
7FC Volendam2+33
8Emmen1+23
9Almere City FC203
10Jong PSV U21203
11Dordrecht2-13
12Vitesse2-13
13Helmond Sport3-23
14FC OSS101
15Den Bosch101
16MVV101
17Heracles101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC Eindhoven3-30
20Jong Utrecht2-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatRodaJong AZ
Played22
Wins21
Draws01
Losses00
Goals for (avg)2.54.5
Goals against (avg)1.54
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak21

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/22/2
Over 3.51/22/2
BTTS – yes2/22/2

Match preview

Roda host Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 13) at Parkstad Limburg, Kerkrade, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Roda favourites, giving Roda a 55% chance of winning, 22% for the draw and 23% for Jong AZ. Our tip is: Roda to win.

Roda have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L). Jong AZ have taken 4 points from their last 2 games (1W 1D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 63% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Parkstad Limburg, Kerkrade

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Roda vs Jong AZ?

Roda vs Jong AZ kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Roda vs Jong AZ in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are Roda and Jong AZ in the table?

Roda are 1st and Jong AZ are 5th in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win Roda vs Jong AZ?

Our prediction is Roda to win. Win probabilities: Roda 55%, draw 22%, Jong AZ 23%.

Will both teams score in Roda vs Jong AZ?

We estimate a 63% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Roda vs Jong AZ?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eerste Divisie on Fri 30 Oct

FTFC Volendam 1-2 De Graafschap1X ✗FTHelmond Sport 3-2 FC Eindhoven1X ✓FTWaalwijk 1-2 Almere City FC1X ✗

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