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Paris FC vs Rennes prediction

Paris FC vs Rennes prediction for the Ligue 1 on 18 Oct 2026: Over 1.5 (80%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Sunday18October 2026
Yesterday: 52/66 correct(79%)
Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7
Paris FCNo recent gamesRennes
4 - 3Full time · Sun 18 OctHT 2-1
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris

Match events

Paris FCRennes
  1. Goal: Maxime LópezAssist: Lassine Sinayoko14'
  2. 23'Yellow card: Przemysław FrankowskiHandball
  3. 29'Penalty goal: Esteban Lepaul (pen)
  4. 32'Yellow card: Djaoui CisséFoul
  5. 36'Yellow card: Adrien ThomassonFoul
  6. 36'Yellow card: Anthony RouaultFoul
  7. Yellow card: Samir CherguiDissent42'
  8. 45'Substitution: Adrien ThomassonOff: Valentin Rongier
  9. 45'Substitution: Ludovic BlasOff: Mousa Al-Tamari
  10. 45'Substitution: Przemysław FrankowskiOff: Mahamadou Nagida
  11. Goal: Maxime LópezAssist: Lassine Sinayoko45+4'

HT 2-1

  1. 51'VARVAR: Sebastian SzymańskiGoal cancelled
  2. 62'Substitution: Djaoui CisséOff: Mahdi Camara
  3. Yellow card: Ilan KebbalFoul67'
  4. Substitution: Pablo PagisOff: Rudy Matondo70'
  5. 74'Penalty goal: Esteban Lepaul (pen)
  6. Goal: Lassine Sinayoko76'
  7. Substitution: Hamari TraoreOff: Otavio79'
  8. 79'Substitution: Issa SoumaréOff: Boulaye Dia
  9. Substitution: Ilan KebbalOff: Moses Simon79'
  10. Substitution: Luca KoleoshoOff: Moustapha Mbow86'
  11. Substitution: Samir CherguiOff: Emmanuel Mbemba86'
  12. 88'Penalty goal: Esteban Lepaul (pen)
  13. VAR: Lassine SinayokoPenalty confirmedVAR90+3'
  14. Yellow card: Hamari TraoreDissent90+5'
  15. Penalty goal: Lassine Sinayoko (pen)90+7'

Our verdict

Over 1.5 ✓

Over 1.5

Bet365 1.20

80%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 4-3

Expected goals3.0

Win probability

1 · Paris FC43%
Fair odds 2.33
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Rennes32%
Fair odds 3.13

Match statistics

  • 53%Possession47%
  • 3.71Expected goals (xG)3.14
  • 19Total shots12
  • 9Shots on target7
  • 3Shots off target1
  • 7Blocked shots4
  • 14Shots inside the box7
  • 3Corners4
  • 1Offsides0
  • 13Fouls16
  • 3Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Goalkeeper saves4
  • 522Passes457
  • 447Accurate passes381

Line-ups

Paris FC

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

  1. 1K. TrappG
  2. 17A. CamaraD
  3. 31S. CherguiD
  4. 42D. CoppolaD
  5. 14H. TraoréD
  6. 20M. LopezM
  7. 33P. Lees-MelouM
  8. 10I. KebbalM
  9. 7P. PagisM
  10. 15L. KoleoshoM
  11. 9L. SinayokoF

Substitutes

  1. 11J. KrassoF
  2. 23R. MatondoM
  3. 3E. MbembaD
  4. 5M. MbowD
  5. 16O. NkambadioG
  6. 6OtávioD
  7. 27M. SimonF
  8. 18O. SissokoF
  9. 8E. ZabiM

Coach: L. Rosenior

Rennes

4-3-3

Starting XI

  1. 30B. SambaG
  2. 14B. ReynoldsD
  3. 4C. CresswellD
  4. 24A. RouaultD
  5. 95P. FrankowskiD
  6. 17S. SzymańskiM
  7. 6D. CisséM
  8. 28A. ThomassonM
  9. 10L. BlasF
  10. 9E. LepaulF
  11. 90I. SoumaréF

Substitutes

  1. 12Eliezer MayendaF
  2. 18M. NagidaD
  3. 70A. NordinF
  4. 21V. RongierM
  5. 11Mousa TamariF
  6. 22B. DiaF
  7. 45M. CamaraM
  8. 60Kilian BelazzougG
  9. 48A. Ait BoudlalD

Coach: F. Haise

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.36
0.5 goalsOver94.9%Under5.1%
1.5 goalsOver79.8%Under20.2%
2.5 goalsOver57.2%Under42.8%
3.5 goalsOver34.8%Under65.2%
4.5 goalsOver18.1%Under81.9%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

Paris FCRennes
0%Form100%
0%Attack100%
83%Defence17%
50%Head to head50%
54%Expected goals46%
57%Overall43%

Last matches

Newest first
Paris FC0W 0D 0L · last 0

No finished matches yet.

Rennes1W 0D 0L · last 1
WRennes vs OFI15 Oct 2026 · Europa League2-1

Ligue 1 table

Ligue 1 table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Paris Saint Germain9+1120
2Lille9+618
3Lyon9+817
4Paris FC9+617
5Rennes9+116
6Marseille9+715
7Monaco9+215
8Nice9+114
9Lens9+313
10Lorient8+112
11Toulouse9-110
12Strasbourg9-210
13Auxerre9-1010
14Stade Brestois 298+29
15Angers9-88
16Estac Troyes9-98
17Le Mans9-77
18Le Havre9-112
See full table ›

Top scorers

Ligue 1 top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1E. LepaulRennes77
2E. WahiNice86
3L. SinayokoParis FC86
4C. ArcherAuxerre65
5A. GouiriMarseille85

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatParis FCRennes
Played01
Wins01
Draws00
Losses00
Goals for (avg)02
Goals against (avg)01
Clean sheets00
Failed to score00
Best win streak01

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 1 games went over the line

Over 1.50/01/1
Over 2.50/01/1
Over 3.50/00/1
BTTS – yes0/01/1

Match preview

Paris FC host Rennes in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7) at Stade Jean Bouin, Paris, with kick-off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:15 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Paris FC slight favourites, giving Paris FC a 43% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 32% for Rennes. Our tip is: Over 1.5.

Rennes have taken 3 points from their last 1 games (1W 0D 0L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 57% chance of over 2.5 and a 60% chance that both teams score.

Competition
France Ligue 1
Date
Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:15 WAT
Venue
Stade Jean Bouin, Paris

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Paris FC vs Rennes?

Paris FC vs Rennes kicks off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 16:15 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Paris FC vs Rennes in?

The match is in the France Ligue 1.

Where are Paris FC and Rennes in the table?

Paris FC are 4th and Rennes are 5th in the Ligue 1.

Who will win Paris FC vs Rennes?

Our prediction is Over 1.5. Win probabilities: Paris FC 43%, draw 25%, Rennes 32%.

Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Rennes?

We estimate a 60% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Paris FC vs Rennes?

We estimate a 57% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More Ligue 1 on Sun 18 Oct

FTAngers 2-5 MarseilleX2 ✓FTLe Havre 1-3 AuxerreOver 1.5 ✓FTLorient 1-0 MonacoX2 ✗FTLyon 2-1 Nice1 ✓

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