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Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice prediction

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice prediction for the Ligue 1 on 23 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (78%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Friday23October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8
Stade Brestois 29Nice
1 - 2Full time · Fri 23 OctHT 1-0
Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest

Match events

Stade Brestois 29Nice
  1. Goal: Ludovic Ajorque15'

HT 1-0

  1. 54'Substitution: Jonathan ClaussOff: Hamza Koutoune
  2. 58'Yellow card: Hamza KoutouneFoul
  3. 61'Goal: Sepe Elye WahiAssist: Mohamed Amoura
  4. Yellow card: Kamory DoumbiaFoul62'
  5. 63'Substitution: Gauthier HeinOff: Sofiane Diop
  6. Yellow card: Ludovic AjorqueFoul64'
  7. 68'Yellow card: Sepe Elye WahiDissent
  8. Substitution: Pathé MboupOff: Noah Edjouma70'
  9. Substitution: Joseph NongeOff: Mama Baldé70'
  10. Yellow card: Bradley LockoFoul71'
  11. 76'Substitution: Mohamed AmouraOff: Isak Jansson
  12. 76'Substitution: Axel WitselOff: Djibril Coulibaly
  13. Substitution: Joris ChotardOff: Mamady Diambou80'
  14. Substitution: Kamory DoumbiaOff: Ibrahim Yayiya Kanté80'
  15. 83'Goal: Sofiane DiopAssist: Sepe Elye Wahi
  16. 85'Yellow card: Yehvann DioufTime Wasting
  17. Substitution: Hugo MagnettiOff: Mathis Lainé87'
  18. 90'Yellow card: Niels NkounkouFoul
  19. 90+1'Yellow card: Olivier PantaloniDissent
  20. VAR: Ibrahim Yayiya KantéPenalty confirmedVAR90+7'
  21. 90+8'Yellow card: Isak JanssonFoul
  22. Missed penalty: Kenny Lala90+10'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.22

78%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 1-2

Expected goals2.9

Win probability

1 · Stade Brestois 2945%
Fair odds 2.22
X · Draw26%
Fair odds 3.85
2 · Nice29%
Fair odds 3.45

Match statistics

  • 51%Possession49%
  • 1.72Expected goals (xG)0.53
  • 13Total shots9
  • 7Shots on target2
  • 4Shots off target4
  • 2Blocked shots3
  • 7Shots inside the box4
  • 3Corners7
  • 1Offsides4
  • 15Fouls15
  • 3Yellow cards5
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Goalkeeper saves6
  • 462Passes451
  • 373Accurate passes369

Line-ups

Stade Brestois 29

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1E. SelvikG
  2. 70K. LalaD
  3. 29L. TousartD
  4. 4G. LlorisD
  5. 2B. LockoD
  6. 13J. ChotardM
  7. 8H. MagnettiM
  8. 17Mama BaldéM
  9. 23K. DoumbiaM
  10. 9P. MboupM
  11. 19L. AjorqueF

Substitutes

  1. 18J. BourgaultD
  2. 39D. N´GuessanF
  3. 7J. Nonge BoendeM
  4. 30M. PatouilletG
  5. 20L. ZogbeD
  6. 21Ibrahim Yayiya KanteF
  7. 11N. EdjoumaF
  8. 6M. DiambouM
  9. 32L. C. Laine M.F

Coach: Julien Lachuer

Nice

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

  1. 23Y. DioufG
  2. 36A. SeiduD
  3. 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
  4. 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
  5. 92J. ClaussM
  6. 28A. WitselM
  7. 6H. BoudaouiM
  8. 27N. NkounkouM
  9. 7G. HeinM
  10. 9M. AmouraM
  11. 11E. WahiF

Substitutes

  1. 39D. CoulibalyM
  2. 10S. DiopM
  3. 21I. JanssonF
  4. 84H. KoutouneD
  5. 35X. Mandza TsiendiM
  6. 41D. MoranaF
  7. 29N. NgoumouF
  8. 77T. BoulhendiG
  9. 8M. SansonM

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.24
0.5 goalsOver94.2%Under5.8%
1.5 goalsOver77.7%Under22.3%
2.5 goalsOver54.2%Under45.8%
3.5 goalsOver31.9%Under68.1%
4.5 goalsOver16.0%Under84.0%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Stade Brestois 29Nice
100%Form0%
50%Attack50%
67%Defence33%
50%Head to head50%
56%Expected goals44%
61%Overall39%

Last matches

Newest first
Stade Brestois 290W 1D 0L · last 1
DLille vs Stade Brestois 2917 Oct 2026 · Ligue 11-1
Nice0W 0D 1L · last 1
LLyon vs Nice18 Oct 2026 · Ligue 12-1

Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Rennes9+116
4Monaco8+415
5Lyon8+614
6Paris FC8+414
7Nice9+114
8Lens9+313
9Marseille8+512
10Lorient8+112
11Toulouse8+110
12Auxerre8-610
13Stade Brestois 298+29
14Angers8-68
15Estac Troyes9-98
16Strasbourg8-67
17Le Mans9-77
18Le Havre9-112
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. LepaulRennes77
2E. WahiNice86
3L. SinayokoParis FC86
4C. ArcherAuxerre65
5A. GouiriMarseille85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatStade Brestois 29Nice
Played11
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01
Goals for (avg)11
Goals against (avg)12
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak00

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.51/11/1
Over 2.50/11/1
Over 3.50/10/1
BTTS – yes1/11/1

Match preview

Stade Brestois 29 host Nice in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8) at Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest, with kick-off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:45 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Stade Brestois 29 slight favourites, giving Stade Brestois 29 a 45% chance of winning, 26% for the draw and 29% for Nice. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Stade Brestois 29 have taken 1 points from their last 1 games (0W 1D 0L). Nice have taken 0 points from their last 1 games (0W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 54% chance of over 2.5 and a 58% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 1
Date
Friday, 23 October 2026, 19:45 WAT
Venue
Stade Francis-Le-Blé, Brest

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice kicks off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at 19:45 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice in?

The match is in the France Ligue 1.

Where are Stade Brestois 29 and Nice in the table?

Stade Brestois 29 are 13th and Nice are 7th in the Ligue 1.

Who will win Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Stade Brestois 29 45%, draw 26%, Nice 29%.

Will both teams score in Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

We estimate a 58% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice?

We estimate a 54% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

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