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Waalwijk vs Almere City FC prediction

Waalwijk vs Almere City FC prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 30 Oct 2026: Waalwijk or draw (67%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13
WaalwijkAlmere City FC
1 - 2Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 0-1
Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk

Match events

WaalwijkAlmere City FC
  1. 25'Penalty goal: H. el Dahri (pen)
  2. 31'Yellow card: Mees HoedemakersFoul
  3. 41'Yellow card: James LawrenceFoul

HT 0-1

  1. 58'Substitution: James LawrenceOff: Marley Dors
  2. 58'Substitution: Jochem Ritmeester Van De KampOff: Damian van Bruggen
  3. 58'Substitution: Mees HoedemakersOff: Milan de Haan
  4. Substitution: Virgil MisidjanOff: Roy Kuijpers70'
  5. Substitution: Azzedine DkidakOff: R. van Hedel70'
  6. 74'Goal: Ferdy DruijfAssist: H. el Dahri
  7. 75'Substitution: H. el DahriOff: Jamie Jacobs
  8. 75'Substitution: Ferdy DruijfOff: Bas Huisman
  9. Substitution: Tim van de LooOff: Nazjir Held79'
  10. Substitution: Finn StokkersOff: Haye Van Gemert79'
  11. Goal: Juan Familia-CastilloAssist: Jochem Nap82'
  12. Substitution: Jochem NapOff: Sven van der Plas87'

Our verdict

1X ✗

Waalwijk or draw

Bet365 1.40

67%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals3.3

Win probability

1 · Waalwijk44%
Fair odds 2.27
X · Draw23%
Fair odds 4.35
2 · Almere City FC33%
Fair odds 3.03

Match statistics

  • 55%Possession45%
  • 1.24Expected goals (xG)1.50
  • 20Total shots10
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 9Shots off target4
  • 7Blocked shots2
  • 11Shots inside the box7
  • 5Corners4
  • 0Offsides4
  • 8Fouls13
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Goalkeeper saves3
  • 488Passes412
  • 396Accurate passes305

Line-ups

Waalwijk

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1N. SchiksG
  2. 33F. Al MazyaniD
  3. 4L. van GelderenD
  4. 30J. de WijsD
  5. 5Juan Carlos Familia-CastilloD
  6. 22T. van de LooM
  7. 8J. NapM
  8. 93V. MisidjanM
  9. 24A. DkidakM
  10. 11Yorem van der VeenM
  11. 27F. StokkersF

Substitutes

  1. 42B. KemmerenD
  2. 55N. HeldD
  3. 25N. BakboordD
  4. 17R. KuijpersF
  5. 13Xander MulderG
  6. 16M. SpenkelinkG
  7. 19H. van GemertF
  8. 18R. van HedelM
  9. 3S. van der PlasD

Coach: Sander Duits

Almere City FC

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1Wessel SpeelG
  2. 2M. WasinskiD
  3. 3J. JacobsD
  4. 4J. LawrenceD
  5. 5T. BijleveldD
  6. 14M. HoedemakersM
  7. 6E. CornelisseM
  8. 17E. PokuM
  9. 21H. El DahriM
  10. 23J. Ritmeester van de KampM
  11. 9F. DruijfF

Substitutes

  1. 7B. BurgeringF
  2. 11M. DorsF
  3. 18Bas HuismanF
  4. 10J. JacobsM
  5. 20J. KalisvaartM
  6. 30J. van der WiltG
  7. 22E. van de BlaakD
  8. 44D. van BruggenD
  9. 19Olivier de NijsM
  10. 8M. de HaanM
  11. 16Tiziano vianelloD
  12. 24M. MateyoG

Coach: Anoush Dastgir

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.79 – 1.54
0.5 goalsOver96.4%Under3.6%
1.5 goalsOver84.5%Under15.5%
2.5 goalsOver64.7%Under35.3%
3.5 goalsOver42.6%Under57.4%
4.5 goalsOver24.3%Under75.7%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

WaalwijkAlmere City FC
100%Form0%
33%Attack67%
75%Defence25%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
57%Overall43%

Last matches

Newest first
Waalwijk0W 1D 0L · last 1
DDe Graafschap vs Waalwijk23 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie1-1
Almere City FC0W 0D 1L · last 1
LAlmere City FC vs Roda23 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie2-3

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2VVV Venlo2+24
3NAC Breda2+24
4Jong Ajax2+14
5Jong AZ304
6De Graafschap304
7FC Volendam2+33
8Emmen1+23
9Almere City FC203
10Jong PSV U21203
11Dordrecht2-13
12Vitesse2-13
13Helmond Sport3-23
14FC OSS101
15Den Bosch101
16MVV101
17Heracles101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC Eindhoven3-30
20Jong Utrecht2-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatWaalwijkAlmere City FC
Played11
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01
Goals for (avg)12
Goals against (avg)13
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/11/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

Waalwijk host Almere City FC in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 13) at Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Waalwijk slight favourites, giving Waalwijk a 44% chance of winning, 23% for the draw and 33% for Almere City FC. Our tip is: Waalwijk or draw.

Waalwijk have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Almere City FC have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 65% chance of over 2.5 and a 66% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Mandemakers Stadion, Waalwijk

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Waalwijk vs Almere City FC?

Waalwijk vs Almere City FC kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Waalwijk vs Almere City FC in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are Waalwijk and Almere City FC in the table?

Waalwijk are 18th and Almere City FC are 9th in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win Waalwijk vs Almere City FC?

Our prediction is Waalwijk or draw. Win probabilities: Waalwijk 44%, draw 23%, Almere City FC 33%.

Will both teams score in Waalwijk vs Almere City FC?

We estimate a 66% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Waalwijk vs Almere City FC?

We estimate a 65% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eerste Divisie on Fri 30 Oct

FTFC Volendam 1-2 De Graafschap1X ✗FTHelmond Sport 3-2 FC Eindhoven1X ✓FTRoda 2-1 Jong AZ1 ✓

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