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Leicester vs Stevenage prediction

Leicester vs Stevenage prediction for the League One on 31 Oct 2026: Leicester or draw (76%). Probabilities, betting markets, form, H2H and stats.

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Saturday31October 2026
Yesterday: 78/96 correct(81%)
League One · Regular Season - 14
LeicesterStevenage
2 - 2Full time · Sat 31 OctHT 1-1
King Power Stadium, Leicester

Match events

LeicesterStevenage
  1. Goal: Samuel Charles BraybrookeAssist: William Thomas-Alves2'
  2. 22'Goal: Ben BroggioAssist: Josh Magennis
  3. 30'Yellow card: Saxon EarleyFoul

HT 1-1

  1. Substitution: John LundstramOff: Will Smallbone60'
  2. Goal: K. Doyle66'
  3. 68'Substitution: Josh MagennisOff: Chem Campbell
  4. 69'Substitution: Daniel PhillipsOff: Michael Mellon
  5. 69'Substitution: Matthew SmithOff: O. Sanderson
  6. Substitution: William Thomas-AlvesOff: Wes Burns76'
  7. 76'Substitution: Ben BroggioOff: Tugra Turhan
  8. Substitution: Conor ChaplinOff: K. Doyle76'
  9. 78'Goal: Tugra Turhan
  10. 79'Substitution: Louis ThompsonOff: Terry·Taylor
  11. Substitution: Louis PageOff: Liam Cullen84'
  12. 85'Yellow card: Alex Revell

Our verdict

1X ✓

Leicester or draw

Bet365 1.22

76%

✓ This tip was correct · final score 2-2

Expected goals2.8

Win probability

1 · Leicester51%
Fair odds 1.96
X · Draw25%
Fair odds 4.00
2 · Stevenage24%
Fair odds 4.17

Match statistics

  • 66%Possession34%
  • 2.12Expected goals (xG)1.16
  • 17Total shots8
  • 7Shots on target4
  • 7Shots off target1
  • 3Blocked shots3
  • 11Shots inside the box4
  • 11Corners2
  • 1Offsides3
  • 14Fouls12
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Goalkeeper saves5
  • 674Passes340
  • 596Accurate passes263

Line-ups

Leicester

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

  1. 29A. McCarthyG
  2. 16W. O'HoraD
  3. 15H. SouttarD
  4. 5C. OkoliD
  5. 33L. ThomasD
  6. 6J. LundstramM
  7. 37W. AlvesM
  8. 36S. BraybrookeM
  9. 25L. PageM
  10. 27K. DoyleM
  11. 17E. RiisF

Substitutes

  1. 7W. BurnsF
  2. 8C. ChaplinF
  3. 11L. CullenF
  4. 14B. De Cordova-ReidF
  5. 24I. KangasniemiD
  6. 21F. RavizzoliG
  7. 12W. SmallboneM

Coach: Russell Martin

Stevenage

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

  1. 1T. SetfordG
  2. 15T. VancootenD
  3. 16K. CaseyD
  4. 5C. PiergianniD
  5. 14S. EarleyD
  6. 18O. SandersonM
  7. 23L. ThompsonM
  8. 8D. PhillipsM
  9. 44P. PattersonM
  10. 27B. BroggioM
  11. 9J. MagennisF

Substitutes

  1. 28M. MellonF
  2. 24M. SmithM
  3. 7T. TaylorM
  4. 19T. TurhanF
  5. 12D. BardenG
  6. 20C. CampbellM
  7. 39Alfie ThornettD

Coach: A. Revell

Betting markets

Expected goals 1.70 – 1.11
0.5 goalsOver94.0%Under6.0%
1.5 goalsOver77.1%Under22.9%
2.5 goalsOver53.3%Under46.7%
3.5 goalsOver31.0%Under69.0%
4.5 goalsOver15.4%Under84.6%

Market percentages come from our model's expected goals for each side. Fair odds are 100 ÷ probability.

Model comparison

LeicesterStevenage
67%Form33%
67%Attack33%
67%Defence33%
50%Head to head50%
60%Expected goals40%
68%Overall32%

Last matches

Newest first
Leicester2W 0D 0L · last 2
WBromley vs Leicester20 Oct 2026 · League One0-4WLeicester vs Doncaster17 Oct 2026 · League One2-1
Stevenage1W 0D 1L · last 2
WStevenage vs Plymouth20 Oct 2026 · League One3-0LBradford vs Stevenage17 Oct 2026 · League One2-0

League One table

League One table
#TeamP+/-Pts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday12+819
10Leicester13+319
11Milton Keynes Dons13+218
12Mansfield Town12+218
13Wycombe13-218
14Leyton Orient13+517
15Burton Albion14-317
16Stevenage12+416
17Notts County12-114
18AFC Wimbledon13-1213
19Doncaster13-812
20Blackpool11-411
21Wigan13-1110
22Peterborough13-1210
23Barnsley12-109
24Bromley13-209
See full table ›

Top scorers

League One top scorers
#PlayerMGoals
1A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons1313
2K. WoottonStockport County149
3J. TaylorHuddersfield129
4J. MarriottReading88
5D. Sanches FernandesHuddersfield137

Season statistics

This season, all competitions we cover
StatLeicesterStevenage
Played22
Wins21
Draws00
Losses01
Goals for (avg)31.5
Goals against (avg)0.51
Clean sheets11
Failed to score01
Best win streak21

Recent goal lines

How many of each team's last 2 games went over the line

Over 1.52/22/2
Over 2.52/21/2
Over 3.51/20/2
BTTS – yes1/20/2

Match preview

Leicester host Stevenage in the League One (Regular Season - 14) at King Power Stadium, Leicester, with kick-off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 WAT.

Our prediction model makes Leicester favourites, giving Leicester a 51% chance of winning, 25% for the draw and 24% for Stevenage. Our tip is: Leicester or draw.

Leicester have taken 6 points from their last 2 games (2W 0D 0L). Stevenage have taken 3 points from their last 2 games (1W 0D 1L).

On the goals markets, we expect goals, with a 53% chance of over 2.5 and a 55% chance that both teams score.

Competition
England League One
Date
Saturday, 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Venue
King Power Stadium, Leicester

TodaysPrediction analysis team

Model-based football predictions. How our predictions work

Quick answers

When is Leicester vs Stevenage?

Leicester vs Stevenage kicks off on Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 16:00 West Africa Time.

Which competition is Leicester vs Stevenage in?

The match is in the England League One.

Where are Leicester and Stevenage in the table?

Leicester are 10th and Stevenage are 16th in the League One.

Who will win Leicester vs Stevenage?

Our prediction is Leicester or draw. Win probabilities: Leicester 51%, draw 25%, Stevenage 24%.

Will both teams score in Leicester vs Stevenage?

We estimate a 55% chance that both teams score, so our BTTS tip is Yes.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leicester vs Stevenage?

We estimate a 53% chance of three or more goals, so our tip is Over 2.5 goals.

Are these predictions guaranteed?

No. They are statistical estimates. A 70% tip should still lose about three times in ten, so only stake what you can afford to lose.

How often are predictions updated?

Predictions refresh automatically through the day as new data arrives, and every tip is marked right or wrong after full time.

More League One on Sat 31 Oct

FTBradford 0-3 HuddersfieldOver 1.5 ✓FTLeyton Orient 3-0 Cambridge UnitedOver 1.5 ✓FTPlymouth 0-0 Reading1X ✓FTWigan 3-2 BromleyOver 1.5 ✓FTBarnsley 1-1 Oxford UnitedX2 ✓FTMilton Keynes Dons 6-1 DoncasterOver 1.5 ✓FTMansfield Town 0-2 Notts County1X ✗FTPeterborough 0-2 LutonX2 ✓FTStockport County 2-1 AFC Wimbledon1 ✓FTWycombe 2-0 Burton AlbionOver 1.5 ✓

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