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FC Volendam vs De Graafschap prediction

FC Volendam vs De Graafschap prediction for the Eerste Divisie on 30 Oct 2026: FC Volendam or draw (70%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday30October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 13
FC VolendamDe Graafschap
1 - 2Full time · Fri 30 OctHT 1-0
Kras Stadion, Volendam

Match events

FC VolendamDe Graafschap
  1. Goal: Y. Jaber el Maftahi4'

HT 1-0

  1. 52'Goal: Donny WarmerdamAssist: Clint Leemans
  2. 61'Substitution: Clint LeemansOff: Joran Hardeman
  3. 70'Substitution: Nolan MartensOff: Kyano Kwint
  4. 70'Substitution: Fedde De JongOff: Toivo Mero
  5. Yellow card: Nick DoodemanFoul74'
  6. Substitution: Nordin BukalaOff: Mohammed Belfqih75'
  7. 83'Goal: Joran Hardeman
  8. Substitution: Y. Jaber el MaftahiOff: Frederik Ihler83'
  9. Substitution: Alex PlatOff: Mawouna Amevor87'
  10. 90'Substitution: Nart Ahmeti-GraincaOff: Bjorn van Zijl

Our verdict

1X ✗

FC Volendam or draw

Bet365 1.36

70%

✗ This tip lost · final score 1-2

Expected goals3.8

Win probability

1 · FC Volendam49%
Fair odds 2.04
X · Draw21%
Fair odds 4.76
2 · De Graafschap30%
Fair odds 3.33

Match statistics

  • 40%Possession60%
  • 1.06Expected goals (xG)1.22
  • 13Total shots15
  • 1Shots on target4
  • 9Shots off target9
  • 3Blocked shots2
  • 8Shots inside the box12
  • 6Corners8
  • 1Offsides0
  • 14Fouls13
  • 1Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves0
  • 343Passes510
  • 262Accurate passes443

Line-ups

FC Volendam

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 16R. SteurG
  2. 12D. PayneD
  3. 25Luca BlondeauD
  4. 6A. PlatD
  5. 2P. UgwuD
  6. 18N. BukalaM
  7. 8D. HuismanM
  8. 7N. DoodemanM
  9. 10R. NiemeijerM
  10. 21Y. el MaftahiM
  11. 9H. VeermanF

Substitutes

  1. 22D. VlakG
  2. 5Dean BisschopsD
  3. 34M. BelfqihM
  4. 3M. AmevorD
  5. 67F. IhlerF
  6. 63J. HaakmatD
  7. 32Lex KoningG
  8. 11Kayden WolffF
  9. 29Jesper TielemansF

Coach: E. van de Looi

De Graafschap

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1T. WieggersG
  2. 2J. WieckhoffD
  3. 3R. BesselinkD
  4. 15T. KokD
  5. 5L. SchoppemaD
  6. 16N. MartensM
  7. 6C. LeemansM
  8. 7Bjorn van ZijlM
  9. 8D. WarmerdamM
  10. 23M. DiemersM
  11. 10F. de JongF

Substitutes

  1. 14Gijs BolkD
  2. 18Denzel EijkenM
  3. 4J. HardemanD
  4. 21K. SymonsD
  5. 25M. PabaiD
  6. 11T. MeroF
  7. 17N. KanindaF
  8. 9J. KaniaF
  9. 33R. JonkersG
  10. 27N. Ahmeti-GraincaM
  11. 31Kaj Altenburg

Coach: T. Duivenvoorden

Betting markets

Expected goals 2.16 – 1.66
0.5 goalsOver97.8%Under2.2%
1.5 goalsOver89.4%Under10.6%
2.5 goalsOver73.4%Under26.6%
3.5 goalsOver53.1%Under46.9%
4.5 goalsOver33.6%Under66.4%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

FC VolendamDe Graafschap
75%Form25%
86%Attack14%
43%Defence57%
50%Head to head50%
57%Expected goals43%
62%Overall38%

Last matches

Newest first
FC Volendam1W 0D 0L · last 1
WFC Volendam vs Jong Utrecht23 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie6-2
De Graafschap0W 1D 1L · last 2
DDe Graafschap vs Waalwijk23 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie1-1LJong Ajax vs De Graafschap19 Oct 2026 · Eerste Divisie2-1

Eerste Divisie table

Eerste Divisie table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Roda3+39
2VVV Venlo2+24
3NAC Breda2+24
4Jong Ajax2+14
5Jong AZ304
6De Graafschap304
7FC Volendam2+33
8Emmen1+23
9Almere City FC203
10Jong PSV U21203
11Dordrecht2-13
12Vitesse2-13
13Helmond Sport3-23
14FC OSS101
15Den Bosch101
16MVV101
17Heracles101
18Waalwijk2-11
19FC Eindhoven3-30
20Jong Utrecht2-50
See full table ›

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatFC VolendamDe Graafschap
Played12
Wins10
Draws01
Losses01
Goals for (avg)61
Goals against (avg)21.5
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak10

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.51/12/2
Over 2.51/11/2
Over 3.51/10/2
BTTS – yes1/12/2

Match preview

FC Volendam host De Graafschap in the Eerste Divisie (Regular Season - 13) at Kras Stadion, Volendam, with kick-off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes FC Volendam slight favourites, giving FC Volendam a 49% chance of winning, 21% for the draw and 30% for De Graafschap. Our tip is: FC Volendam or draw.

FC Volendam have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L). De Graafschap have taken 1 points from their last 2 games (0W 1D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 73% chance of over 2.5 and a 72% chance that both teams score.

Competition
Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date
Friday, 30 October 2026, 20:00 WAT
Venue
Kras Stadion, Volendam

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?

FC Volendam vs De Graafschap kicks off on Friday, 30 October 2026 at 20:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is FC Volendam vs De Graafschap in?

The match is in the Netherlands Eerste Divisie.

Where are FC Volendam and De Graafschap in the table?

FC Volendam are 7th and De Graafschap are 6th in the Eerste Divisie.

Who will win FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?

Our prediction is FC Volendam or draw. Win probabilities: FC Volendam 49%, draw 21%, De Graafschap 30%.

Will both teams score in FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?

We estimate a 72% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in FC Volendam vs De Graafschap?

We estimate a 73% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Eerste Divisie on Fri 30 Oct

FTHelmond Sport 3-2 FC Eindhoven1X ✓FTWaalwijk 1-2 Almere City FC1X ✗FTRoda 2-1 Jong AZ1 ✓

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